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New York Red Bulls
VS Scheduled United States 2026 MLS
Toronto FC

Head-to-head overview

34 meetings
New York Red BullsWins
18
Draws29.4% of meetings
10
Toronto FCWins
6
Goals per match
2.76
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
55.9%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-03-14 United States, MLS 2026 Toronto FC1–1New York Red Bulls
2025-06-26 United States, MLS 2025 Toronto FC1–1New York Red Bulls
2025-03-22 United States, MLS 2025 New York Red Bulls2–1Toronto FC
2024-10-03 United States, MLS 2024 Toronto FC1–4New York Red Bulls
2024-06-23 United States, MLS 2024 New York Red Bulls3–0Toronto FC
2023-10-08 United States, MLS 2023 New York Red Bulls3–0Toronto FC
2023-05-18 United States, MLS 2023 Toronto FC0–0New York Red Bulls
2022-06-19 United States, MLS 2022 New York Red Bulls2–0Toronto FC
Recent matches

New York Red Bulls

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 United States, MLS 2026 New York City0–1New York Red Bulls
2026-09-14 United States, MLS 2026 Columbus Crew0–1New York Red Bulls
2026-09-13 United States, MLS 2026 Columbus Crew0–1New York Red Bulls
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 Los Angeles FC2–0New York Red Bulls
2026-09-06 United States, MLS 2026 Seattle Sounders0–0New York Red Bulls
2026-08-30 United States, MLS 2026 New York Red Bulls1–3Philadelphia Union
2026-08-23 United States, MLS 2026 New York Red Bulls1–1Chicago Fire
2026-08-20 United States, MLS 2026 New York Red Bulls0–1Nashville SC

Toronto FC

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 United States, MLS 2026 Nashville SC2–0Toronto FC
2026-09-20 United States, MLS 2026 St. Louis City3–1Toronto FC
2026-09-14 United States, MLS 2026 Orlando City3–0Toronto FC
2026-09-13 United States, MLS 2026 Orlando City3–0Toronto FC
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 Toronto FC2–1Nashville SC
2026-09-06 United States, MLS 2026 Toronto FC4–4Chicago Fire
2026-08-30 United States, MLS 2026 Toronto FC1–1New York City
2026-08-23 United States, MLS 2026 Inter Miami1–2Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls Toronto FC

Wins

38%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

12%
75%

Both teams scored

25%
62%

Clean sheets

50%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Toronto FC

Away · MLS
New York Red Bulls Home Toronto FC Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

MLS · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

New York Red Bulls

27 matches
Goals & resultsHome12 matchesAway15 matchesOverall27 matches
Points / match1.251.401.33
Draws25.0%20.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match1.501.131.30
Goals conceded / match1.921.671.78
Total goals / match3.422.803.07
Failed to score33.3%20.0%25.9%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%46.7%48.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 11/12 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Toronto FC

28 matches
Goals & resultsHome14 matchesAway14 matchesOverall28 matches
Points / match1.430.641.04
Draws57.1%21.4%39.3%
Goals scored / match2.070.711.39
Goals conceded / match2.001.861.93
Total goals / match4.072.573.32
Failed to score0.0%42.9%21.4%
Under 2.5 goals28.6%35.7%32.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 2 0%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 10 0%

Scoring order known: 14/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelNew York Red BullsDraw Toronto FCHow it works
Strength (Elo) 48.2% 23.9% 27.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 33.1% 24.3% 41.7% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.38–1.59 Model expected goals
56.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals
58.9% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 11.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-111.3%
1-28.9%
0-18.1%
2-17.8%
1-07.1%
0-26.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureNew York Red BullsToronto FC How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1464 1432 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 14 4 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1489 1527 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
New York Red Bulls 0.630.58 0.631.11
Toronto FC 0.470.89 0.891.05

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
New York Red Bulls 5%22%22%15%35%
Toronto FC 8%5%35%25%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 New York Red Bulls at home, 9 matches
0.55 Toronto FC away, 11 matches
29d Days of rest for New York Red Bulls
21d Days of rest for Toronto FC
— Manager of New York Red Bulls
— Manager of Toronto FC
0 Matches for New York Red Bulls in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Toronto FC in the last 14 days
25 Points for New York Red Bulls behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
32 Points for Toronto FC behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
3.09 League goals per match
25.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents New York Red Bulls, the right bar represents Toronto FC.

On the ball

20 matches
5.21
corners
4.56
12.42
fouls
9.84
2.44
yellow cards
2.45

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
New York Red Bulls WWWLDLDLLW 1.40 0.90–1.10 3W
Toronto FC LLLLWDDWDW 1.20 1.50–2.20 4L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
New York Red Bulls7 66 03
Toronto FC2 710 11
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

New York Red Bulls

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Toronto FC

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.