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Atlanta Utd
VS Scheduled United States 2026 MLS
FC Cincinnati

Head-to-head overview

17 meetings
Atlanta UtdWins
6
Draws35.3% of meetings
6
FC CincinnatiWins
5
Goals per match
2.71
Over 2.5 goals
52.9%
Both teams scored
58.8%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-02-21 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati2–0Atlanta Utd
2025-05-26 United States, MLS 2025 Atlanta Utd4–2FC Cincinnati
2025-03-22 United States, MLS 2025 FC Cincinnati2–2Atlanta Utd
2024-05-16 United States, MLS 2024 FC Cincinnati1–0Atlanta Utd
2024-04-21 United States, MLS 2024 Atlanta Utd1–2FC Cincinnati
2023-10-21 United States, MLS 2023 FC Cincinnati2–2Atlanta Utd
2023-08-31 United States, MLS 2023 Atlanta Utd1–2FC Cincinnati
2022-08-14 United States, MLS 2022 FC Cincinnati2–2Atlanta Utd
Recent matches

Atlanta Utd

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 United States, MLS 2026 Atlanta Utd2–2New York City
2026-09-20 United States, MLS 2026 Portland Timbers0–1Atlanta Utd
2026-09-14 United States, MLS 2026 DC United0–0Atlanta Utd
2026-09-13 United States, MLS 2026 DC United0–0Atlanta Utd
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 Atlanta Utd2–3Orlando City
2026-09-06 United States, MLS 2026 Inter Miami2–2Atlanta Utd
2026-08-30 United States, MLS 2026 Atlanta Utd0–2Charlotte
2026-08-24 United States, MLS 2026 Atlanta Utd2–1Sporting Kansas City

FC Cincinnati

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 United States, MLS 2026 CF Montreal3–1FC Cincinnati
2026-09-20 United States, MLS 2026 Houston Dynamo2–2FC Cincinnati
2026-09-14 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati3–3Charlotte
2026-09-13 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati3–3Charlotte
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 Philadelphia Union5–0FC Cincinnati
2026-08-30 United States, MLS 2026 Nashville SC4–0FC Cincinnati
2026-08-23 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati1–1Seattle Sounders
2026-08-20 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati2–1New York City
Atlanta Utd FC Cincinnati

Wins

25%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
88%

Both teams scored

50%
75%

Clean sheets

38%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Atlanta Utd Home FC Cincinnati Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

MLS · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Atlanta Utd

28 matches
Goals & resultsHome13 matchesAway15 matchesOverall28 matches
Points / match1.080.931.00
Draws15.4%33.3%25.0%
Goals scored / match1.460.871.14
Goals conceded / match1.771.471.61
Total goals / match3.232.332.75
Failed to score23.1%46.7%35.7%
Under 2.5 goals23.1%60.0%42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 11/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

FC Cincinnati

27 matches
Goals & resultsHome13 matchesAway14 matchesOverall27 matches
Points / match1.920.641.26
Draws30.8%42.9%37.0%
Goals scored / match2.851.502.15
Goals conceded / match2.082.862.48
Total goals / match4.924.364.63
Failed to score7.7%21.4%14.8%
Under 2.5 goals30.8%21.4%25.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 11/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAtlanta UtdDraw FC CincinnatiHow it works
Strength (Elo) 34.5% 26.0% 39.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 25.0% 17.8% 49.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.91–2.75 Model expected goals
77.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
73.4% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 6.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-26.8%
2-26.5%
1-36.3%
2-36.0%
1-15.0%
2-14.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAtlanta UtdFC Cincinnati How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1415 1503 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 38 -31 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1486 1528 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Atlanta Utd 0.580.79 0.740.89
FC Cincinnati 1.111.22 1.171.33

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Atlanta Utd 10%12%25%15%38%
FC Cincinnati 0%18%15%12%55%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.25 Atlanta Utd at home, 8 matches
0.80 FC Cincinnati away, 10 matches
14d Days of rest for Atlanta Utd
14d Days of rest for FC Cincinnati
Tata Martino Manager of Atlanta Utd, since 19/10/25
— Manager of FC Cincinnati
1 Matches for Atlanta Utd in the last 14 days
1 Matches for FC Cincinnati in the last 14 days
33 Points for Atlanta Utd behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
27 Points for FC Cincinnati behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
3.09 League goals per match
25.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Atlanta Utd, the right bar represents FC Cincinnati.

On the ball

20 matches
5.05
corners
5.0
11.53
fouls
10.33
2.33
yellow cards
2.15

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Atlanta Utd DWDDLDLWWW 1.60 1.30–1.20 1D
FC Cincinnati LDDDLLDWDW 1.10 1.70–2.50 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Atlanta Utd6 67 12
FC Cincinnati6 48 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Atlanta Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

FC Cincinnati

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.