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Zenit
VS Scheduled Russia 26/27 Premier Liga · Matchday 17
Baltika

Head-to-head overview

5 meetings
ZenitWins
4
Draws20.0% of meetings
1
BaltikaWins
0
Goals per match
1.80
Over 2.5 goals
20.0%
Both teams scored
20.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-16 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Baltika2–3Zenit
2026-02-27 Russia, Premier Liga 25/26 Zenit1–0Baltika
2025-09-14 Russia, Premier Liga 25/26 Baltika0–0Zenit
2024-04-07 Russia, Premier Liga 23/24 Zenit1–0Baltika
2023-11-04 Russia, Premier Liga 23/24 Baltika0–2Zenit
Recent matches

Zenit

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-16 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Baltika2–3Zenit
2026-09-12 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Zenit2–1Lokomotiv Moscow
2026-09-05 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Zenit1–2CSKA Moscow
2026-08-29 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Fakel Voronezh0–1Zenit
2026-08-23 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Spartak Moscow2–0Zenit
2026-08-16 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Zenit3–0Dynamo Moscow
2026-08-09 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Zenit1–2Rodina Moscow
2026-08-02 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg0–3Zenit

Baltika

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-16 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Baltika2–3Zenit
2026-09-12 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Fakel Voronezh2–2Baltika
2026-09-06 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Baltika0–1Lokomotiv Moscow
2026-08-30 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Rodina Moscow0–3Baltika
2026-08-24 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Baltika1–1Rubin Kazan
2026-08-16 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Baltika1–2Spartak Moscow
2026-08-08 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Krylya Sovetov0–2Baltika
2026-08-01 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Baltika2–1Dynamo Moscow
Zenit Baltika

Wins

62%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
62%

Both teams scored

50%
62%

Clean sheets

38%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Zenit

Home · Premier Liga
HomeAway1st goal
5 Zenit Krasnodar 1
5 Zenit Spartak Moscow 2
5 Zenit 1–2 CSKA Moscow 3 45+8′ Away
5 Zenit 3–0 Dynamo Moscow 4 29′ Home
5 · Zenit
5 Zenit Rubin Kazan 6
5 Zenit Dynamo Makhachkala 7
5 Zenit Baltika 8
5 Zenit Krylya Sovetov 9
5 Zenit Akhmat Grozny 10
5 Zenit Orenburg 11
5 Zenit Akron Togliatti 12
5 Zenit FK Rostov 13
5 Zenit 2–1 Lokomotiv Moscow 14 18′ Away
5 Zenit 1–2 Rodina Moscow 15 23′ Home
5 Zenit Fakel Voronezh 16

Baltika

Away · Premier Liga
Zenit Home Baltika Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier Liga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Zenit

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.502.402.00
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.752.402.11
Goals conceded / match1.250.801.00
Total goals / match3.003.203.11
Failed to score0.0%20.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%40.0%22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 2 50%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3021
31–4511
46–6011
61–7511
76–9021

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Baltika

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.801.751.22
Draws20.0%25.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match1.202.001.56
Goals conceded / match1.601.001.33
Total goals / match2.803.002.89
Failed to score20.0%0.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals40.0%25.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelZenitDraw BaltikaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 62.9% 17.7% 19.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 50.7% 25.4% 23.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.56–0.97 Model expected goals
45.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
48.6% Both teams to score
1-0 Most likely score, at 12.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-012.5%
1-112.0%
2-09.7%
2-19.4%
0-08.0%
0-17.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureZenitBaltika How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1683 1534 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -58 -23 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1522 1525 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Zenit 1.001.11 0.560.44
Baltika 0.561.00 0.780.56

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Zenit 5%15%30%30%20%
Baltika 10%20%32%18%20%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.11 Zenit at home, 9 matches
1.22 Baltika away, 9 matches
80d Days of rest for Zenit
80d Days of rest for Baltika
— Manager of Zenit
— Manager of Baltika
0 Matches for Zenit in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Baltika in the last 14 days
3 Points for Zenit behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone
10 Points for Baltika behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
2.64 League goals per match
28.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Zenit, the right bar represents Baltika.

On the ball

20 matches
5.78
corners
5.0
10.11
fouls
14.78
2.12
yellow cards
2.67

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Zenit WWLWLWLWWW 2.10 2.00–0.90 2W
Baltika LDLWDLWWLL 1.10 1.50–1.40 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Zenit5 13 11
Baltika2 34 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Zenit

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Baltika

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.