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CSKA Moscow
VS Scheduled Russia 26/27 Premier Liga · Matchday 21
Orenburg

Head-to-head overview

14 meetings
CSKA MoscowWins
9
Draws28.6% of meetings
4
OrenburgWins
1
Goals per match
2.64
Over 2.5 goals
42.9%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-11-29 Russia, Premier Liga 25/26 CSKA Moscow2–0Orenburg
2025-07-21 Russia, Premier Liga 25/26 Orenburg0–0CSKA Moscow
2025-04-12 Russia, Premier Liga 24/25 Orenburg0–2CSKA Moscow
2024-08-04 Russia, Premier Liga 24/25 CSKA Moscow5–1Orenburg
2024-03-02 Russia, Premier Liga 23/24 CSKA Moscow1–1Orenburg
2023-08-25 Russia, Premier Liga 23/24 Orenburg1–1CSKA Moscow
2023-05-07 Russia, Premier Liga 22/23 CSKA Moscow2–1Orenburg
2022-10-23 Russia, Premier Liga 22/23 Orenburg2–2CSKA Moscow
Recent matches

CSKA Moscow

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-17 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Dynamo Makhachkala1–3CSKA Moscow
2026-09-12 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 CSKA Moscow1–1Rubin Kazan
2026-09-05 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Zenit1–2CSKA Moscow
2026-08-28 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Akron Togliatti2–2CSKA Moscow
2026-08-22 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 CSKA Moscow3–2Lokomotiv Moscow
2026-08-15 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 CSKA Moscow1–0Fakel Voronezh
2026-08-08 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 CSKA Moscow0–0FK Rostov
2026-08-01 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 CSKA Moscow1–1Krylya Sovetov

Orenburg

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-17 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg0–0Krasnodar
2026-09-12 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Dynamo Moscow1–0Orenburg
2026-09-06 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg2–2Akron Togliatti
2026-08-30 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Spartak Moscow1–1Orenburg
2026-08-22 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Fakel Voronezh0–0Orenburg
2026-08-14 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg1–1Lokomotiv Moscow
2026-08-09 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Rubin Kazan1–1Orenburg
2026-08-02 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg0–3Zenit
CSKA Moscow Orenburg

Wins

50%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
25%

Both teams scored

75%
50%

Clean sheets

25%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

CSKA Moscow

Home · Premier Liga

Orenburg

Away · Premier Liga
CSKA Moscow Home Orenburg Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier Liga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

CSKA Moscow

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway3 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.002.332.11
Draws50.0%33.3%44.4%
Goals scored / match1.332.331.67
Goals conceded / match0.831.331.00
Total goals / match2.173.672.67
Failed to score16.7%0.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%0.0%44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 5/6 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Orenburg

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.200.751.00
Draws60.0%75.0%66.7%
Goals scored / match1.000.500.78
Goals conceded / match1.400.751.11
Total goals / match2.401.251.89
Failed to score40.0%50.0%44.4%
Under 2.5 goals40.0%100.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelCSKA MoscowDraw OrenburgHow it works
Strength (Elo) 63.5% 17.4% 19.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 44.0% 29.3% 26.5% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.22–0.88 Model expected goals
34.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
41.2% Both teams to score
1-0 Most likely score, at 14.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-014.9%
1-113.1%
0-012.2%
0-110.7%
2-09.1%
2-18.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureCSKA MoscowOrenburg How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1607 1454 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 19 23 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1507 1546 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
CSKA Moscow 0.890.78 0.440.56
Orenburg 0.110.67 0.220.89

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
CSKA Moscow 8%22%22%15%32%
Orenburg 12%25%20%15%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.58 CSKA Moscow at home, 12 matches
0.80 Orenburg away, 10 matches
185d Days of rest for CSKA Moscow
185d Days of rest for Orenburg
— Manager of CSKA Moscow
— Manager of Orenburg
0 Matches for CSKA Moscow in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Orenburg in the last 14 days
2 Points for CSKA Moscow behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone
12 Points for Orenburg behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
2.64 League goals per match
28.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents CSKA Moscow, the right bar represents Orenburg.

On the ball

20 matches
4.33
corners
3.57
11.89
fouls
17.44
2.12
yellow cards
3.78

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
CSKA Moscow WDWDWWDDWW 2.20 1.80–1.00 1W
Orenburg DLDDDDDLWL 0.90 0.70–1.30 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
CSKA Moscow4 50 02
Orenburg1 62 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

CSKA Moscow

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Orenburg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.