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Akron Togliatti
VS Scheduled Russia 26/27 Premier Liga · Matchday 17
Orenburg

Head-to-head overview

5 meetings
Akron TogliattiWins
1
Draws40.0% of meetings
2
OrenburgWins
2
Goals per match
2.80
Over 2.5 goals
60.0%
Both teams scored
60.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-06 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg2–2Akron Togliatti
2026-02-28 Russia, Premier Liga 25/26 Orenburg2–0Akron Togliatti
2025-08-17 Russia, Premier Liga 25/26 Akron Togliatti1–2Orenburg
2024-11-30 Russia, Premier Liga 24/25 Akron Togliatti1–0Orenburg
2024-08-10 Russia, Premier Liga 24/25 Orenburg2–2Akron Togliatti
Recent matches

Akron Togliatti

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-17 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Akron Togliatti2–0Akhmat Grozny
2026-09-13 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Krasnodar1–1Akron Togliatti
2026-09-06 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg2–2Akron Togliatti
2026-08-28 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Akron Togliatti2–2CSKA Moscow
2026-08-23 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Akron Togliatti0–3Krylya Sovetov
2026-08-15 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Rodina Moscow3–3Akron Togliatti
2026-08-08 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Lokomotiv Moscow0–0Akron Togliatti
2026-08-01 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Akron Togliatti1–2Rubin Kazan

Orenburg

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-17 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg0–0Krasnodar
2026-09-12 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Dynamo Moscow1–0Orenburg
2026-09-06 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg2–2Akron Togliatti
2026-08-30 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Spartak Moscow1–1Orenburg
2026-08-22 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Fakel Voronezh0–0Orenburg
2026-08-14 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg1–1Lokomotiv Moscow
2026-08-09 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Rubin Kazan1–1Orenburg
2026-08-02 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg0–3Zenit
Akron Togliatti Orenburg

Wins

12%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
25%

Both teams scored

62%
50%

Clean sheets

25%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Akron Togliatti

Home · Premier Liga

Orenburg

Away · Premier Liga
Akron Togliatti Home Orenburg Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier Liga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Akron Togliatti

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.801.000.89
Draws20.0%100.0%55.6%
Goals scored / match1.001.501.22
Goals conceded / match2.401.502.00
Total goals / match3.403.003.22
Failed to score40.0%25.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals20.0%50.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 4 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1513
16–3023
31–4501
46–6000
61–7511
76–9014

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Orenburg

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.200.751.00
Draws60.0%75.0%66.7%
Goals scored / match1.000.500.78
Goals conceded / match1.400.751.11
Total goals / match2.401.251.89
Failed to score40.0%50.0%44.4%
Under 2.5 goals40.0%100.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAkron TogliattiDraw OrenburgHow it works
Strength (Elo) 41.0% 26.4% 32.6% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 24.3% 25.2% 49.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.01–1.58 Model expected goals
47.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals
50.1% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 12.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-112.0%
0-111.8%
1-29.4%
0-29.3%
1-07.6%
0-07.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAkron TogliattiOrenburg How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1438 1454 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 6 23 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1551 1546 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Akron Togliatti 0.440.78 1.110.89
Orenburg 0.110.67 0.220.89

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Akron Togliatti 2%10%32%20%35%
Orenburg 12%25%20%15%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.55 Akron Togliatti at home, 11 matches
0.80 Orenburg away, 10 matches
79d Days of rest for Akron Togliatti
79d Days of rest for Orenburg
— Manager of Akron Togliatti
— Manager of Orenburg
0 Matches for Akron Togliatti in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Orenburg in the last 14 days
13 Points for Akron Togliatti behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
12 Points for Orenburg behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
2.64 League goals per match
28.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Akron Togliatti, the right bar represents Orenburg.

On the ball

20 matches
4.62
corners
3.57
15.11
fouls
17.44
3.38
yellow cards
3.78

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Akron Togliatti WDDDLDDLLL 0.80 1.20–2.20 1W
Orenburg DLDDDDDLWL 0.90 0.70–1.30 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Akron Togliatti2 25 01
Orenburg1 62 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Akron Togliatti

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Orenburg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.