Orlando City

Orlando City

VS Scheduled Sunday 25 Oct 202600:30

United States 2026 MLS

New York City

Head-to-head overview

28 meetings

Orlando CityWins: 7
Draws32.1% of meetings: 9
New York CityWins: 12

Goals per match: 3.04
Over 2.5 goals: 57.1%
Both teams scored: 67.9%

Date	Season	Match
2026-03-07	2026	New York City5–0Orlando City
2025-07-17	2025	Orlando City1–2New York City
2025-03-09	2025	New York City2–1Orlando City
2024-07-21	2024	Orlando City1–1New York City
2024-06-29	2024	New York City4–2Orlando City
2023-09-21	2023	New York City2–0Orlando City
2023-05-18	2023	Orlando City1–1New York City
2022-10-02	2022	New York City2–1Orlando City
2022-08-29	2022	Orlando City2–1New York City
2021-07-25	2021	New York City5–0Orlando City
2021-05-08	2021	Orlando City1–1New York City
2020-11-21	2020	Orlando City1–1New York City
2020-10-15	2020	Orlando City1–1New York City
2020-07-15	2020	New York City1–3Orlando City
2019-04-27	2019	New York City1–1Orlando City
2019-03-02	2019	Orlando City2–2New York City
2018-07-27	2018	Orlando City0–2New York City
2018-06-03	2018	New York City3–0Orlando City
2018-03-17	2018	New York City2–0Orlando City
2017-05-22	2017	Orlando City0–3New York City
2017-04-23	2017	New York City1–2Orlando City
2017-03-05	2017	Orlando City1–0New York City
2016-08-29	2016	Orlando City2–1New York City
2016-05-29	2016	New York City2–2Orlando City
2016-03-18	2016	New York City0–1Orlando City
2015-10-17	2015	Orlando City2–1New York City
2015-07-26	2015	New York City5–3Orlando City
2015-03-08	2015	Orlando City1–1New York City

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	2026	Philadelphia Union4–2Orlando City
2026-09-20	2026	New England Revolution4–2Orlando City
2026-09-14	2026	Orlando City3–0Toronto FC
2026-09-13	2026	Orlando City3–0Toronto FC
2026-09-10	2026	Atlanta Utd2–3Orlando City
2026-09-06	2026	Orlando City1–0San Diego FC
2026-08-30	2026	Minnesota United3–3Orlando City
2026-08-23	2026	Orlando City2–1Real Salt Lake

New York City

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	2026	Atlanta Utd2–2New York City
2026-09-19	2026	New York City0–1New York Red Bulls
2026-09-14	2026	Real Salt Lake0–2New York City
2026-09-13	2026	Real Salt Lake0–2New York City
2026-09-10	2026	New York City1–2New England Revolution
2026-09-05	2026	New York City0–0Nashville SC
2026-08-30	2026	Toronto FC1–1New York City
2026-08-23	2026	New England Revolution1–1New York City

Orlando City New York City

Wins

62%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

25%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

38%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Orlando City

Home · MLS

Home			Away		1st goal
14	Orlando City	1–0	Nashville SC	1	72′ Home
14	Orlando City		Vancouver Whitecaps	2
14	Orlando City		FC Dallas	3
14	Orlando City		San Jose Earthquakes	4
14	Orlando City		St. Louis City	5
14	Orlando City	2–4	Inter Miami	6	18′ Home
14	Orlando City		New England Revolution	7
14	Orlando City	4–1	Charlotte	8	21′ Home
14	Orlando City	0–1	Houston Dynamo	9	75′ Away
14	Orlando City	1–2	Chicago Fire	10	4′ Away
14	Orlando City		Los Angeles FC	11
14	Orlando City		Colorado Rapids	12
14	Orlando City		Los Angeles Galaxy	13
14 · Orlando City
14	Orlando City		New York City	15
14	Orlando City	4–3	Philadelphia Union	16	19′ Home
14	Orlando City		Seattle Sounders	17
14	Orlando City	1–2	New York Red Bulls	18	8′ Away
14	Orlando City	1–1	FC Cincinnati	19	23′ Away
14	Orlando City		Portland Timbers	20
14	Orlando City	2–1	Real Salt Lake	21	36′ Away
14	Orlando City		DC United	22
14	Orlando City	1–0	San Diego FC	23	—
14	Orlando City		Austin FC	24
14	Orlando City		Columbus Crew	25
14	Orlando City		Minnesota United	26
14	Orlando City	3–0	Toronto FC	27	45′ Home
14	Orlando City	3–0	Toronto FC	27	—
14	Orlando City	1–1	Atlanta Utd	28	18′ Home
14	Orlando City	2–1	CF Montreal	29	18′ Home
14	Orlando City		Sporting Kansas City	30

