San Jose Earthquakes

VS Scheduled Sunday 18 Oct 202603:30

United States 2026 MLS

Nashville SC

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings

San Jose EarthquakesWins: 0
Draws100.0% of meetings: 4
Nashville SCWins: 0

Goals per match: 2.00
Over 2.5 goals: 25.0%
Both teams scored: 75.0%

Date	Season	Match
2024-04-28	2024	Nashville SC1–1San Jose Earthquakes
2023-09-24	2023	San Jose Earthquakes1–1Nashville SC
2022-06-12	2022	Nashville SC0–0San Jose Earthquakes
2022-04-16	2022	San Jose Earthquakes2–2Nashville SC

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	2026	San Jose Earthquakes3–1Portland Timbers
2026-09-20	2026	San Jose Earthquakes2–2Los Angeles FC
2026-09-14	2026	San Jose Earthquakes1–0Houston Dynamo
2026-09-13	2026	San Jose Earthquakes1–0Houston Dynamo
2026-09-10	2026	San Diego FC2–3San Jose Earthquakes
2026-09-06	2026	Austin FC1–1San Jose Earthquakes
2026-08-30	2026	Houston Dynamo0–0San Jose Earthquakes
2026-08-23	2026	San Jose Earthquakes1–5Minnesota United

Nashville SC

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	2026	Nashville SC2–0Toronto FC
2026-09-20	2026	Nashville SC3–0Chicago Fire
2026-09-14	2026	Inter Miami2–2Nashville SC
2026-09-13	2026	Inter Miami2–2Nashville SC
2026-09-10	2026	Toronto FC2–1Nashville SC
2026-09-05	2026	New York City0–0Nashville SC
2026-08-30	2026	Nashville SC4–0FC Cincinnati
2026-08-23	2026	Nashville SC3–2Columbus Crew

San Jose Earthquakes Nashville SC

Wins

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

75%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

38%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

San Jose Earthquakes

Home · MLS

Home			Away		1st goal
4	San Jose Earthquakes		Nashville SC	1
4	San Jose Earthquakes	1–1	Vancouver Whitecaps	2	4′ Home
4	San Jose Earthquakes	2–3	FC Dallas	3	1′ Away
4 · San Jose Earthquakes
4	San Jose Earthquakes	1–3	St. Louis City	5	8′ Away
4	San Jose Earthquakes		Inter Miami	6
4	San Jose Earthquakes		New England Revolution	7
4	San Jose Earthquakes		Charlotte	8
4	San Jose Earthquakes	1–0	Houston Dynamo	9	38′ Home
4	San Jose Earthquakes	1–0	Houston Dynamo	9	—
4	San Jose Earthquakes		Chicago Fire	10
4	San Jose Earthquakes	2–2	Los Angeles FC	11	34′ Away
4	San Jose Earthquakes		Colorado Rapids	12
4	San Jose Earthquakes	1–1	Los Angeles Galaxy	13	13′ Away
4	San Jose Earthquakes	0–4	Orlando City	14	7′ Away
4	San Jose Earthquakes		New York City	15
4	San Jose Earthquakes		Philadelphia Union	16
4	San Jose Earthquakes	0–1	Seattle Sounders	17	20′ Away
4	San Jose Earthquakes		New York Red Bulls	18
4	San Jose Earthquakes		FC Cincinnati	19
4	San Jose Earthquakes	3–1	Portland Timbers	20	4′ Home
4	San Jose Earthquakes		Real Salt Lake	21
4	San Jose Earthquakes		DC United	22
4	San Jose Earthquakes	3–0	San Diego FC	23	—
4	San Jose Earthquakes	5–1	Austin FC	24	9′ Away
4	San Jose Earthquakes		Columbus Crew	25
4	San Jose Earthquakes	1–5	Minnesota United	26	4′ Home
4	San Jose Earthquakes		Toronto FC	27
4	San Jose Earthquakes	2–0	Atlanta Utd	28	24′ Home
4	San Jose Earthquakes		CF Montreal	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes	3–0	Sporting Kansas City	30	42′ Home

