FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati

VS Scheduled Saturday 7 Nov 202621:00

United States 2026 MLS

Nashville SC

Head-to-head overview

11 meetings

FC CincinnatiWins: 4
Draws27.3% of meetings: 3
Nashville SCWins: 4

Goals per match: 3.55
Over 2.5 goals: 72.7%
Both teams scored: 63.6%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-30	2026	Nashville SC4–0FC Cincinnati
2025-09-14	2025	FC Cincinnati2–1Nashville SC
2025-03-30	2025	Nashville SC1–2FC Cincinnati
2024-09-22	2024	Nashville SC2–2FC Cincinnati
2024-05-30	2024	FC Cincinnati0–2Nashville SC
2023-07-16	2023	FC Cincinnati3–1Nashville SC
2023-03-26	2023	Nashville SC0–1FC Cincinnati
2022-07-24	2022	FC Cincinnati1–1Nashville SC
2021-10-28	2021	FC Cincinnati3–6Nashville SC
2021-07-25	2021	Nashville SC3–0FC Cincinnati
2021-04-18	2021	Nashville SC2–2FC Cincinnati

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	2026	CF Montreal3–1FC Cincinnati
2026-09-20	2026	Houston Dynamo2–2FC Cincinnati
2026-09-14	2026	FC Cincinnati3–3Charlotte
2026-09-13	2026	FC Cincinnati3–3Charlotte
2026-09-10	2026	Philadelphia Union5–0FC Cincinnati
2026-08-30	2026	Nashville SC4–0FC Cincinnati
2026-08-23	2026	FC Cincinnati1–1Seattle Sounders
2026-08-20	2026	FC Cincinnati2–1New York City

Nashville SC

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	2026	Nashville SC2–0Toronto FC
2026-09-20	2026	Nashville SC3–0Chicago Fire
2026-09-14	2026	Inter Miami2–2Nashville SC
2026-09-13	2026	Inter Miami2–2Nashville SC
2026-09-10	2026	Toronto FC2–1Nashville SC
2026-09-05	2026	New York City0–0Nashville SC
2026-08-30	2026	Nashville SC4–0FC Cincinnati
2026-08-23	2026	Nashville SC3–2Columbus Crew

FC Cincinnati Nashville SC

Wins

12%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

75%

Both teams scored

75%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

FC Cincinnati

Home · MLS

Home			Away		1st goal
19	FC Cincinnati		Nashville SC	1
19	FC Cincinnati	4–3	Vancouver Whitecaps	2	9′ Home
19	FC Cincinnati		FC Dallas	3
19	FC Cincinnati	4–2	San Jose Earthquakes	4	26′ Away
19	FC Cincinnati		St. Louis City	5
19	FC Cincinnati	3–5	Inter Miami	6	—
19	FC Cincinnati		New England Revolution	7
19	FC Cincinnati	3–3	Charlotte	8	2′ Home
19	FC Cincinnati	3–3	Charlotte	8	—
19	FC Cincinnati		Houston Dynamo	9
19	FC Cincinnati	3–3	Chicago Fire	10	—
19	FC Cincinnati		Los Angeles FC	11
19	FC Cincinnati		Colorado Rapids	12
19	FC Cincinnati		Los Angeles Galaxy	13
19	FC Cincinnati	6–2	Orlando City	14	16′ Away
19	FC Cincinnati	2–1	New York City	15	11′ Home
19	FC Cincinnati		Philadelphia Union	16
19	FC Cincinnati	1–1	Seattle Sounders	17	24′ Home
19	FC Cincinnati	2–0	New York Red Bulls	18	40′ Home
19 · FC Cincinnati
19	FC Cincinnati		Portland Timbers	20
19	FC Cincinnati		Real Salt Lake	21
19	FC Cincinnati		DC United	22
19	FC Cincinnati		San Diego FC	23
19	FC Cincinnati		Austin FC	24
19	FC Cincinnati		Columbus Crew	25
19	FC Cincinnati		Minnesota United	26
19	FC Cincinnati	0–1	Toronto FC	27	85′ Away
19	FC Cincinnati	2–0	Atlanta Utd	28	80′ Home
19	FC Cincinnati	4–3	CF Montreal	29	6′ Away
19	FC Cincinnati		Sporting Kansas City	30

Nashville SC

Away · MLS

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Nashville SC
2	Vancouver Whitecaps		Nashville SC	1
3	FC Dallas	0–0	Nashville SC	1	–
4	San Jose Earthquakes		Nashville SC	1
5	St. Louis City		Nashville SC	1
6	Inter Miami	2–2	Nashville SC	1	—
6	Inter Miami	2–2	Nashville SC	1	—
7	New England Revolution	0–3	Nashville SC	1	34′ Away
8	Charlotte	1–2	Nashville SC	1	14′ Away
9	Houston Dynamo		Nashville SC	1
10	Chicago Fire	1–0	Nashville SC	1	1′ Home
11	Los Angeles FC		Nashville SC	1
12	Colorado Rapids		Nashville SC	1
13	Los Angeles Galaxy		Nashville SC	1
14	Orlando City	1–0	Nashville SC	1	72′ Home
15	New York City	0–0	Nashville SC	1	–
16	Philadelphia Union	0–0	Nashville SC	1	–
17	Seattle Sounders		Nashville SC	1
18	New York Red Bulls	0–1	Nashville SC	1	90+2′ Away
19	FC Cincinnati		Nashville SC	1
20	Portland Timbers		Nashville SC	1
21	Real Salt Lake		Nashville SC	1
22	DC United	2–2	Nashville SC	1	32′ Away
23	San Diego FC		Nashville SC	1
24	Austin FC		Nashville SC	1
25	Columbus Crew	0–1	Nashville SC	1	90+4′ Away
26	Minnesota United		Nashville SC	1
27	Toronto FC	2–1	Nashville SC	1	—
28	Atlanta Utd	0–2	Nashville SC	1	61′ Away
29	CF Montreal		Nashville SC	1
30	Sporting Kansas City		Nashville SC	1

FC Cincinnati Home Nashville SC Away

Wins

54%

36%

Over 1.5

92%

50%

Over 2.5

69%

43%

Over 3.5

62%

21%

Both teams scored

77%

36%

Clean sheets

15%

50%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

MLS · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

FC Cincinnati

27 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away14 matches	Overall27 matches
Points / match	1.92	0.64	1.26
Draws	30.8%	42.9%	37.0%
Goals scored / match	2.85	1.50	2.15
Goals conceded / match	2.08	2.86	2.48
Total goals / match	4.92	4.36	4.63
Failed to score	7.7%	21.4%	14.8%
Under 2.5 goals	30.8%	21.4%	25.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 10/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Nashville SC

28 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away14 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	2.86	1.50	2.18
Draws	7.1%	42.9%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	2.93	1.14	2.04
Goals conceded / match	0.86	0.79	0.82
Total goals / match	3.79	1.93	2.86
Failed to score	0.0%	35.7%	17.9%
Under 2.5 goals	21.4%	57.1%	39.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 12/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	FC Cincinnati	Draw	Nashville SC	How it works
Strength (Elo)	29.5%	24.7%	45.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	10.7%	12.4%	64.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.31–3.38 Model expected goals

71.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

61.2% Both teams to score

1-3 Most likely score, at 7.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-37.7%

1-26.9%

1-46.5%

0-35.9%

0-25.2%

2-35.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	FC Cincinnati	Nashville SC	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1503	1644	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-31	46	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1528	1506	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
FC Cincinnati	1.11	1.22	1.17	1.33
Nashville SC	0.89	1.11	0.37	0.53

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
FC Cincinnati	0%	18%	15%	12%	55%
Nashville SC	8%	18%	8%	20%	48%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.90 FC Cincinnati at home, 10 matches

1.22 Nashville SC away, 9 matches

41d Days of rest for FC Cincinnati

41d Days of rest for Nashville SC

— Manager of FC Cincinnati

— Manager of Nashville SC

0 Matches for FC Cincinnati in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Nashville SC in the last 14 days

27 Points for FC Cincinnati behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Nashville SC behind the leaders, and 32 above the relegation zone

3.09 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents FC Cincinnati, the right bar represents Nashville SC.

On the ball

20 matches

5.0

corners

5.84

10.33

fouls

11.47

2.15

yellow cards

2.42

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
FC Cincinnati	LDDDLLDWDW	1.10	1.70–2.50	1L
Nashville SC	WWDDLDWWWW	2.10	2.20–0.90	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
FC Cincinnati	6	4	8	0	3
Nashville SC	9	9	1	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

FC Cincinnati

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Nashville SC

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Sam Surridge in stoppage time denies Messi and Miami a win: MLS roundup The Guardian 09-13