Nashville SC

Nashville SC

VS Scheduled Sunday 1 Nov 202621:30

United States 2026 MLS

New York Red Bulls

Head-to-head overview

9 meetings

Nashville SCWins: 2
Draws44.4% of meetings: 4
New York Red BullsWins: 3

Goals per match: 1.22
Over 2.5 goals: 11.1%
Both teams scored: 22.2%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-20	2026	New York Red Bulls0–1Nashville SC
2025-05-15	2025	Nashville SC2–1New York Red Bulls
2025-03-02	2025	New York Red Bulls2–0Nashville SC
2024-06-16	2024	New York Red Bulls0–0Nashville SC
2024-02-25	2024	Nashville SC0–0New York Red Bulls
2023-10-21	2023	Nashville SC0–1New York Red Bulls
2023-03-05	2023	New York Red Bulls0–0Nashville SC
2021-11-07	2021	Nashville SC1–1New York Red Bulls
2021-06-19	2021	New York Red Bulls2–0Nashville SC

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	2026	Nashville SC2–0Toronto FC
2026-09-20	2026	Nashville SC3–0Chicago Fire
2026-09-14	2026	Inter Miami2–2Nashville SC
2026-09-13	2026	Inter Miami2–2Nashville SC
2026-09-10	2026	Toronto FC2–1Nashville SC
2026-09-05	2026	New York City0–0Nashville SC
2026-08-30	2026	Nashville SC4–0FC Cincinnati
2026-08-23	2026	Nashville SC3–2Columbus Crew

New York Red Bulls

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	New York City0–1New York Red Bulls
2026-09-14	2026	Columbus Crew0–1New York Red Bulls
2026-09-13	2026	Columbus Crew0–1New York Red Bulls
2026-09-10	2026	Los Angeles FC2–0New York Red Bulls
2026-09-06	2026	Seattle Sounders0–0New York Red Bulls
2026-08-30	2026	New York Red Bulls1–3Philadelphia Union
2026-08-23	2026	New York Red Bulls1–1Chicago Fire
2026-08-20	2026	New York Red Bulls0–1Nashville SC

Nashville SC New York Red Bulls

Wins

50%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

12%

Both teams scored

50%

25%

Clean sheets

50%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Nashville SC

Home · MLS

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Nashville SC
1	Nashville SC		Vancouver Whitecaps	2
1	Nashville SC		FC Dallas	3
1	Nashville SC		San Jose Earthquakes	4
1	Nashville SC		St. Louis City	5
1	Nashville SC	4–1	Inter Miami	6	17′ Home
1	Nashville SC	4–1	New England Revolution	7	5′ Home
1	Nashville SC	4–2	Charlotte	8	19′ Home
1	Nashville SC		Houston Dynamo	9
1	Nashville SC	3–0	Chicago Fire	10	33′ Home
1	Nashville SC	3–2	Los Angeles FC	11	13′ Home
1	Nashville SC		Colorado Rapids	12
1	Nashville SC		Los Angeles Galaxy	13
1	Nashville SC	5–0	Orlando City	14	5′ Home
1	Nashville SC	2–1	New York City	15	16′ Home
1	Nashville SC		Philadelphia Union	16
1	Nashville SC		Seattle Sounders	17
1	Nashville SC		New York Red Bulls	18
1	Nashville SC	4–0	FC Cincinnati	19	43′ Home
1	Nashville SC		Portland Timbers	20
1	Nashville SC		Real Salt Lake	21
1	Nashville SC	2–2	DC United	22	25′ Away
1	Nashville SC		San Diego FC	23
1	Nashville SC		Austin FC	24
1	Nashville SC	3–2	Columbus Crew	25	27′ Home
1	Nashville SC	3–1	Minnesota United	26	26′ Home
1	Nashville SC	2–0	Toronto FC	27	16′ Home
1	Nashville SC	1–0	Atlanta Utd	28	79′ Home
1	Nashville SC	1–0	CF Montreal	29	68′ Home
1	Nashville SC		Sporting Kansas City	30

