New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls

VS Scheduled Saturday 24 Oct 202622:30

United States 2026 MLS

Inter Miami

Head-to-head overview

13 meetings

New York Red BullsWins: 6
Draws7.7% of meetings: 1
Inter MiamiWins: 6

Goals per match: 3.77
Over 2.5 goals: 69.2%
Both teams scored: 53.8%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-12	2026	Inter Miami2–2New York Red Bulls
2025-07-20	2025	New York Red Bulls1–5Inter Miami
2025-05-04	2025	Inter Miami4–1New York Red Bulls
2024-05-05	2024	Inter Miami6–2New York Red Bulls
2024-03-23	2024	New York Red Bulls4–0Inter Miami
2023-08-27	2023	New York Red Bulls0–2Inter Miami
2023-06-01	2023	Inter Miami0–1New York Red Bulls
2022-08-28	2022	New York Red Bulls3–1Inter Miami
2022-05-22	2022	Inter Miami2–0New York Red Bulls
2021-10-09	2021	New York Red Bulls1–0Inter Miami
2021-09-18	2021	Inter Miami0–4New York Red Bulls
2020-10-08	2020	New York Red Bulls1–2Inter Miami
2020-09-24	2020	Inter Miami1–4New York Red Bulls

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	New York City0–1New York Red Bulls
2026-09-14	2026	Columbus Crew0–1New York Red Bulls
2026-09-13	2026	Columbus Crew0–1New York Red Bulls
2026-09-10	2026	Los Angeles FC2–0New York Red Bulls
2026-09-06	2026	Seattle Sounders0–0New York Red Bulls
2026-08-30	2026	New York Red Bulls1–3Philadelphia Union
2026-08-23	2026	New York Red Bulls1–1Chicago Fire
2026-08-20	2026	New York Red Bulls0–1Nashville SC

Inter Miami

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-28	2026	Columbus Crew2–1Inter Miami
2026-09-14	2026	Inter Miami2–2Nashville SC
2026-09-13	2026	Inter Miami2–2Nashville SC
2026-09-10	2026	Chicago Fire1–1Inter Miami
2026-09-06	2026	Inter Miami2–2Atlanta Utd
2026-08-30	2026	Inter Miami7–1CF Montreal
2026-08-23	2026	Inter Miami1–2Toronto FC
2026-08-20	2026	Philadelphia Union2–2Inter Miami

New York Red Bulls Inter Miami

Wins

38%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

12%

88%

Both teams scored

25%

100%

Clean sheets

50%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

New York Red Bulls

Home · MLS

Home			Away		1st goal
18	New York Red Bulls	0–1	Nashville SC	1	90+2′ Away
18	New York Red Bulls		Vancouver Whitecaps	2
18	New York Red Bulls	0–2	FC Dallas	3	54′ Away
18	New York Red Bulls		San Jose Earthquakes	4
18	New York Red Bulls		St. Louis City	5
18	New York Red Bulls		Inter Miami	6
18	New York Red Bulls	1–0	New England Revolution	7	53′ Home
18	New York Red Bulls	0–2	Charlotte	8	7′ Away
18	New York Red Bulls		Houston Dynamo	9
18	New York Red Bulls	1–1	Chicago Fire	10	38′ Away
18	New York Red Bulls		Los Angeles FC	11
18	New York Red Bulls		Colorado Rapids	12
18	New York Red Bulls		Los Angeles Galaxy	13
18	New York Red Bulls	3–2	Orlando City	14	23′ Home
18	New York Red Bulls	1–1	New York City	15	44′ Home
18	New York Red Bulls	1–3	Philadelphia Union	16	20′ Away
18	New York Red Bulls		Seattle Sounders	17
18 · New York Red Bulls
18	New York Red Bulls	4–2	FC Cincinnati	19	—
18	New York Red Bulls		Portland Timbers	20
18	New York Red Bulls		Real Salt Lake	21
18	New York Red Bulls	4–4	DC United	22	15′ Home
18	New York Red Bulls		San Diego FC	23
18	New York Red Bulls		Austin FC	24
18	New York Red Bulls	3–2	Columbus Crew	25	7′ Home
18	New York Red Bulls		Minnesota United	26
18	New York Red Bulls		Toronto FC	27
18	New York Red Bulls		Atlanta Utd	28
18	New York Red Bulls	0–3	CF Montreal	29	8′ Away
18	New York Red Bulls		Sporting Kansas City	30

