Head-to-head overview
5 meetings- Lokomotiv MoscowWins
- 4
- Draws20.0% of meetings
- 1
- BaltikaWins
- 0
- Goals per match
- 2.60
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40.0%
- Both teams scored
- 60.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Baltika0–1Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2026-05-10 |
25/26
|
Lokomotiv Moscow1–0Baltika |
| 2025-08-16 |
25/26
|
Baltika1–1Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2024-05-25 |
23/24
|
Baltika1–3Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2023-09-03 |
23/24
|
Lokomotiv Moscow3–2Baltika |
Recent matches
Lokomotiv Moscow
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 |
26/27
|
Lokomotiv Moscow1–1Krylya Sovetov |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Zenit2–1Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Baltika0–1Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Lokomotiv Moscow0–1Dynamo Moscow |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
CSKA Moscow3–2Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2026-08-14 |
26/27
|
Orenburg1–1Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2026-08-08 |
26/27
|
Lokomotiv Moscow0–0Akron Togliatti |
| 2026-08-01 |
26/27
|
Dynamo Makhachkala2–1Lokomotiv Moscow |
Baltika
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 |
26/27
|
Baltika2–3Zenit |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Fakel Voronezh2–2Baltika |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Baltika0–1Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Rodina Moscow0–3Baltika |
| 2026-08-24 |
26/27
|
Baltika1–1Rubin Kazan |
| 2026-08-16 |
26/27
|
Baltika1–2Spartak Moscow |
| 2026-08-08 |
26/27
|
Krylya Sovetov0–2Baltika |
| 2026-08-01 |
26/27
|
Baltika2–1Dynamo Moscow |
Lokomotiv Moscow
Baltika
Wins
12%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
62%
Both teams scored
62%
62%
Clean sheets
25%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Lokomotiv Moscow
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | Krasnodar | 1 | ||
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | Spartak Moscow | 2 | ||
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | CSKA Moscow | 3 | ||
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0–1 | Dynamo Moscow | 4 | 73′ Away |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | Zenit | 5 | ||
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | Rubin Kazan | 6 | ||
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | ||
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1–1 | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | 53′ Home |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1–1 | Akhmat Grozny | 10 | 8′ Home |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | Orenburg | 11 | ||
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0–0 | Akron Togliatti | 12 | – |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | FK Rostov | 13 | ||
| 14 · Lokomotiv Moscow | |||||
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | Rodina Moscow | 15 | ||
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | ||
Baltika
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 2–1 | Baltika | 8 | — |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 5 | Zenit | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 8 · Baltika | |||||
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov | 0–2 | Baltika | 8 | 3′ Away |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 11 | Orenburg | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 13 | FK Rostov | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | Baltika | 8 | ||
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 0–3 | Baltika | 8 | 22′ Away |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 2–2 | Baltika | 8 | 13′ Home |
Lokomotiv Moscow Home
Baltika Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Premier Liga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Lokomotiv Moscow
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away5 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.75 | 0.80 | 0.78 |
| Draws | 75.0% | 20.0% | 44.4% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.50 | 1.20 | 0.89 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.75 | 1.60 | 1.22 |
| Total goals / match | 1.25 | 2.80 | 2.11 |
| Failed to score | 50.0% | 0.0% | 22.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 100.0% | 40.0% | 66.7% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 24 of 7 | 50%57% |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 21 of 7 | 0%14% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 10 of 1 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 4/4 home.Scoring order known: 9/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 1 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 2 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 1 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Baltika
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away4 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.80 | 1.75 | 1.22 |
| Draws | 20.0% | 25.0% | 22.2% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.20 | 2.00 | 1.56 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.60 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Total goals / match | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.89 |
| Failed to score | 20.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 3/4 away.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Baltika | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 43.0% | 26.0% | 31.0% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 21.2% | 25.4% | 52.8% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.89–1.57
Model expected goals
43.9%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
46.2%
Both teams to score
0-1
Most likely score, at 13.5%
Most likely scores
0-113.5%
1-111.9%
0-210.6%
1-29.4%
0-08.6%
1-07.6%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Lokomotiv Moscow | Baltika | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1536 | 1534 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -74 | -23 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1523 | 1525 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 0.56 | 0.33 | 0.11 | 1.11 |
| Baltika | 0.56 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.56 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 5% | 15% | 30% | 20% | 30% |
| Baltika | 10% | 20% | 32% | 18% | 20% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.30
Lokomotiv Moscow at home, 10 matches
1.22
Baltika away, 9 matches
242d
Days of rest for Lokomotiv Moscow
242d
Days of rest for Baltika
—
Manager of Lokomotiv Moscow
—
Manager of Baltika
0
Matches for Lokomotiv Moscow in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Baltika in the last 14 days
14
Points for Lokomotiv Moscow behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
10
Points for Baltika behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
2.64
League goals per match
28.2%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lokomotiv Moscow, the right bar represents Baltika.
On the ball
2.38
5.0
corners
15.78
14.78
fouls
2.62
2.67
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Moscow | DLWLLDDLDL | 0.70 | 0.90–1.40 | 1D |
| Baltika | LDLWDLWWLL | 1.10 | 1.50–1.40 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Baltika | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Lokomotiv Moscow
No absences reported.
Baltika
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.