New York Red Bulls

Away · MLS

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Nashville SC		New York Red Bulls	18
2	Vancouver Whitecaps		New York Red Bulls	18
3	FC Dallas		New York Red Bulls	18
4	San Jose Earthquakes		New York Red Bulls	18
5	St. Louis City		New York Red Bulls	18
6	Inter Miami	2–2	New York Red Bulls	18	15′ Away
7	New England Revolution		New York Red Bulls	18
8	Charlotte	6–1	New York Red Bulls	18	14′ Home
9	Houston Dynamo		New York Red Bulls	18
10	Chicago Fire	1–3	New York Red Bulls	18	45′ Away
11	Los Angeles FC	2–0	New York Red Bulls	18	21′ Home
12	Colorado Rapids		New York Red Bulls	18
13	Los Angeles Galaxy		New York Red Bulls	18
14	Orlando City	1–2	New York Red Bulls	18	8′ Away
15	New York City	0–1	New York Red Bulls	18	57′ Away
16	Philadelphia Union	3–1	New York Red Bulls	18	9′ Home
17	Seattle Sounders	0–0	New York Red Bulls	18	–
18 · New York Red Bulls
19	FC Cincinnati	2–0	New York Red Bulls	18	40′ Home
20	Portland Timbers		New York Red Bulls	18
21	Real Salt Lake		New York Red Bulls	18
22	DC United		New York Red Bulls	18
23	San Diego FC		New York Red Bulls	18
24	Austin FC		New York Red Bulls	18
25	Columbus Crew	0–1	New York Red Bulls	18	89′ Away
25	Columbus Crew	0–1	New York Red Bulls	18	—
26	Minnesota United		New York Red Bulls	18
27	Toronto FC	1–1	New York Red Bulls	18	43′ Home
28	Atlanta Utd	2–1	New York Red Bulls	18	6′ Away
29	CF Montreal	4–1	New York Red Bulls	18	—
30	Sporting Kansas City	1–2	New York Red Bulls	18	3′ Away

Nashville SC Home New York Red Bulls Away

Wins

93%

40%

Over 1.5

86%

73%

Over 2.5

79%

53%

Over 3.5

64%

33%

Both teams scored

57%

60%

Clean sheets

43%

27%

Scores first

93%

53%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

MLS · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Nashville SC

28 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away14 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	2.86	1.50	2.18
Draws	7.1%	42.9%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	2.93	1.14	2.04
Goals conceded / match	0.86	0.79	0.82
Total goals / match	3.79	1.93	2.86
Failed to score	0.0%	35.7%	17.9%
Under 2.5 goals	21.4%	57.1%	39.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	9 of 13	69%
Scores first → wins	13 of 13	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 14/14 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	0
16–30	10	4
31–45	5	3
46–60	9	2
61–75	4	3
76–90	10	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

New York Red Bulls

27 matches

Goals & results	Home12 matches	Away15 matches	Overall27 matches
Points / match	1.25	1.40	1.33
Draws	25.0%	20.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.13	1.30
Goals conceded / match	1.92	1.67	1.78
Total goals / match	3.42	2.80	3.07
Failed to score	33.3%	20.0%	25.9%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	46.7%	48.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	6 of 8	75%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 6	0%

Scoring order known: 15/15 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Nashville SC	Draw	New York Red Bulls	How it works
Strength (Elo)	68.8%	14.4%	16.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	61.0%	21.7%	16.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.90–0.84 Model expected goals

50.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

47.7% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 12.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-012.2%

2-011.6%

1-110.3%

2-19.8%

3-07.4%

0-06.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Nashville SC	New York Red Bulls	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1644	1464	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	46	14	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1506	1489	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Nashville SC	0.89	1.11	0.37	0.53
New York Red Bulls	0.63	0.58	0.63	1.11

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Nashville SC	8%	18%	8%	20%	48%
New York Red Bulls	5%	22%	22%	15%	35%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.82 Nashville SC at home, 11 matches

1.45 New York Red Bulls away, 11 matches

35d Days of rest for Nashville SC

43d Days of rest for New York Red Bulls

— Manager of Nashville SC

— Manager of New York Red Bulls

0 Matches for Nashville SC in the last 14 days

0 Matches for New York Red Bulls in the last 14 days

0 Points for Nashville SC behind the leaders, and 32 above the relegation zone

25 Points for New York Red Bulls behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

3.09 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nashville SC, the right bar represents New York Red Bulls.

On the ball

20 matches

5.84

corners

5.21

11.47

fouls

12.42

2.42

yellow cards

2.44

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Nashville SC	WWDDLDWWWW	2.10	2.20–0.90	2W
New York Red Bulls	WWWLDLDLLW	1.40	0.90–1.10	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Nashville SC	9	9	1	0	2
New York Red Bulls	7	6	6	0	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Nashville SC

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

New York Red Bulls

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Sam Surridge in stoppage time denies Messi and Miami a win: MLS roundup The Guardian 09-13