Inter Miami

Away · MLS

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Nashville SC	4–1	Inter Miami	6	17′ Home
2	Vancouver Whitecaps		Inter Miami	6
3	FC Dallas		Inter Miami	6
4	San Jose Earthquakes		Inter Miami	6
5	St. Louis City		Inter Miami	6
6 · Inter Miami
7	New England Revolution		Inter Miami	6
8	Charlotte	0–0	Inter Miami	6	–
9	Houston Dynamo		Inter Miami	6
10	Chicago Fire	1–1	Inter Miami	6	10′ Home
11	Los Angeles FC	3–0	Inter Miami	6	37′ Home
12	Colorado Rapids	2–3	Inter Miami	6	18′ Away
13	Los Angeles Galaxy		Inter Miami	6
14	Orlando City	2–4	Inter Miami	6	18′ Home
15	New York City	2–3	Inter Miami	6	3′ Away
16	Philadelphia Union	2–2	Inter Miami	6	11′ Home
17	Seattle Sounders		Inter Miami	6
18	New York Red Bulls		Inter Miami	6
19	FC Cincinnati	3–5	Inter Miami	6	—
20	Portland Timbers		Inter Miami	6
21	Real Salt Lake	0–2	Inter Miami	6	82′ Away
22	DC United	1–2	Inter Miami	6	17′ Away
23	San Diego FC		Inter Miami	6
24	Austin FC		Inter Miami	6
25	Columbus Crew	2–1	Inter Miami	6	28′ Home
26	Minnesota United		Inter Miami	6
27	Toronto FC	2–4	Inter Miami	6	44′ Away
28	Atlanta Utd		Inter Miami	6
29	CF Montreal	0–1	Inter Miami	6	81′ Away
30	Sporting Kansas City		Inter Miami	6

New York Red Bulls Home Inter Miami Away

Wins

33%

57%

Over 1.5

83%

86%

Over 2.5

50%

71%

Over 3.5

42%

50%

Both teams scored

58%

71%

Clean sheets

8%

21%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

MLS · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

New York Red Bulls

27 matches

Goals & results	Home12 matches	Away15 matches	Overall27 matches
Points / match	1.25	1.40	1.33
Draws	25.0%	20.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.13	1.30
Goals conceded / match	1.92	1.67	1.78
Total goals / match	3.42	2.80	3.07
Failed to score	33.3%	20.0%	25.9%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	46.7%	48.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 11/12 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Inter Miami

27 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away14 matches	Overall27 matches
Points / match	1.46	1.93	1.70
Draws	53.8%	21.4%	37.0%
Goals scored / match	2.69	2.07	2.37
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.71	1.85
Total goals / match	4.69	3.79	4.22
Failed to score	0.0%	14.3%	7.4%
Under 2.5 goals	15.4%	28.6%	22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 13/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	New York Red Bulls	Draw	Inter Miami	How it works
Strength (Elo)	28.6%	24.3%	47.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	12.7%	14.0%	63.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.31–3.11 Model expected goals

72.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

62.7% Both teams to score

1-3 Most likely score, at 7.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-37.9%

1-27.6%

1-46.1%

0-36.0%

0-25.8%

2-35.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	New York Red Bulls	Inter Miami	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1464	1615	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	14	-60	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1489	1497	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
New York Red Bulls	0.63	0.58	0.63	1.11
Inter Miami	1.32	1.26	0.79	1.11

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
New York Red Bulls	5%	22%	22%	15%	35%
Inter Miami	2%	2%	12%	12%	70%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 New York Red Bulls at home, 9 matches

1.89 Inter Miami away, 9 matches

35d Days of rest for New York Red Bulls

26d Days of rest for Inter Miami

— Manager of New York Red Bulls

Guillermo Hoyos Manager of Inter Miami, since 14/04/26

0 Matches for New York Red Bulls in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Inter Miami in the last 14 days

25 Points for New York Red Bulls behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

15 Points for Inter Miami behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone

3.09 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents New York Red Bulls, the right bar represents Inter Miami.

On the ball

20 matches

5.21

corners

5.05

12.42

fouls

13.42

2.44

yellow cards

3.46

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
New York Red Bulls	WWWLDLDLLW	1.40	0.90–1.10	3W
Inter Miami	LDDDDWLDLD	0.90	2.10–2.00	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
New York Red Bulls	7	6	6	0	3
Inter Miami	8	10	1	0	4

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

New York Red Bulls

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Inter Miami

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Sam Surridge in stoppage time denies Messi and Miami a win: MLS roundup The Guardian 09-13