Head-to-head overview
5 meetings- BaltikaWins
- 3
- Draws20.0% of meetings
- 1
- Krylya SovetovWins
- 1
- Goals per match
- 2.40
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40.0%
- Both teams scored
- 60.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 |
26/27
|
Krylya Sovetov0–2Baltika |
| 2025-12-07 |
25/26
|
Baltika2–0Krylya Sovetov |
| 2025-08-09 |
25/26
|
Krylya Sovetov1–1Baltika |
| 2024-04-20 |
23/24
|
Baltika2–1Krylya Sovetov |
| 2023-08-27 |
23/24
|
Krylya Sovetov2–1Baltika |
Recent matches
Baltika
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 |
26/27
|
Baltika2–3Zenit |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Fakel Voronezh2–2Baltika |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Baltika0–1Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Rodina Moscow0–3Baltika |
| 2026-08-24 |
26/27
|
Baltika1–1Rubin Kazan |
| 2026-08-16 |
26/27
|
Baltika1–2Spartak Moscow |
| 2026-08-08 |
26/27
|
Krylya Sovetov0–2Baltika |
| 2026-08-01 |
26/27
|
Baltika2–1Dynamo Moscow |
Krylya Sovetov
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 |
26/27
|
Lokomotiv Moscow1–1Krylya Sovetov |
| 2026-09-11 |
26/27
|
Krylya Sovetov2–1Rodina Moscow |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Krylya Sovetov2–2Krasnodar |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Akhmat Grozny3–3Krylya Sovetov |
| 2026-08-23 |
26/27
|
Akron Togliatti0–3Krylya Sovetov |
| 2026-08-16 |
26/27
|
Krylya Sovetov1–4Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 2026-08-08 |
26/27
|
Krylya Sovetov0–2Baltika |
| 2026-08-01 |
26/27
|
CSKA Moscow1–1Krylya Sovetov |
Baltika
Krylya Sovetov
Wins
38%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
62%
Both teams scored
62%
75%
Clean sheets
25%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Baltika
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Baltika | Krasnodar | 1 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | 1–2 | Spartak Moscow | 2 | 20′ Away |
| 8 | Baltika | CSKA Moscow | 3 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | 2–1 | Dynamo Moscow | 4 | 57′ Home |
| 8 | Baltika | 2–3 | Zenit | 5 | 9′ Away |
| 8 | Baltika | 1–1 | Rubin Kazan | 6 | 8′ Away |
| 8 | Baltika | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | ||
| 8 · Baltika | |||||
| 8 | Baltika | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | Akhmat Grozny | 10 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | Orenburg | 11 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | Akron Togliatti | 12 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | FK Rostov | 13 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | 0–1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 14 | 85′ Away |
| 8 | Baltika | Rodina Moscow | 15 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | ||
Krylya Sovetov
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | ||
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | ||
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 1–1 | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | 32′ Home |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 0–0 | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | – |
| 5 | Zenit | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | ||
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | ||
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | ||
| 9 · Krylya Sovetov | |||||
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | 3–3 | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | 15′ Away |
| 11 | Orenburg | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | ||
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 0–3 | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | 19′ Away |
| 13 | FK Rostov | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | ||
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1–1 | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | 53′ Home |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | ||
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | ||
Baltika Home
Krylya Sovetov Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Premier Liga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Baltika
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away4 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.80 | 1.75 | 1.22 |
| Draws | 20.0% | 25.0% | 22.2% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.20 | 2.00 | 1.56 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.60 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Total goals / match | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.89 |
| Failed to score | 20.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 1— | 0%— |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 1— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 4— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 5/5 home.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 2 |
| 16–30 | 2 | 2 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 1 | 2 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 2 | 2 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Krylya Sovetov
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away5 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.22 |
| Draws | 25.0% | 80.0% | 55.6% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.25 | 1.60 | 1.44 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.25 | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Total goals / match | 3.50 | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| Failed to score | 25.0% | 20.0% | 22.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25.0% | 60.0% | 44.4% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 21 of 2 | 50%50% |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 21 of 2 | 50%50% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 21 of 6 | 0%17% |
Scoring order known: 5/5 away.Scoring order known: 9/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 1 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 1 | 3 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 2 |
| 61–75 | 4 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 1 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Baltika | Draw | Krylya Sovetov | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 49.4% | 23.9% | 26.7% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 31.9% | 25.2% | 42.2% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.28–1.51
Model expected goals
52.1%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
55.7%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 11.9%
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
0-19.3%
1-29.0%
1-07.9%
2-17.6%
0-27.0%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Baltika | Krylya Sovetov | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1534 | 1483 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -23 | 33 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1525 | 1521 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika | 0.56 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.56 |
| Krylya Sovetov | 0.44 | 1.00 | 0.89 | 0.67 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika | 10% | 20% | 32% | 18% | 20% |
| Krylya Sovetov | 5% | 5% | 42% | 18% | 30% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.00
Baltika at home, 11 matches
0.78
Krylya Sovetov away, 9 matches
221d
Days of rest for Baltika
221d
Days of rest for Krylya Sovetov
—
Manager of Baltika
—
Manager of Krylya Sovetov
0
Matches for Baltika in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Krylya Sovetov in the last 14 days
10
Points for Baltika behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
10
Points for Krylya Sovetov behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
2.64
League goals per match
28.2%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Baltika, the right bar represents Krylya Sovetov.
On the ball
5.0
3.5
corners
14.78
16.11
fouls
2.67
2.83
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika | LDLWDLWWLL | 1.10 | 1.50–1.40 | 1L |
| Krylya Sovetov | DWDDWLLDDW | 1.40 | 1.70–1.50 | 1D |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Baltika
No absences reported.
Krylya Sovetov
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.