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Minnesota United
VS Scheduled United States 2026 MLS
Houston Dynamo

Head-to-head overview

21 meetings
Minnesota UnitedWins
10
Draws23.8% of meetings
5
Houston DynamoWins
6
Goals per match
2.62
Over 2.5 goals
61.9%
Both teams scored
52.4%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-06-26 United States, MLS 2025 Minnesota United3–1Houston Dynamo
2025-05-15 United States, MLS 2025 Houston Dynamo2–0Minnesota United
2024-07-14 United States, MLS 2024 Houston Dynamo1–1Minnesota United
2024-04-14 United States, MLS 2024 Minnesota United1–2Houston Dynamo
2023-07-13 United States, MLS 2023 Houston Dynamo0–3Minnesota United
2023-05-18 United States, MLS 2023 Minnesota United1–0Houston Dynamo
2022-08-27 United States, MLS 2022 Minnesota United2–1Houston Dynamo
2022-07-24 United States, MLS 2022 Houston Dynamo1–2Minnesota United
Recent matches

Minnesota United

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 United States, MLS 2026 Seattle Sounders3–1Minnesota United
2026-09-20 United States, MLS 2026 Minnesota United2–3Los Angeles Galaxy
2026-09-14 United States, MLS 2026 St. Louis City4–2Minnesota United
2026-09-13 United States, MLS 2026 St. Louis City4–2Minnesota United
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 Minnesota United1–2FC Dallas
2026-09-06 United States, MLS 2026 Portland Timbers5–4Minnesota United
2026-08-30 United States, MLS 2026 Minnesota United3–3Orlando City
2026-08-23 United States, MLS 2026 San Jose Earthquakes1–5Minnesota United

Houston Dynamo

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 United States, MLS 2026 Houston Dynamo0–2Sporting Kansas City
2026-09-20 United States, MLS 2026 Houston Dynamo2–2FC Cincinnati
2026-09-14 United States, MLS 2026 San Jose Earthquakes1–0Houston Dynamo
2026-09-13 United States, MLS 2026 San Jose Earthquakes1–0Houston Dynamo
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 Houston Dynamo2–1Real Salt Lake
2026-09-06 United States, MLS 2026 Charlotte0–0Houston Dynamo
2026-08-30 United States, MLS 2026 Houston Dynamo0–0San Jose Earthquakes
2026-08-23 United States, MLS 2026 St. Louis City2–1Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United Houston Dynamo

Wins

12%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

100%
38%

Both teams scored

100%
38%

Clean sheets

0%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Minnesota United Home Houston Dynamo Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

MLS · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Minnesota United

28 matches
Goals & resultsHome13 matchesAway15 matchesOverall28 matches
Points / match0.921.131.04
Draws46.2%13.3%28.6%
Goals scored / match1.081.871.50
Goals conceded / match1.232.471.89
Total goals / match2.314.333.39
Failed to score30.8%6.7%17.9%
Under 2.5 goals61.5%13.3%35.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 12/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Houston Dynamo

28 matches
Goals & resultsHome14 matchesAway14 matchesOverall28 matches
Points / match1.931.211.57
Draws21.4%14.3%17.9%
Goals scored / match1.211.211.21
Goals conceded / match0.861.501.18
Total goals / match2.072.712.39
Failed to score28.6%35.7%32.1%
Under 2.5 goals64.3%64.3%64.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 13/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelMinnesota UnitedDraw Houston DynamoHow it works
Strength (Elo) 39.2% 26.1% 34.7% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 17.9% 24.6% 56.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.78–1.63 Model expected goals
42.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
43.3% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 14.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-114.6%
0-211.9%
1-111.4%
1-29.3%
0-09.0%
1-07.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureMinnesota UnitedHouston Dynamo How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1456 1499 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -59 -28 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1500 1491 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Minnesota United 0.561.06 1.060.89
Houston Dynamo 0.580.58 0.420.42

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Minnesota United 8%15%15%22%40%
Houston Dynamo 8%25%25%20%22%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.50 Minnesota United at home, 10 matches
1.27 Houston Dynamo away, 11 matches
14d Days of rest for Minnesota United
14d Days of rest for Houston Dynamo
Cameron Knowles Manager of Minnesota United, since 10/01/26
— Manager of Houston Dynamo
1 Matches for Minnesota United in the last 14 days
1 Matches for Houston Dynamo in the last 14 days
32 Points for Minnesota United behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
17 Points for Houston Dynamo behind the leaders, and 15 above the relegation zone
3.09 League goals per match
25.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Minnesota United, the right bar represents Houston Dynamo.

On the ball

20 matches
5.78
corners
3.94
11.78
fouls
10.42
2.47
yellow cards
2.13

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Minnesota United LLLLLLDWLD 0.50 2.20–2.80 6L
Houston Dynamo LDLLWDDLWW 1.20 0.70–0.90 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Minnesota United3 411 11
Houston Dynamo7 84 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Minnesota United

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Houston Dynamo

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.