Akhmat Grozny

Akhmat Grozny

VS Scheduled Saturday 7 Nov 202613:30

Russia 26/27 Premier Liga · Matchday 14

Rodina Moscow

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-17	26/27	Akron Togliatti2–0Akhmat Grozny
2026-09-13	26/27	Akhmat Grozny3–2Dynamo Makhachkala
2026-09-07	26/27	Rubin Kazan1–1Akhmat Grozny
2026-08-29	26/27	Akhmat Grozny3–3Krylya Sovetov
2026-08-22	26/27	Akhmat Grozny4–1FK Rostov
2026-08-15	26/27	Krasnodar1–0Akhmat Grozny
2026-08-10	26/27	Fakel Voronezh0–0Akhmat Grozny
2026-08-02	26/27	Akhmat Grozny1–2Spartak Moscow

Rodina Moscow

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	26/27	Rodina Moscow1–1Rubin Kazan
2026-09-11	26/27	Krylya Sovetov2–1Rodina Moscow
2026-09-06	26/27	Dynamo Makhachkala2–0Rodina Moscow
2026-08-30	26/27	Rodina Moscow0–3Baltika
2026-08-23	26/27	Dynamo Moscow3–1Rodina Moscow
2026-08-15	26/27	Rodina Moscow3–3Akron Togliatti
2026-08-09	26/27	Zenit1–2Rodina Moscow
2026-07-31	26/27	Rodina Moscow2–4FK Rostov

Akhmat Grozny Rodina Moscow

Wins

25%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

75%

Both teams scored

62%

75%

Clean sheets

12%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Akhmat Grozny

Home · Premier Liga

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Akhmat Grozny		Krasnodar	1
10	Akhmat Grozny	1–2	Spartak Moscow	2	5′ Home
10	Akhmat Grozny		CSKA Moscow	3
10	Akhmat Grozny		Dynamo Moscow	4
10	Akhmat Grozny		Zenit	5
10	Akhmat Grozny		Rubin Kazan	6
10	Akhmat Grozny	3–2	Dynamo Makhachkala	7	—
10	Akhmat Grozny		Baltika	8
10	Akhmat Grozny	3–3	Krylya Sovetov	9	15′ Away
10 · Akhmat Grozny
10	Akhmat Grozny		Orenburg	11
10	Akhmat Grozny		Akron Togliatti	12
10	Akhmat Grozny	4–1	FK Rostov	13	5′ Home
10	Akhmat Grozny		Lokomotiv Moscow	14
10	Akhmat Grozny		Rodina Moscow	15
10	Akhmat Grozny		Fakel Voronezh	16

Rodina Moscow

Away · Premier Liga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Krasnodar		Rodina Moscow	15
2	Spartak Moscow	3–0	Rodina Moscow	15	24′ Home
3	CSKA Moscow		Rodina Moscow	15
4	Dynamo Moscow	3–1	Rodina Moscow	15	31′ Away
5	Zenit	1–2	Rodina Moscow	15	23′ Home
6	Rubin Kazan		Rodina Moscow	15
7	Dynamo Makhachkala	2–0	Rodina Moscow	15	51′ Home
8	Baltika		Rodina Moscow	15
9	Krylya Sovetov	2–1	Rodina Moscow	15	59′ Away
10	Akhmat Grozny		Rodina Moscow	15
11	Orenburg		Rodina Moscow	15
12	Akron Togliatti		Rodina Moscow	15
13	FK Rostov		Rodina Moscow	15
14	Lokomotiv Moscow		Rodina Moscow	15
15 · Rodina Moscow
16	Fakel Voronezh		Rodina Moscow	15

Akhmat Grozny Home Rodina Moscow Away

Wins

50%

20%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

80%

Over 3.5

75%

20%

Both teams scored

100%

60%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

N/A

40%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier Liga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Akhmat Grozny

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.75	0.60	1.11
Draws	25.0%	60.0%	44.4%
Goals scored / match	2.75	0.40	1.44
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.00	1.44
Total goals / match	4.75	1.40	2.89
Failed to score	0.0%	60.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	100.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Rodina Moscow

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	0.50	0.60	0.56
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.80	1.11
Goals conceded / match	2.75	2.20	2.44
Total goals / match	4.25	3.00	3.56
Failed to score	25.0%	40.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	20.0%	22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 2	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 2	0%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 3	33%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	1	1
46–60	2	3
61–75	1	2
76–90	0	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Akhmat Grozny	Draw	Rodina Moscow	How it works
Strength (Elo)	48.7%	24.2%	27.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	51.2%	22.2%	25.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.92–1.27 Model expected goals

60.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

60.2% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 10.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-110.1%

2-19.6%

1-07.9%

2-07.6%

1-26.4%

3-16.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Akhmat Grozny	Rodina Moscow	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1485	1439	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	4	-39	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1529	1519	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Akhmat Grozny	0.44	1.00	0.89	0.56
Rodina Moscow	0.44	0.67	0.56	1.89

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Akhmat Grozny	2%	20%	35%	18%	25%
Rodina Moscow	0%	0%	27%	46%	27%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.67 Akhmat Grozny at home, 9 matches

1.00 Rodina Moscow away, 6 matches

51d Days of rest for Akhmat Grozny

52d Days of rest for Rodina Moscow

— Manager of Akhmat Grozny

— Manager of Rodina Moscow

0 Matches for Akhmat Grozny in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Rodina Moscow in the last 14 days

11 Points for Akhmat Grozny behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

16 Points for Rodina Moscow behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone

2.64 League goals per match

28.2% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Akhmat Grozny, the right bar represents Rodina Moscow.

On the ball

20 matches

4.5

corners

3.78

11.67

fouls

14.44

3.33

yellow cards

2.8

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Akhmat Grozny	LWDDWLDLDD	1.10	1.40–1.40	1L
Rodina Moscow	DLLLLDWLLW	0.80	1.20–2.20	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Akhmat Grozny	0	5	4	0	0
Rodina Moscow	1	5	3	1	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Akhmat Grozny

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Rodina Moscow

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.