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FC Cincinnati
VS Scheduled United States 2026 MLS
Philadelphia Union

Head-to-head overview

17 meetings
FC CincinnatiWins
5
Draws17.6% of meetings
3
Philadelphia UnionWins
9
Goals per match
2.71
Over 2.5 goals
47.1%
Both teams scored
41.2%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 Philadelphia Union5–0FC Cincinnati
2025-08-31 United States, MLS 2025 FC Cincinnati0–1Philadelphia Union
2025-03-02 United States, MLS 2025 Philadelphia Union4–1FC Cincinnati
2024-10-19 United States, MLS 2024 Philadelphia Union1–2FC Cincinnati
2024-06-20 United States, MLS 2024 FC Cincinnati4–3Philadelphia Union
2023-11-26 United States, MLS 2023 FC Cincinnati1–0Philadelphia Union
2023-09-17 United States, MLS 2023 Philadelphia Union2–2FC Cincinnati
2023-04-09 United States, MLS 2023 FC Cincinnati1–0Philadelphia Union
Recent matches

FC Cincinnati

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 United States, MLS 2026 CF Montreal3–1FC Cincinnati
2026-09-20 United States, MLS 2026 Houston Dynamo2–2FC Cincinnati
2026-09-14 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati3–3Charlotte
2026-09-13 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati3–3Charlotte
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 Philadelphia Union5–0FC Cincinnati
2026-08-30 United States, MLS 2026 Nashville SC4–0FC Cincinnati
2026-08-23 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati1–1Seattle Sounders
2026-08-20 United States, MLS 2026 FC Cincinnati2–1New York City

Philadelphia Union

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 United States, MLS 2026 Philadelphia Union4–2Orlando City
2026-09-20 United States, MLS 2026 Sporting Kansas City3–4Philadelphia Union
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 Philadelphia Union5–0FC Cincinnati
2026-09-06 United States, MLS 2026 Philadelphia Union2–0CF Montreal
2026-08-30 United States, MLS 2026 New York Red Bulls1–3Philadelphia Union
2026-08-23 United States, MLS 2026 Austin FC1–1Philadelphia Union
2026-08-20 United States, MLS 2026 Philadelphia Union2–2Inter Miami
2026-08-16 United States, MLS 2026 New York City2–3Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati Philadelphia Union

Wins

12%
75%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
75%

Both teams scored

75%
75%

Clean sheets

0%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

FC Cincinnati Home Philadelphia Union Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

MLS · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

FC Cincinnati

27 matches
Goals & resultsHome13 matchesAway14 matchesOverall27 matches
Points / match1.920.641.26
Draws30.8%42.9%37.0%
Goals scored / match2.851.502.15
Goals conceded / match2.082.862.48
Total goals / match4.924.364.63
Failed to score7.7%21.4%14.8%
Under 2.5 goals30.8%21.4%25.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 10/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Philadelphia Union

26 matches
Goals & resultsHome13 matchesAway13 matchesOverall26 matches
Points / match1.691.081.38
Draws30.8%15.4%23.1%
Goals scored / match1.772.001.88
Goals conceded / match1.002.381.69
Total goals / match2.774.383.58
Failed to score23.1%15.4%19.2%
Under 2.5 goals46.2%23.1%34.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 3 of 5 60%
Scores first → wins 1 of 5 20%
Concedes first → wins 3 of 8 38%

Scoring order known: 13/13 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelFC CincinnatiDraw Philadelphia UnionHow it works
Strength (Elo) 37.2% 26.2% 36.6% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 22.1% 15.4% 47.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.28–3.38 Model expected goals
76.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
72.9% Both teams to score
2-3 Most likely score, at 5.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-35.8%
2-25.2%
1-35.1%
2-44.9%
1-24.5%
3-34.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureFC CincinnatiPhiladelphia Union How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1503 1564 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -31 88 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1528 1489 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
FC Cincinnati 1.111.22 1.171.33
Philadelphia Union 0.751.50 1.000.65

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
FC Cincinnati 0%18%15%12%55%
Philadelphia Union 5%20%18%15%42%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.90 FC Cincinnati at home, 10 matches
1.40 Philadelphia Union away, 10 matches
34d Days of rest for FC Cincinnati
34d Days of rest for Philadelphia Union
— Manager of FC Cincinnati
Ryan Richter Manager of Philadelphia Union, since 27/05/26
0 Matches for FC Cincinnati in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Philadelphia Union in the last 14 days
27 Points for FC Cincinnati behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
25 Points for Philadelphia Union behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
3.09 League goals per match
25.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents FC Cincinnati, the right bar represents Philadelphia Union.

On the ball

20 matches
5.0
corners
5.9
10.33
fouls
14.6
2.15
yellow cards
3.15

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
FC Cincinnati LDDDLLDWDW 1.10 1.70–2.50 1L
Philadelphia Union WWWWWDDWWW 2.60 2.80–1.30 5W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
FC Cincinnati6 48 03
Philadelphia Union6 68 42
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

FC Cincinnati

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Philadelphia Union

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.