New York City

Away · MLS

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Nashville SC	2–1	New York City	15	16′ Home
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	2–0	New York City	15	44′ Home
3	FC Dallas		New York City	15
4	San Jose Earthquakes		New York City	15
5	St. Louis City		New York City	15
6	Inter Miami		New York City	15
7	New England Revolution	1–1	New York City	15	36′ Home
8	Charlotte	0–1	New York City	15	8′ Away
9	Houston Dynamo		New York City	15
10	Chicago Fire		New York City	15
11	Los Angeles FC		New York City	15
12	Colorado Rapids		New York City	15
13	Los Angeles Galaxy	1–1	New York City	15	2′ Home
14	Orlando City		New York City	15
15 · New York City
16	Philadelphia Union	1–2	New York City	15	36′ Away
17	Seattle Sounders		New York City	15
18	New York Red Bulls	1–1	New York City	15	44′ Home
19	FC Cincinnati	2–1	New York City	15	11′ Home
20	Portland Timbers		New York City	15
21	Real Salt Lake	0–2	New York City	15	41′ Away
21	Real Salt Lake	0–2	New York City	15	—
22	DC United		New York City	15
23	San Diego FC		New York City	15
24	Austin FC		New York City	15
25	Columbus Crew	1–2	New York City	15	28′ Away
26	Minnesota United		New York City	15
27	Toronto FC	1–1	New York City	15	29′ Away
28	Atlanta Utd	2–2	New York City	15	—
29	CF Montreal	1–0	New York City	15	18′ Home
30	Sporting Kansas City		New York City	15

Orlando City Home New York City Away

Wins

57%

36%

Over 1.5

79%

86%

Over 2.5

64%

36%

Over 3.5

21%

7%

Both teams scored

64%

Clean sheets

29%

21%

Scores first

64%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

MLS · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Orlando City

28 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away14 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	1.86	0.79	1.32
Draws	14.3%	14.3%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	1.86	1.79	1.82
Goals conceded / match	1.21	3.36	2.29
Total goals / match	3.07	5.14	4.11
Failed to score	7.1%	28.6%	17.9%
Under 2.5 goals	35.7%	14.3%	25.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	7 of 9	78%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 5	20%

Scoring order known: 14/14 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

New York City

28 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away14 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	1.14	1.43	1.29
Draws	28.6%	35.7%	32.1%
Goals scored / match	1.86	1.21	1.54
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.07	1.29
Total goals / match	3.36	2.29	2.82
Failed to score	21.4%	14.3%	17.9%
Under 2.5 goals	35.7%	64.3%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 13/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Orlando City	Draw	New York City	How it works
Strength (Elo)	42.2%	25.6%	32.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	30.7%	21.4%	45.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.62–2.02 Model expected goals

68.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

67.7% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 8.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-28.7%

1-18.6%

2-27.0%

2-17.0%

1-35.8%

0-25.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Orlando City	New York City	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1511	1528	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	18	-18	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1502	1488	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Orlando City	0.61	1.67	0.89	1.28
New York City	0.95	0.42	0.58	0.74

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Orlando City	0%	8%	18%	20%	55%
New York City	5%	15%	28%	20%	32%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.30 Orlando City at home, 10 matches

1.45 New York City away, 11 matches

28d Days of rest for Orlando City

28d Days of rest for New York City

Martín Perelman Manager of Orlando City, since 11/03/26

— Manager of New York City

0 Matches for Orlando City in the last 14 days

0 Matches for New York City in the last 14 days

24 Points for Orlando City behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

25 Points for New York City behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

3.09 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Orlando City, the right bar represents New York City.

On the ball

20 matches

4.22

corners

3.78

10.39

fouls

11.11

2.5

yellow cards

2.43

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Orlando City	LLWWWWDWLD	1.70	2.10–1.70	2L
New York City	DLWWLDDDLL	1.00	1.20–1.20	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Orlando City	5	4	9	2	2
New York City	8	7	4	0	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Orlando City

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

New York City

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Sam Surridge in stoppage time denies Messi and Miami a win: MLS roundup The Guardian 09-13