Nashville SC

Away · MLS

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Nashville SC
2	Vancouver Whitecaps		Nashville SC	1
3	FC Dallas	0–0	Nashville SC	1	–
4	San Jose Earthquakes		Nashville SC	1
5	St. Louis City		Nashville SC	1
6	Inter Miami	2–2	Nashville SC	1	—
6	Inter Miami	2–2	Nashville SC	1	—
7	New England Revolution	0–3	Nashville SC	1	34′ Away
8	Charlotte	1–2	Nashville SC	1	14′ Away
9	Houston Dynamo		Nashville SC	1
10	Chicago Fire	1–0	Nashville SC	1	1′ Home
11	Los Angeles FC		Nashville SC	1
12	Colorado Rapids		Nashville SC	1
13	Los Angeles Galaxy		Nashville SC	1
14	Orlando City	1–0	Nashville SC	1	72′ Home
15	New York City	0–0	Nashville SC	1	–
16	Philadelphia Union	0–0	Nashville SC	1	–
17	Seattle Sounders		Nashville SC	1
18	New York Red Bulls	0–1	Nashville SC	1	90+2′ Away
19	FC Cincinnati		Nashville SC	1
20	Portland Timbers		Nashville SC	1
21	Real Salt Lake		Nashville SC	1
22	DC United	2–2	Nashville SC	1	32′ Away
23	San Diego FC		Nashville SC	1
24	Austin FC		Nashville SC	1
25	Columbus Crew	0–1	Nashville SC	1	90+4′ Away
26	Minnesota United		Nashville SC	1
27	Toronto FC	2–1	Nashville SC	1	—
28	Atlanta Utd	0–2	Nashville SC	1	61′ Away
29	CF Montreal		Nashville SC	1
30	Sporting Kansas City		Nashville SC	1

San Jose Earthquakes Home Nashville SC Away

Wins

47%

36%

Over 1.5

80%

50%

Over 2.5

60%

43%

Over 3.5

47%

21%

Both teams scored

53%

36%

Clean sheets

33%

50%

Scores first

53%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

MLS · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

San Jose Earthquakes

28 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away13 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	1.60	1.85	1.71
Draws	20.0%	23.1%	21.4%
Goals scored / match	1.73	1.85	1.79
Goals conceded / match	1.47	1.31	1.39
Total goals / match	3.20	3.15	3.18
Failed to score	13.3%	15.4%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	46.2%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	6 of 8	75%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 7	14%

Scoring order known: 15/15 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Nashville SC

28 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away14 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	2.86	1.50	2.18
Draws	7.1%	42.9%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	2.93	1.14	2.04
Goals conceded / match	0.86	0.79	0.82
Total goals / match	3.79	1.93	2.86
Failed to score	0.0%	35.7%	17.9%
Under 2.5 goals	21.4%	57.1%	39.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 12/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Nashville SC	How it works
Strength (Elo)	30.5%	25.1%	44.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	10.3%	15.0%	69.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.90–2.66 Model expected goals

63.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

52.1% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 10.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-210.0%

1-29.1%

0-38.9%

1-38.0%

0-17.5%

1-16.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	San Jose Earthquakes	Nashville SC	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1514	1644	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-2	46	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1502	1506	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
San Jose Earthquakes	0.83	0.78	0.83	1.06
Nashville SC	0.89	1.11	0.37	0.53

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
San Jose Earthquakes	2%	18%	12%	18%	50%
Nashville SC	8%	18%	8%	20%	48%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.36 San Jose Earthquakes at home, 11 matches

1.22 Nashville SC away, 9 matches

21d Days of rest for San Jose Earthquakes

21d Days of rest for Nashville SC

— Manager of San Jose Earthquakes

— Manager of Nashville SC

0 Matches for San Jose Earthquakes in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Nashville SC in the last 14 days

13 Points for San Jose Earthquakes behind the leaders, and 19 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Nashville SC behind the leaders, and 32 above the relegation zone

3.09 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents San Jose Earthquakes, the right bar represents Nashville SC.

On the ball

20 matches

6.53

corners

5.84

12.11

fouls

11.47

3.0

yellow cards

2.42

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
San Jose Earthquakes	WDWWWDDLLL	1.50	1.30–1.50	1W
Nashville SC	WWDDLDWWWW	2.10	2.20–0.90	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
San Jose Earthquakes	6	6	6	1	2
Nashville SC	9	9	1	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

San Jose Earthquakes

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Nashville SC

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Sam Surridge in stoppage time denies Messi and Miami a win: MLS roundup The Guardian 09-13