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Toronto FC
VS Scheduled United States 2026 MLS
DC United

Head-to-head overview

34 meetings
Toronto FCWins
10
Draws35.3% of meetings
12
DC UnitedWins
12
Goals per match
3.09
Over 2.5 goals
61.8%
Both teams scored
70.6%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-07-26 United States, MLS 2026 DC United2–1Toronto FC
2025-05-10 United States, MLS 2025 Toronto FC2–0DC United
2025-02-23 United States, MLS 2025 DC United2–2Toronto FC
2024-09-01 United States, MLS 2024 Toronto FC1–3DC United
2024-06-02 United States, MLS 2024 DC United2–2Toronto FC
2023-05-28 United States, MLS 2023 Toronto FC2–1DC United
2023-02-26 United States, MLS 2023 DC United3–2Toronto FC
2022-05-21 United States, MLS 2022 DC United2–2Toronto FC
Recent matches

Toronto FC

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 United States, MLS 2026 Nashville SC2–0Toronto FC
2026-09-20 United States, MLS 2026 St. Louis City3–1Toronto FC
2026-09-14 United States, MLS 2026 Orlando City3–0Toronto FC
2026-09-13 United States, MLS 2026 Orlando City3–0Toronto FC
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 Toronto FC2–1Nashville SC
2026-09-06 United States, MLS 2026 Toronto FC4–4Chicago Fire
2026-08-30 United States, MLS 2026 Toronto FC1–1New York City
2026-08-23 United States, MLS 2026 Inter Miami1–2Toronto FC

DC United

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 United States, MLS 2026 Vancouver Whitecaps3–3DC United
2026-09-20 United States, MLS 2026 DC United1–2Charlotte
2026-09-14 United States, MLS 2026 DC United0–0Atlanta Utd
2026-09-13 United States, MLS 2026 DC United0–0Atlanta Utd
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 DC United2–1Columbus Crew
2026-08-30 United States, MLS 2026 DC United0–0Los Angeles FC
2026-08-23 United States, MLS 2026 Charlotte3–1DC United
2026-08-20 United States, MLS 2026 DC United0–3New England Revolution
Toronto FC DC United

Wins

25%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
62%

Both teams scored

62%
50%

Clean sheets

0%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Toronto FC

Home · MLS

DC United

Away · MLS
Toronto FC Home DC United Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

MLS · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Toronto FC

28 matches
Goals & resultsHome14 matchesAway14 matchesOverall28 matches
Points / match1.430.641.04
Draws57.1%21.4%39.3%
Goals scored / match2.070.711.39
Goals conceded / match2.001.861.93
Total goals / match4.072.573.32
Failed to score0.0%42.9%21.4%
Under 2.5 goals28.6%35.7%32.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 11/14 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

DC United

27 matches
Goals & resultsHome15 matchesAway12 matchesOverall27 matches
Points / match1.201.081.15
Draws40.0%58.3%48.1%
Goals scored / match1.201.331.26
Goals conceded / match1.671.421.56
Total goals / match2.872.752.81
Failed to score33.3%33.3%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%58.3%44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 4 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 4 25%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 6 17%

Scoring order known: 12/12 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3042
31–4513
46–6032
61–7534
76–9055

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelToronto FCDraw DC UnitedHow it works
Strength (Elo) 47.1% 24.3% 28.6% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 20.3% 19.9% 57.0% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.24–2.22 Model expected goals
64.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals
61.3% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 9.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-29.6%
1-18.7%
0-27.8%
1-37.1%
0-17.0%
2-25.9%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureToronto FCDC United How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1432 1411 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 4 -16 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1527 1493 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Toronto FC 0.470.89 0.891.05
DC United 0.630.95 0.581.16

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Toronto FC 8%5%35%25%28%
DC United 12%10%22%25%30%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.22 Toronto FC at home, 9 matches
1.12 DC United away, 8 matches
31d Days of rest for Toronto FC
31d Days of rest for DC United
— Manager of Toronto FC
Kevin Flanagan Manager of DC United, since 09/07/25
0 Matches for Toronto FC in the last 14 days
0 Matches for DC United in the last 14 days
32 Points for Toronto FC behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
30 Points for DC United behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
3.09 League goals per match
25.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Toronto FC, the right bar represents DC United.

On the ball

20 matches
4.56
corners
5.26
9.84
fouls
13.05
2.45
yellow cards
2.57

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Toronto FC LLLLWDDWDW 1.20 1.50–2.20 4L
DC United DLDDWDLLDD 0.90 1.00–1.50 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Toronto FC2 710 11
DC United7 66 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Toronto FC

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

DC United

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.