Toronto FC

Toronto FC

VS Scheduled Thursday 15 Oct 202600:30

United States 2026 MLS

Orlando City

Head-to-head overview

25 meetings

Toronto FCWins: 10
Draws12.0% of meetings: 3
Orlando CityWins: 12

Goals per match: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals: 68.0%
Both teams scored: 56.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-14	2026	Orlando City3–0Toronto FC
2026-09-13	2026	Orlando City3–0Toronto FC
2025-10-18	2025	Toronto FC4–2Orlando City
2025-03-02	2025	Orlando City4–2Toronto FC
2024-07-04	2024	Toronto FC1–2Orlando City
2024-04-28	2024	Orlando City1–2Toronto FC
2023-10-21	2023	Toronto FC0–2Orlando City
2023-07-05	2023	Orlando City4–0Toronto FC
2022-09-18	2022	Orlando City4–0Toronto FC
2022-05-14	2022	Toronto FC0–1Orlando City
2021-07-18	2021	Toronto FC1–1Orlando City
2021-06-20	2021	Toronto FC2–3Orlando City
2021-05-23	2021	Orlando City1–0Toronto FC
2019-08-11	2019	Toronto FC1–1Orlando City
2019-05-04	2019	Orlando City0–2Toronto FC
2018-07-15	2018	Orlando City2–1Toronto FC
2018-05-19	2018	Toronto FC2–1Orlando City
2017-07-06	2017	Orlando City1–3Toronto FC
2017-05-04	2017	Toronto FC2–1Orlando City
2016-09-29	2016	Toronto FC0–0Orlando City
2016-08-25	2016	Orlando City1–2Toronto FC
2016-06-26	2016	Orlando City3–2Toronto FC
2015-08-22	2015	Toronto FC5–0Orlando City
2015-08-06	2015	Toronto FC4–1Orlando City
2015-04-27	2015	Orlando City0–2Toronto FC

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	2026	Nashville SC2–0Toronto FC
2026-09-20	2026	St. Louis City3–1Toronto FC
2026-09-14	2026	Orlando City3–0Toronto FC
2026-09-13	2026	Orlando City3–0Toronto FC
2026-09-10	2026	Toronto FC2–1Nashville SC
2026-09-06	2026	Toronto FC4–4Chicago Fire
2026-08-30	2026	Toronto FC1–1New York City
2026-08-23	2026	Inter Miami1–2Toronto FC

Orlando City

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	2026	Philadelphia Union4–2Orlando City
2026-09-20	2026	New England Revolution4–2Orlando City
2026-09-14	2026	Orlando City3–0Toronto FC
2026-09-13	2026	Orlando City3–0Toronto FC
2026-09-10	2026	Atlanta Utd2–3Orlando City
2026-09-06	2026	Orlando City1–0San Diego FC
2026-08-30	2026	Minnesota United3–3Orlando City
2026-08-23	2026	Orlando City2–1Real Salt Lake

Toronto FC Orlando City

Wins

25%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

88%

Both teams scored

62%

Clean sheets

0%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Toronto FC

Home · MLS

Home			Away		1st goal
27	Toronto FC	2–1	Nashville SC	1	—
27	Toronto FC		Vancouver Whitecaps	2
27	Toronto FC		FC Dallas	3
27	Toronto FC	1–1	San Jose Earthquakes	4	2′ Home
27	Toronto FC		St. Louis City	5
27	Toronto FC	2–4	Inter Miami	6	44′ Away
27	Toronto FC	2–1	New England Revolution	7	—
27	Toronto FC	3–3	Charlotte	8	8′ Away
27	Toronto FC		Houston Dynamo	9
27	Toronto FC	4–4	Chicago Fire	10	—
27	Toronto FC		Los Angeles FC	11
27	Toronto FC	3–2	Colorado Rapids	12	—
27	Toronto FC		Los Angeles Galaxy	13
27	Toronto FC		Orlando City	14
27	Toronto FC	1–1	New York City	15	29′ Away
27	Toronto FC	3–3	Philadelphia Union	16	45+4′ Away
27	Toronto FC		Seattle Sounders	17
27	Toronto FC	1–1	New York Red Bulls	18	43′ Home
27	Toronto FC	1–1	FC Cincinnati	19	—
27	Toronto FC		Portland Timbers	20
27	Toronto FC		Real Salt Lake	21
27	Toronto FC		DC United	22
27	Toronto FC		San Diego FC	23
27	Toronto FC	3–3	Austin FC	24	29′ Away
27	Toronto FC	2–1	Columbus Crew	25	4′ Away
27	Toronto FC		Minnesota United	26
27 · Toronto FC
27	Toronto FC	1–2	Atlanta Utd	28	48′ Away
27	Toronto FC		CF Montreal	29
27	Toronto FC		Sporting Kansas City	30

Orlando City

Away · MLS

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Nashville SC	5–0	Orlando City	14	5′ Home
2	Vancouver Whitecaps		Orlando City	14
3	FC Dallas		Orlando City	14
4	San Jose Earthquakes	0–4	Orlando City	14	7′ Away
5	St. Louis City		Orlando City	14
6	Inter Miami	3–4	Orlando City	14	4′ Home
7	New England Revolution	4–2	Orlando City	14	19′ Home
8	Charlotte		Orlando City	14
9	Houston Dynamo		Orlando City	14
10	Chicago Fire		Orlando City	14
11	Los Angeles FC	6–0	Orlando City	14	—
12	Colorado Rapids		Orlando City	14
13	Los Angeles Galaxy		Orlando City	14
14 · Orlando City
15	New York City	5–0	Orlando City	14	21′ Home
16	Philadelphia Union	4–2	Orlando City	14	11′ Home
17	Seattle Sounders		Orlando City	14
18	New York Red Bulls	3–2	Orlando City	14	23′ Home
19	FC Cincinnati	6–2	Orlando City	14	16′ Away
20	Portland Timbers		Orlando City	14
21	Real Salt Lake		Orlando City	14
22	DC United	3–2	Orlando City	14	10′ Home
23	San Diego FC		Orlando City	14
24	Austin FC		Orlando City	14
25	Columbus Crew	1–1	Orlando City	14	14′ Away
26	Minnesota United	3–3	Orlando City	14	28′ Away
27	Toronto FC		Orlando City	14
28	Atlanta Utd	2–3	Orlando City	14	—
29	CF Montreal	2–0	Orlando City	14	90+4′ Home
30	Sporting Kansas City		Orlando City	14

Toronto FC Home Orlando City Away

Wins

29%

21%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

71%

86%

Over 3.5

43%

86%

Both teams scored

100%

64%

Clean sheets

0%

7%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

MLS · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Toronto FC

28 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away14 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	1.43	0.64	1.04
Draws	57.1%	21.4%	39.3%
Goals scored / match	2.07	0.71	1.39
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.86	1.93
Total goals / match	4.07	2.57	3.32
Failed to score	0.0%	42.9%	21.4%
Under 2.5 goals	28.6%	35.7%	32.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 11/14 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Orlando City

28 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away14 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	1.86	0.79	1.32
Draws	14.3%	14.3%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	1.86	1.79	1.82
Goals conceded / match	1.21	3.36	2.29
Total goals / match	3.07	5.14	4.11
Failed to score	7.1%	28.6%	17.9%
Under 2.5 goals	35.7%	14.3%	25.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 13/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Toronto FC	Draw	Orlando City	How it works
Strength (Elo)	35.5%	26.1%	38.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	12.8%	13.4%	61.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.46–3.33 Model expected goals

73.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

64.5% Both teams to score

1-3 Most likely score, at 7.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-37.5%

1-26.7%

1-46.2%

2-35.5%

0-35.1%

2-24.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Toronto FC	Orlando City	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1432	1511	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	4	18	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1527	1502	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Toronto FC	0.47	0.89	0.89	1.05
Orlando City	0.61	1.67	0.89	1.28

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Toronto FC	8%	5%	35%	25%	28%
Orlando City	0%	8%	18%	20%	55%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.22 Toronto FC at home, 9 matches

1.00 Orlando City away, 10 matches

18d Days of rest for Toronto FC

18d Days of rest for Orlando City

— Manager of Toronto FC

Martín Perelman Manager of Orlando City, since 11/03/26

0 Matches for Toronto FC in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Orlando City in the last 14 days

32 Points for Toronto FC behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

24 Points for Orlando City behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

3.09 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Toronto FC, the right bar represents Orlando City.

On the ball

20 matches

4.56

corners

4.22

9.84

fouls

10.39

2.45

yellow cards

2.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Toronto FC	LLLLWDDWDW	1.20	1.50–2.20	4L
Orlando City	LLWWWWDWLD	1.70	2.10–1.70	2L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Toronto FC	2	7	10	1	1
Orlando City	5	4	9	2	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Toronto FC

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Orlando City

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Sam Surridge in stoppage time denies Messi and Miami a win: MLS roundup The Guardian 09-13