Head-to-head overview
11 meetings- New England RevolutionWins
- 3
- Draws9.1% of meetings
- 1
- Inter MiamiWins
- 7
- Goals per match
- 3.91
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72.7%
- Both teams scored
- 72.7%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 |
2026
|
Inter Miami1–1New England Revolution |
| 2025-10-05 |
2025
|
Inter Miami4–1New England Revolution |
| 2025-07-10 |
2025
|
New England Revolution1–2Inter Miami |
| 2024-10-19 |
2024
|
Inter Miami6–2New England Revolution |
| 2024-04-28 |
2024
|
New England Revolution1–4Inter Miami |
| 2023-06-11 |
2023
|
New England Revolution3–1Inter Miami |
| 2023-05-14 |
2023
|
Inter Miami2–1New England Revolution |
| 2022-05-01 |
2022
|
New England Revolution2–0Inter Miami |
| 2022-04-09 |
2022
|
Inter Miami3–2New England Revolution |
| 2021-11-07 |
2021
|
New England Revolution0–1Inter Miami |
| 2021-07-22 |
2021
|
Inter Miami0–5New England Revolution |
Recent matches
New England Revolution
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 |
2026
|
Real Salt Lake3–0New England Revolution |
| 2026-09-20 |
2026
|
New England Revolution4–2Orlando City |
| 2026-09-13 |
2026
|
Chicago Fire1–2New England Revolution |
| 2026-09-10 |
2026
|
New York City1–2New England Revolution |
| 2026-09-06 |
2026
|
Los Angeles Galaxy2–1New England Revolution |
| 2026-08-30 |
2026
|
Columbus Crew1–3New England Revolution |
| 2026-08-23 |
2026
|
New England Revolution1–1New York City |
| 2026-08-20 |
2026
|
DC United0–3New England Revolution |
Inter Miami
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 |
2026
|
Columbus Crew2–1Inter Miami |
| 2026-09-14 |
2026
|
Inter Miami2–2Nashville SC |
| 2026-09-13 |
2026
|
Inter Miami2–2Nashville SC |
| 2026-09-10 |
2026
|
Chicago Fire1–1Inter Miami |
| 2026-09-06 |
2026
|
Inter Miami2–2Atlanta Utd |
| 2026-08-30 |
2026
|
Inter Miami7–1CF Montreal |
| 2026-08-23 |
2026
|
Inter Miami1–2Toronto FC |
| 2026-08-20 |
2026
|
Philadelphia Union2–2Inter Miami |
New England Revolution
Inter Miami
Wins
62%
12%
Over 2.5 goals
88%
88%
Both teams scored
75%
100%
Clean sheets
12%
0%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
New England Revolution
Inter Miami
New England Revolution Home
Inter Miami Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
MLS · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
New England Revolution
| Goals & results | Home13 matches | Away14 matches | Overall27 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.23 | 1.21 | 1.70 |
| Draws | 15.4% | 14.3% | 14.8% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.00 | 1.36 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 1.64 | 1.33 |
| Total goals / match | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Failed to score | 23.1% | 21.4% | 22.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38.5% | 21.4% | 29.6% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 4 of 78 of 13 | 57%62% |
| Scores first → wins | 6 of 79 of 13 | 86%69% |
| Concedes first → wins | 3 of 55 of 13 | 60%38% |
Scoring order known: 13/13 home.Scoring order known: 27/27 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Inter Miami
| Goals & results | Home13 matches | Away14 matches | Overall27 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.46 | 1.93 | 1.70 |
| Draws | 53.8% | 21.4% | 37.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.69 | 2.07 | 2.37 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.00 | 1.71 | 1.85 |
| Total goals / match | 4.69 | 3.79 | 4.22 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 14.3% | 7.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 15.4% | 28.6% | 22.2% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 13/14 away.Scoring order known: 22/27 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | New England Revolution | Draw | Inter Miami | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 32.4% | 25.7% | 41.9% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 25.6% | 19.1% | 50.6% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.70–2.45
Model expected goals
73.7%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
70.8%
Both teams to score
1-2
Most likely score, at 8.0%
Most likely scores
1-28.0%
2-26.8%
1-36.6%
1-16.6%
2-35.6%
2-15.6%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | New England Revolution | Inter Miami | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1506 | 1615 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 21 | -60 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1487 | 1497 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 0.65 | 0.90 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| Inter Miami | 1.32 | 1.26 | 0.79 | 1.11 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 2% | 12% | 18% | 38% | 30% |
| Inter Miami | 2% | 2% | 12% | 12% | 70% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.89
New England Revolution at home, 9 matches
1.89
Inter Miami away, 9 matches
36d
Days of rest for New England Revolution
35d
Days of rest for Inter Miami
Pablo Moreira
Manager of New England Revolution,
since 15/09/25
Guillermo Hoyos
Manager of Inter Miami,
since 14/04/26
0
Matches for New England Revolution in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Inter Miami in the last 14 days
15
Points for New England Revolution behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone
15
Points for Inter Miami behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone
3.09
League goals per match
25.3%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents New England Revolution, the right bar represents Inter Miami.
On the ball
5.61
5.05
corners
8.45
13.42
fouls
2.27
3.46
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | LWWWLWDWLL | 1.60 | 1.70–1.50 | 1L |
| Inter Miami | LDDDDWLDLD | 0.90 | 2.10–2.00 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 7 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 |
| Inter Miami | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
New England Revolution
No absences reported.
Inter Miami
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
Sam Surridge in stoppage time denies Messi and Miami a win: MLS roundup
The Guardian
09-13