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Philadelphia Union
VS Scheduled United States 2026 MLS
Toronto FC

Head-to-head overview

33 meetings
Philadelphia UnionWins
10
Draws27.3% of meetings
9
Toronto FCWins
14
Goals per match
2.94
Over 2.5 goals
63.6%
Both teams scored
60.6%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-04-23 United States, MLS 2026 Toronto FC3–3Philadelphia Union
2025-08-10 United States, MLS 2025 Philadelphia Union1–1Toronto FC
2025-05-29 United States, MLS 2025 Toronto FC1–2Philadelphia Union
2024-07-14 United States, MLS 2024 Toronto FC2–1Philadelphia Union
2024-05-30 United States, MLS 2024 Philadelphia Union0–0Toronto FC
2023-08-31 United States, MLS 2023 Toronto FC3–1Philadelphia Union
2023-04-23 United States, MLS 2023 Philadelphia Union4–2Toronto FC
2022-10-09 United States, MLS 2022 Philadelphia Union4–0Toronto FC
Recent matches

Philadelphia Union

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 United States, MLS 2026 Philadelphia Union4–2Orlando City
2026-09-20 United States, MLS 2026 Sporting Kansas City3–4Philadelphia Union
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 Philadelphia Union5–0FC Cincinnati
2026-09-06 United States, MLS 2026 Philadelphia Union2–0CF Montreal
2026-08-30 United States, MLS 2026 New York Red Bulls1–3Philadelphia Union
2026-08-23 United States, MLS 2026 Austin FC1–1Philadelphia Union
2026-08-20 United States, MLS 2026 Philadelphia Union2–2Inter Miami
2026-08-16 United States, MLS 2026 New York City2–3Philadelphia Union

Toronto FC

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 United States, MLS 2026 Nashville SC2–0Toronto FC
2026-09-20 United States, MLS 2026 St. Louis City3–1Toronto FC
2026-09-14 United States, MLS 2026 Orlando City3–0Toronto FC
2026-09-13 United States, MLS 2026 Orlando City3–0Toronto FC
2026-09-10 United States, MLS 2026 Toronto FC2–1Nashville SC
2026-09-06 United States, MLS 2026 Toronto FC4–4Chicago Fire
2026-08-30 United States, MLS 2026 Toronto FC1–1New York City
2026-08-23 United States, MLS 2026 Inter Miami1–2Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union Toronto FC

Wins

75%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
75%

Both teams scored

75%
62%

Clean sheets

25%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Toronto FC

Away · MLS
Philadelphia Union Home Toronto FC Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

MLS · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Philadelphia Union

26 matches
Goals & resultsHome13 matchesAway13 matchesOverall26 matches
Points / match1.691.081.38
Draws30.8%15.4%23.1%
Goals scored / match1.772.001.88
Goals conceded / match1.002.381.69
Total goals / match2.774.383.58
Failed to score23.1%15.4%19.2%
Under 2.5 goals46.2%23.1%34.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 3 of 6 50%
Scores first → wins 5 of 6 83%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 5 20%

Scoring order known: 13/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1531
16–3013
31–4543
46–6062
61–7551
76–9043

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Toronto FC

28 matches
Goals & resultsHome14 matchesAway14 matchesOverall28 matches
Points / match1.430.641.04
Draws57.1%21.4%39.3%
Goals scored / match2.070.711.39
Goals conceded / match2.001.861.93
Total goals / match4.072.573.32
Failed to score0.0%42.9%21.4%
Under 2.5 goals28.6%35.7%32.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 2 0%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 10 0%

Scoring order known: 14/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelPhiladelphia UnionDraw Toronto FCHow it works
Strength (Elo) 62.1% 17.8% 20.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 54.5% 18.1% 21.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.59–1.59 Model expected goals
73.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals
69.2% Both teams to score
2-1 Most likely score, at 8.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-18.2%
3-17.1%
2-26.5%
1-16.3%
3-25.6%
2-05.1%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasurePhiladelphia UnionToronto FC How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1564 1432 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 88 4 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1489 1527 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Philadelphia Union 0.751.50 1.000.65
Toronto FC 0.470.89 0.891.05

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Philadelphia Union 5%20%18%15%42%
Toronto FC 8%5%35%25%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.20 Philadelphia Union at home, 10 matches
0.55 Toronto FC away, 11 matches
41d Days of rest for Philadelphia Union
41d Days of rest for Toronto FC
Ryan Richter Manager of Philadelphia Union, since 27/05/26
— Manager of Toronto FC
0 Matches for Philadelphia Union in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Toronto FC in the last 14 days
25 Points for Philadelphia Union behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
32 Points for Toronto FC behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
3.09 League goals per match
25.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Philadelphia Union, the right bar represents Toronto FC.

On the ball

20 matches
5.9
corners
4.56
14.6
fouls
9.84
3.15
yellow cards
2.45

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Philadelphia Union WWWWWDDWWW 2.60 2.80–1.30 5W
Toronto FC LLLLWDDWDW 1.20 1.50–2.20 4L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Philadelphia Union6 68 42
Toronto FC2 710 11
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Philadelphia Union

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Toronto FC

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.