Head-to-head overview
3 meetings- BaltikaWins
- 1
- Draws66.7% of meetings
- 2
- Fakel VoronezhWins
- 0
- Goals per match
- 2.33
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66.7%
- Both teams scored
- 66.7%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Fakel Voronezh2–2Baltika |
| 2023-12-02 |
23/24
|
Fakel Voronezh0–0Baltika |
| 2023-08-06 |
23/24
|
Baltika2–1Fakel Voronezh |
Recent matches
Baltika
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 |
26/27
|
Baltika2–3Zenit |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Fakel Voronezh2–2Baltika |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Baltika0–1Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Rodina Moscow0–3Baltika |
| 2026-08-24 |
26/27
|
Baltika1–1Rubin Kazan |
| 2026-08-16 |
26/27
|
Baltika1–2Spartak Moscow |
| 2026-08-08 |
26/27
|
Krylya Sovetov0–2Baltika |
| 2026-08-01 |
26/27
|
Baltika2–1Dynamo Moscow |
Fakel Voronezh
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 |
26/27
|
Spartak Moscow1–0Fakel Voronezh |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Fakel Voronezh2–2Baltika |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
FK Rostov3–1Fakel Voronezh |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Fakel Voronezh0–1Zenit |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Fakel Voronezh0–0Orenburg |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
CSKA Moscow1–0Fakel Voronezh |
| 2026-08-10 |
26/27
|
Fakel Voronezh0–0Akhmat Grozny |
| 2026-08-02 |
26/27
|
Krasnodar3–2Fakel Voronezh |
Baltika
Fakel Voronezh
Wins
38%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
38%
Both teams scored
62%
38%
Clean sheets
25%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Baltika
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Baltika | Krasnodar | 1 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | 1–2 | Spartak Moscow | 2 | 20′ Away |
| 8 | Baltika | CSKA Moscow | 3 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | 2–1 | Dynamo Moscow | 4 | 57′ Home |
| 8 | Baltika | 2–3 | Zenit | 5 | 9′ Away |
| 8 | Baltika | 1–1 | Rubin Kazan | 6 | 8′ Away |
| 8 | Baltika | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | ||
| 8 · Baltika | |||||
| 8 | Baltika | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | Akhmat Grozny | 10 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | Orenburg | 11 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | Akron Togliatti | 12 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | FK Rostov | 13 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | 0–1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 14 | 85′ Away |
| 8 | Baltika | Rodina Moscow | 15 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | ||
Fakel Voronezh
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3–2 | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | 4′ Home |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 1–0 | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | 90+1′ Home |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 1–0 | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | 71′ Home |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | ||
| 5 | Zenit | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | ||
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | ||
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | ||
| 8 | Baltika | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | ||
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | ||
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | ||
| 11 | Orenburg | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | ||
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | ||
| 13 | FK Rostov | 3–1 | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | 56′ Home |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | ||
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | ||
| 16 · Fakel Voronezh | |||||
Baltika Home
Fakel Voronezh Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Premier Liga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Baltika
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away4 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.80 | 1.75 | 1.22 |
| Draws | 20.0% | 25.0% | 22.2% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.20 | 2.00 | 1.56 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.60 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Total goals / match | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.89 |
| Failed to score | 20.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 1— | 0%— |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 1— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 4— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 5/5 home.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 2 |
| 16–30 | 2 | 2 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 1 | 2 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 2 | 2 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Fakel Voronezh
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away4 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| Draws | 60.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.60 | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.44 |
| Total goals / match | 1.60 | 2.75 | 2.11 |
| Failed to score | 60.0% | 50.0% | 55.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60.0% | 50.0% | 55.6% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 0— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 0— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 4— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 4/4 away.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 1 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 3 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 2 |
| 76–90 | 3 | 1 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Baltika | Draw | Fakel Voronezh | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 60.2% | 19.0% | 20.7% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 58.3% | 27.9% | 13.5% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.37–0.50
Model expected goals
28.6%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
29.2%
Both teams to score
1-0
Most likely score, at 21.1%
Most likely scores
1-021.1%
0-015.4%
2-014.5%
1-110.6%
0-17.7%
2-17.2%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Baltika | Fakel Voronezh | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1534 | 1405 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -23 | 11 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1525 | 1539 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika | 0.56 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.56 |
| Fakel Voronezh | 0.22 | 0.44 | 0.33 | 1.11 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika | 10% | 20% | 32% | 18% | 20% |
| Fakel Voronezh | 22% | 22% | 25% | 10% | 20% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.00
Baltika at home, 11 matches
0.11
Fakel Voronezh away, 9 matches
235d
Days of rest for Baltika
235d
Days of rest for Fakel Voronezh
—
Manager of Baltika
—
Manager of Fakel Voronezh
0
Matches for Baltika in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Fakel Voronezh in the last 14 days
10
Points for Baltika behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
18
Points for Fakel Voronezh behind the leaders, and -5 above the relegation zone
2.64
League goals per match
28.2%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Baltika, the right bar represents Fakel Voronezh.
On the ball
5.0
4.33
corners
14.78
14.44
fouls
2.67
2.0
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika | LDLWDLWWLL | 1.10 | 1.50–1.40 | 1L |
| Fakel Voronezh | LDLLDLDLLD | 0.40 | 0.70–1.40 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Fakel Voronezh | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Baltika
No absences reported.
Fakel Voronezh
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.