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Baltika
VS Scheduled Russia 26/27 Premier Liga · Matchday 14
Dynamo Makhachkala

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings
BaltikaWins
1
Draws50.0% of meetings
1
Dynamo MakhachkalaWins
0
Goals per match
3.00
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-04-05 Russia, Premier Liga 25/26 Dynamo Makhachkala2–2Baltika
2025-10-05 Russia, Premier Liga 25/26 Baltika2–0Dynamo Makhachkala
Recent matches

Baltika

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-16 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Baltika2–3Zenit
2026-09-12 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Fakel Voronezh2–2Baltika
2026-09-06 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Baltika0–1Lokomotiv Moscow
2026-08-30 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Rodina Moscow0–3Baltika
2026-08-24 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Baltika1–1Rubin Kazan
2026-08-16 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Baltika1–2Spartak Moscow
2026-08-08 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Krylya Sovetov0–2Baltika
2026-08-01 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Baltika2–1Dynamo Moscow

Dynamo Makhachkala

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-17 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Dynamo Makhachkala1–3CSKA Moscow
2026-09-13 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Akhmat Grozny3–2Dynamo Makhachkala
2026-09-06 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Dynamo Makhachkala2–0Rodina Moscow
2026-08-30 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Rubin Kazan3–1Dynamo Makhachkala
2026-08-23 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Dynamo Makhachkala0–1Krasnodar
2026-08-16 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Krylya Sovetov1–4Dynamo Makhachkala
2026-08-09 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Dynamo Moscow3–1Dynamo Makhachkala
2026-08-01 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Dynamo Makhachkala2–1Lokomotiv Moscow
Baltika Dynamo Makhachkala

Wins

38%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
75%

Both teams scored

62%
75%

Clean sheets

25%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Baltika

Home · Premier Liga
HomeAway1st goal
8 Baltika Krasnodar 1
8 Baltika 1–2 Spartak Moscow 2 20′ Away
8 Baltika CSKA Moscow 3
8 Baltika 2–1 Dynamo Moscow 4 57′ Home
8 Baltika 2–3 Zenit 5 9′ Away
8 Baltika 1–1 Rubin Kazan 6 8′ Away
8 Baltika Dynamo Makhachkala 7
8 · Baltika
8 Baltika Krylya Sovetov 9
8 Baltika Akhmat Grozny 10
8 Baltika Orenburg 11
8 Baltika Akron Togliatti 12
8 Baltika FK Rostov 13
8 Baltika 0–1 Lokomotiv Moscow 14 85′ Away
8 Baltika Rodina Moscow 15
8 Baltika Fakel Voronezh 16
Baltika Home Dynamo Makhachkala Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier Liga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Baltika

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.801.751.22
Draws20.0%25.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match1.202.001.56
Goals conceded / match1.601.001.33
Total goals / match2.803.002.89
Failed to score20.0%0.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals40.0%25.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 4 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1502
16–3022
31–4500
46–6012
61–7510
76–9022

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Dynamo Makhachkala

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.501.201.33
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.252.001.67
Goals conceded / match1.252.201.78
Total goals / match2.504.203.44
Failed to score25.0%0.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%0.0%22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelBaltikaDraw Dynamo MakhachkalaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 52.8% 22.5% 24.7% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 40.8% 25.4% 33.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.47–1.29 Model expected goals
51.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals
55.4% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 12.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-112.0%
1-09.3%
2-18.8%
0-18.2%
1-27.8%
2-06.8%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureBaltikaDynamo Makhachkala How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1534 1458 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -23 31 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1525 1546 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Baltika 0.561.00 0.780.56
Dynamo Makhachkala 0.441.22 0.441.33

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Baltika 10%20%32%18%20%
Dynamo Makhachkala 8%22%35%15%20%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Baltika at home, 11 matches
0.82 Dynamo Makhachkala away, 11 matches
53d Days of rest for Baltika
52d Days of rest for Dynamo Makhachkala
— Manager of Baltika
— Manager of Dynamo Makhachkala
0 Matches for Baltika in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Dynamo Makhachkala in the last 14 days
10 Points for Baltika behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
9 Points for Dynamo Makhachkala behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
2.64 League goals per match
28.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Baltika, the right bar represents Dynamo Makhachkala.

On the ball

20 matches
5.0
corners
4.5
14.78
fouls
12.22
2.67
yellow cards
2.67

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Baltika LDLWDLWWLL 1.10 1.50–1.40 1L
Dynamo Makhachkala LLWLLWLWWD 1.30 1.50–1.60 2L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Baltika2 34 00
Dynamo Makhachkala1 71 10
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Baltika

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Dynamo Makhachkala

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.