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FC Cincinnati
VS Scheduled United States 2026 MLS
DC United

Head-to-head overview

14 meetings
FC CincinnatiWins
4
Draws28.6% of meetings
4
DC UnitedWins
6
Goals per match
2.64
Over 2.5 goals
57.1%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-06-01 United States, MLS 2025 FC Cincinnati1–2DC United
2025-04-13 United States, MLS 2025 DC United0–1FC Cincinnati
2024-07-04 United States, MLS 2024 DC United2–3FC Cincinnati
2024-03-10 United States, MLS 2024 FC Cincinnati0–0DC United
2023-06-25 United States, MLS 2023 DC United3–0FC Cincinnati
2023-05-07 United States, MLS 2023 FC Cincinnati2–1DC United
2022-10-09 United States, MLS 2022 DC United2–5FC Cincinnati
2022-03-05 United States, MLS 2022 FC Cincinnati0–1DC United
Recent matches

FC Cincinnati

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 United States, MLS 2026 CF Montreal3–1FC Cincinnati
2026-09-20 United States, MLS 2026 Houston Dynamo2–2FC Cincinnati
2026-09-14 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati3–3Charlotte
2026-09-13 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati3–3Charlotte
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 Philadelphia Union5–0FC Cincinnati
2026-08-30 United States, MLS 2026 Nashville SC4–0FC Cincinnati
2026-08-23 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati1–1Seattle Sounders
2026-08-20 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati2–1New York City

DC United

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 United States, MLS 2026 Vancouver Whitecaps3–3DC United
2026-09-20 United States, MLS 2026 DC United1–2Charlotte
2026-09-14 United States, MLS 2026 DC United0–0Atlanta Utd
2026-09-13 United States, MLS 2026 DC United0–0Atlanta Utd
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 DC United2–1Columbus Crew
2026-08-30 United States, MLS 2026 DC United0–0Los Angeles FC
2026-08-23 United States, MLS 2026 Charlotte3–1DC United
2026-08-20 United States, MLS 2026 DC United0–3New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati DC United

Wins

12%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
62%

Both teams scored

75%
50%

Clean sheets

0%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

DC United

Away · MLS
FC Cincinnati Home DC United Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

MLS · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

FC Cincinnati

27 matches
Goals & resultsHome13 matchesAway14 matchesOverall27 matches
Points / match1.920.641.26
Draws30.8%42.9%37.0%
Goals scored / match2.851.502.15
Goals conceded / match2.082.862.48
Total goals / match4.924.364.63
Failed to score7.7%21.4%14.8%
Under 2.5 goals30.8%21.4%25.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 10/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

DC United

27 matches
Goals & resultsHome15 matchesAway12 matchesOverall27 matches
Points / match1.201.081.15
Draws40.0%58.3%48.1%
Goals scored / match1.201.331.26
Goals conceded / match1.671.421.56
Total goals / match2.872.752.81
Failed to score33.3%33.3%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%58.3%44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 4 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 4 25%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 6 17%

Scoring order known: 12/12 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3042
31–4513
46–6032
61–7534
76–9055

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelFC CincinnatiDraw DC UnitedHow it works
Strength (Elo) 56.6% 20.5% 23.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 29.1% 17.6% 43.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.28–2.83 Model expected goals
79.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
75.9% Both teams to score
2-2 Most likely score, at 6.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-26.3%
2-35.9%
1-25.5%
1-35.2%
3-24.8%
3-34.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureFC CincinnatiDC United How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1503 1411 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -31 -16 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1528 1493 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
FC Cincinnati 1.111.22 1.171.33
DC United 0.630.95 0.581.16

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
FC Cincinnati 0%18%15%12%55%
DC United 12%10%22%25%30%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.90 FC Cincinnati at home, 10 matches
1.12 DC United away, 8 matches
7d Days of rest for FC Cincinnati
7d Days of rest for DC United
— Manager of FC Cincinnati
Kevin Flanagan Manager of DC United, since 09/07/25
2 Matches for FC Cincinnati in the last 14 days
2 Matches for DC United in the last 14 days
27 Points for FC Cincinnati behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
30 Points for DC United behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
3.09 League goals per match
25.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents FC Cincinnati, the right bar represents DC United.

On the ball

20 matches
5.0
corners
5.26
10.33
fouls
13.05
2.15
yellow cards
2.57

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
FC Cincinnati LDDDLLDWDW 1.10 1.70–2.50 1L
DC United DLDDWDLLDD 0.90 1.00–1.50 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
FC Cincinnati6 48 03
DC United7 66 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

FC Cincinnati

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

DC United

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.