Head-to-head overview
4 meetings- OrenburgWins
- 1
- Draws25.0% of meetings
- 1
- BaltikaWins
- 2
- Goals per match
- 1.75
- Over 2.5 goals
- 25.0%
- Both teams scored
- 25.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 |
25/26
|
Orenburg0–0Baltika |
| 2025-08-03 |
25/26
|
Baltika3–2Orenburg |
| 2024-03-10 |
23/24
|
Orenburg1–0Baltika |
| 2023-10-07 |
23/24
|
Baltika1–0Orenburg |
Recent matches
Orenburg
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 |
26/27
|
Orenburg0–0Krasnodar |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Dynamo Moscow1–0Orenburg |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Orenburg2–2Akron Togliatti |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Spartak Moscow1–1Orenburg |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Fakel Voronezh0–0Orenburg |
| 2026-08-14 |
26/27
|
Orenburg1–1Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2026-08-09 |
26/27
|
Rubin Kazan1–1Orenburg |
| 2026-08-02 |
26/27
|
Orenburg0–3Zenit |
Baltika
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 |
26/27
|
Baltika2–3Zenit |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Fakel Voronezh2–2Baltika |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Baltika0–1Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Rodina Moscow0–3Baltika |
| 2026-08-24 |
26/27
|
Baltika1–1Rubin Kazan |
| 2026-08-16 |
26/27
|
Baltika1–2Spartak Moscow |
| 2026-08-08 |
26/27
|
Krylya Sovetov0–2Baltika |
| 2026-08-01 |
26/27
|
Baltika2–1Dynamo Moscow |
Orenburg
Baltika
Wins
0%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
62%
Both teams scored
50%
62%
Clean sheets
25%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Orenburg
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Orenburg | 0–0 | Krasnodar | 1 | – |
| 11 | Orenburg | Spartak Moscow | 2 | ||
| 11 | Orenburg | CSKA Moscow | 3 | ||
| 11 | Orenburg | Dynamo Moscow | 4 | ||
| 11 | Orenburg | 0–3 | Zenit | 5 | 6′ Away |
| 11 | Orenburg | Rubin Kazan | 6 | ||
| 11 | Orenburg | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | ||
| 11 | Orenburg | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 11 | Orenburg | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | ||
| 11 | Orenburg | Akhmat Grozny | 10 | ||
| 11 · Orenburg | |||||
| 11 | Orenburg | 2–2 | Akron Togliatti | 12 | 36′ Home |
| 11 | Orenburg | 2–1 | FK Rostov | 13 | 47′ Away |
| 11 | Orenburg | 1–1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 14 | 3′ Away |
| 11 | Orenburg | Rodina Moscow | 15 | ||
| 11 | Orenburg | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | ||
Baltika
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 2–1 | Baltika | 8 | — |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 5 | Zenit | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 8 · Baltika | |||||
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov | 0–2 | Baltika | 8 | 3′ Away |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 11 | Orenburg | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 13 | FK Rostov | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 0–3 | Baltika | 8 | 22′ Away |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 2–2 | Baltika | 8 | 13′ Home |
Orenburg Home
Baltika Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Premier Liga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Orenburg
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away4 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.20 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Draws | 60.0% | 75.0% | 66.7% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.78 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.40 | 0.75 | 1.11 |
| Total goals / match | 2.40 | 1.25 | 1.89 |
| Failed to score | 40.0% | 50.0% | 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.0% | 100.0% | 66.7% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 1— | 100%— |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 1— | 0%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 3— | 33%— |
Scoring order known: 5/5 home.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 2 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 1 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 2 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 2 |
| 76–90 | 3 | 1 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Baltika
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away4 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.80 | 1.75 | 1.22 |
| Draws | 20.0% | 25.0% | 22.2% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.20 | 2.00 | 1.56 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.60 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Total goals / match | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.89 |
| Failed to score | 20.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 3/4 away.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Orenburg | Draw | Baltika | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 34.1% | 26.7% | 39.3% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 17.7% | 26.0% | 55.8% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.72–1.51
Model expected goals
38.0%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
39.6%
Both teams to score
0-1
Most likely score, at 16.3%
Most likely scores
0-116.3%
0-212.3%
1-111.7%
0-010.8%
1-28.8%
1-07.7%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Orenburg | Baltika | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1454 | 1534 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 23 | -23 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1546 | 1525 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orenburg | 0.11 | 0.67 | 0.22 | 0.89 |
| Baltika | 0.56 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.56 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orenburg | 12% | 25% | 20% | 15% | 28% |
| Baltika | 10% | 20% | 32% | 18% | 20% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.50
Orenburg at home, 10 matches
1.22
Baltika away, 9 matches
65d
Days of rest for Orenburg
66d
Days of rest for Baltika
—
Manager of Orenburg
—
Manager of Baltika
0
Matches for Orenburg in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Baltika in the last 14 days
12
Points for Orenburg behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
10
Points for Baltika behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
2.64
League goals per match
28.2%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Orenburg, the right bar represents Baltika.
On the ball
3.57
5.0
corners
17.44
14.78
fouls
3.78
2.67
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orenburg | DLDDDDDLWL | 0.90 | 0.70–1.30 | 1D |
| Baltika | LDLWDLWWLL | 1.10 | 1.50–1.40 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orenburg | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Baltika | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Orenburg
No absences reported.
Baltika
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.