For the love of the game. Find your next match
Inter Miami
VS Scheduled United States 2026 MLS
FC Cincinnati

Head-to-head overview

14 meetings
Inter MiamiWins
7
Draws14.3% of meetings
2
FC CincinnatiWins
5
Goals per match
3.79
Over 2.5 goals
64.3%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-05-14 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati3–5Inter Miami
2025-11-23 United States, MLS 2025 FC Cincinnati0–4Inter Miami
2025-07-27 United States, MLS 2025 Inter Miami0–0FC Cincinnati
2025-07-17 United States, MLS 2025 FC Cincinnati3–0Inter Miami
2024-08-25 United States, MLS 2024 Inter Miami2–0FC Cincinnati
2024-07-07 United States, MLS 2024 FC Cincinnati6–1Inter Miami
2023-10-08 United States, MLS 2023 Inter Miami0–1FC Cincinnati
2023-04-02 United States, MLS 2023 FC Cincinnati1–0Inter Miami
Recent matches

Inter Miami

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-28 United States, MLS 2026 Columbus Crew2–1Inter Miami
2026-09-14 United States, MLS 2026 Inter Miami2–2Nashville SC
2026-09-13 United States, MLS 2026 Inter Miami2–2Nashville SC
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 Chicago Fire1–1Inter Miami
2026-09-06 United States, MLS 2026 Inter Miami2–2Atlanta Utd
2026-08-30 United States, MLS 2026 Inter Miami7–1CF Montreal
2026-08-23 United States, MLS 2026 Inter Miami1–2Toronto FC
2026-08-20 United States, MLS 2026 Philadelphia Union2–2Inter Miami

FC Cincinnati

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 United States, MLS 2026 CF Montreal3–1FC Cincinnati
2026-09-20 United States, MLS 2026 Houston Dynamo2–2FC Cincinnati
2026-09-14 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati3–3Charlotte
2026-09-13 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati3–3Charlotte
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 Philadelphia Union5–0FC Cincinnati
2026-08-30 United States, MLS 2026 Nashville SC4–0FC Cincinnati
2026-08-23 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati1–1Seattle Sounders
2026-08-20 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati2–1New York City
Inter Miami FC Cincinnati

Wins

12%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
88%

Both teams scored

100%
75%

Clean sheets

0%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Inter Miami Home FC Cincinnati Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

MLS · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Inter Miami

27 matches
Goals & resultsHome13 matchesAway14 matchesOverall27 matches
Points / match1.461.931.70
Draws53.8%21.4%37.0%
Goals scored / match2.692.072.37
Goals conceded / match2.001.711.85
Total goals / match4.693.794.22
Failed to score0.0%14.3%7.4%
Under 2.5 goals15.4%28.6%22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 9/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

FC Cincinnati

27 matches
Goals & resultsHome13 matchesAway14 matchesOverall27 matches
Points / match1.920.641.26
Draws30.8%42.9%37.0%
Goals scored / match2.851.502.15
Goals conceded / match2.082.862.48
Total goals / match4.924.364.63
Failed to score7.7%21.4%14.8%
Under 2.5 goals30.8%21.4%25.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 11/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelInter MiamiDraw FC CincinnatiHow it works
Strength (Elo) 59.3% 19.2% 21.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 31.7% 14.3% 25.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
3.75–3.37 Model expected goals
69.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
67.1% Both teams to score
3-3 Most likely score, at 4.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
3-34.5%
4-34.2%
3-24.0%
3-43.8%
4-23.8%
2-33.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureInter MiamiFC Cincinnati How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1615 1503 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -60 -31 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1497 1528 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Inter Miami 1.321.26 0.791.11
FC Cincinnati 1.111.22 1.171.33

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Inter Miami 2%2%12%12%70%
FC Cincinnati 0%18%15%12%55%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.55 Inter Miami at home, 11 matches
0.80 FC Cincinnati away, 10 matches
30d Days of rest for Inter Miami
31d Days of rest for FC Cincinnati
Guillermo Hoyos Manager of Inter Miami, since 14/04/26
— Manager of FC Cincinnati
0 Matches for Inter Miami in the last 14 days
0 Matches for FC Cincinnati in the last 14 days
15 Points for Inter Miami behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone
27 Points for FC Cincinnati behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
3.09 League goals per match
25.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Inter Miami, the right bar represents FC Cincinnati.

On the ball

20 matches
5.05
corners
5.0
13.42
fouls
10.33
3.46
yellow cards
2.15

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Inter Miami LDDDDWLDLD 0.90 2.10–2.00 1L
FC Cincinnati LDDDLLDWDW 1.10 1.70–2.50 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Inter Miami8 101 04
FC Cincinnati6 48 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Inter Miami

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

FC Cincinnati

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams