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Orenburg
VS Scheduled Russia 26/27 Premier Liga · Matchday 13
CSKA Moscow

Head-to-head overview

14 meetings
OrenburgWins
1
Draws28.6% of meetings
4
CSKA MoscowWins
9
Goals per match
2.64
Over 2.5 goals
42.9%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-11-29 Russia, Premier Liga 25/26 CSKA Moscow2–0Orenburg
2025-07-21 Russia, Premier Liga 25/26 Orenburg0–0CSKA Moscow
2025-04-12 Russia, Premier Liga 24/25 Orenburg0–2CSKA Moscow
2024-08-04 Russia, Premier Liga 24/25 CSKA Moscow5–1Orenburg
2024-03-02 Russia, Premier Liga 23/24 CSKA Moscow1–1Orenburg
2023-08-25 Russia, Premier Liga 23/24 Orenburg1–1CSKA Moscow
2023-05-07 Russia, Premier Liga 22/23 CSKA Moscow2–1Orenburg
2022-10-23 Russia, Premier Liga 22/23 Orenburg2–2CSKA Moscow
Recent matches

Orenburg

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-17 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg0–0Krasnodar
2026-09-12 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Dynamo Moscow1–0Orenburg
2026-09-06 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg2–2Akron Togliatti
2026-08-30 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Spartak Moscow1–1Orenburg
2026-08-22 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Fakel Voronezh0–0Orenburg
2026-08-14 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg1–1Lokomotiv Moscow
2026-08-09 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Rubin Kazan1–1Orenburg
2026-08-02 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg0–3Zenit

CSKA Moscow

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-17 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Dynamo Makhachkala1–3CSKA Moscow
2026-09-12 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 CSKA Moscow1–1Rubin Kazan
2026-09-05 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Zenit1–2CSKA Moscow
2026-08-28 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Akron Togliatti2–2CSKA Moscow
2026-08-22 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 CSKA Moscow3–2Lokomotiv Moscow
2026-08-15 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 CSKA Moscow1–0Fakel Voronezh
2026-08-08 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 CSKA Moscow0–0FK Rostov
2026-08-01 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 CSKA Moscow1–1Krylya Sovetov
Orenburg CSKA Moscow

Wins

0%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

25%
50%

Both teams scored

50%
75%

Clean sheets

25%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Orenburg

Home · Premier Liga
HomeAway1st goal
11 Orenburg 0–0 Krasnodar 1 –
11 Orenburg Spartak Moscow 2
11 Orenburg CSKA Moscow 3
11 Orenburg Dynamo Moscow 4
11 Orenburg 0–3 Zenit 5 6′ Away
11 Orenburg Rubin Kazan 6
11 Orenburg Dynamo Makhachkala 7
11 Orenburg Baltika 8
11 Orenburg Krylya Sovetov 9
11 Orenburg Akhmat Grozny 10
11 · Orenburg
11 Orenburg 2–2 Akron Togliatti 12 36′ Home
11 Orenburg 2–1 FK Rostov 13 47′ Away
11 Orenburg 1–1 Lokomotiv Moscow 14 3′ Away
11 Orenburg Rodina Moscow 15
11 Orenburg Fakel Voronezh 16
Orenburg Home CSKA Moscow Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier Liga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Orenburg

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.200.751.00
Draws60.0%75.0%66.7%
Goals scored / match1.000.500.78
Goals conceded / match1.400.751.11
Total goals / match2.401.251.89
Failed to score40.0%50.0%44.4%
Under 2.5 goals40.0%100.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 3 33%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1502
16–3000
31–4510
46–6002
61–7512
76–9031

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

CSKA Moscow

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway3 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.002.332.11
Draws50.0%33.3%44.4%
Goals scored / match1.332.331.67
Goals conceded / match0.831.331.00
Total goals / match2.173.672.67
Failed to score16.7%0.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%0.0%44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelOrenburgDraw CSKA MoscowHow it works
Strength (Elo) 27.5% 24.4% 48.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 16.3% 25.3% 57.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.69–1.56 Model expected goals
38.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
39.1% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 16.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-116.4%
0-212.9%
1-111.3%
0-010.5%
1-28.9%
1-07.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureOrenburgCSKA Moscow How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1454 1607 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 23 19 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1546 1507 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Orenburg 0.110.67 0.220.89
CSKA Moscow 0.890.78 0.440.56

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Orenburg 12%25%20%15%28%
CSKA Moscow 8%22%22%15%32%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Orenburg at home, 10 matches
1.88 CSKA Moscow away, 8 matches
45d Days of rest for Orenburg
45d Days of rest for CSKA Moscow
— Manager of Orenburg
— Manager of CSKA Moscow
0 Matches for Orenburg in the last 14 days
0 Matches for CSKA Moscow in the last 14 days
12 Points for Orenburg behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
2 Points for CSKA Moscow behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone
2.64 League goals per match
28.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Orenburg, the right bar represents CSKA Moscow.

On the ball

20 matches
3.57
corners
4.33
17.44
fouls
11.89
3.78
yellow cards
2.12

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Orenburg DLDDDDDLWL 0.90 0.70–1.30 1D
CSKA Moscow WDWDWWDDWW 2.20 1.80–1.00 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Orenburg1 62 01
CSKA Moscow4 50 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Orenburg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

CSKA Moscow

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.