Yelimay Semey

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202612:00

Kazakhstan 2026 Premier League · Matchday 28

Aktobe

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

Yelimay SemeyWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
AktobeWins: 0

Goals per match: 5.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-03-21	2026	Aktobe1–4Yelimay Semey

Recent matches

Yelimay Semey

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-17	2026	Tobol0–2Yelimay Semey
2026-09-12	2026	Yelimay Semey2–1Zhetysu
2026-09-06	2026	Astana4–0Yelimay Semey
2026-08-31	2026	Yelimay Semey0–2Kairat
2026-08-16	2026	Kaspiy2–2Yelimay Semey
2026-08-09	2026	Yelimay Semey3–1Irtysh
2026-08-02	2026	Zhenys0–0Yelimay Semey
2026-07-26	2026	Yelimay Semey1–1Kaisar

Aktobe

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	Aktobe2–2Ulytau
2026-09-12	2026	Kaspiy1–2Aktobe
2026-09-05	2026	Aktobe1–0Zhenys
2026-08-30	2026	Irtysh2–1Aktobe
2026-08-15	2026	Kaisar1–2Aktobe
2026-08-09	2026	Atyrau1–1Aktobe
2026-08-01	2026	Kyzyl-Zhar3–1Aktobe
2026-07-25	2026	Aktobe2–1Okzhetpes

Yelimay Semey Aktobe

Wins

38%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

75%

Both teams scored

50%

88%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Yelimay Semey

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Yelimay Semey	1–3	Ordabasy	1	36′ Away
6	Yelimay Semey	0–2	Kairat	2	32′ Away
6	Yelimay Semey	2–2	Astana	3	1′ Away
6	Yelimay Semey		Okzhetpes	4
6	Yelimay Semey		Aktobe	5
6 · Yelimay Semey
6	Yelimay Semey	1–0	Tobol	7	75′ Home
6	Yelimay Semey	2–1	Zhenys	8	20′ Home
6	Yelimay Semey		Ulytau	9
6	Yelimay Semey	0–1	Kaspiy	10	77′ Away
6	Yelimay Semey	3–1	Irtysh	11	—
6	Yelimay Semey	2–0	Kyzyl-Zhar	12	61′ Home
6	Yelimay Semey	1–1	Kaisar	13	—
6	Yelimay Semey	1–2	Atyrau	14	18′ Away
6	Yelimay Semey	1–1	Altay	15	9′ Home
6	Yelimay Semey	2–1	Zhetysu	16	7′ Away

Aktobe

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Ordabasy	2–0	Aktobe	5	2′ Home
2	Kairat	1–0	Aktobe	5	76′ Home
3	Astana	3–2	Aktobe	5	12′ Home
4	Okzhetpes	2–2	Aktobe	5	32′ Home
5 · Aktobe
6	Yelimay Semey		Aktobe	5
7	Tobol		Aktobe	5
8	Zhenys	1–0	Aktobe	5	11′ Home
9	Ulytau	1–1	Aktobe	5	70′ Home
10	Kaspiy	1–2	Aktobe	5	39′ Away
11	Irtysh	2–1	Aktobe	5	37′ Away
12	Kyzyl-Zhar	3–1	Aktobe	5	3′ Home
13	Kaisar	1–2	Aktobe	5	11′ Home
14	Atyrau	1–1	Aktobe	5	37′ Home
15	Altay	2–4	Aktobe	5	20′ Away
16	Zhetysu	1–0	Aktobe	5	45′ Home

Yelimay Semey Home Aktobe Away

Wins

42%

23%

Over 1.5

83%

77%

Over 2.5

50%

54%

Over 3.5

25%

31%

Both teams scored

67%

69%

Clean sheets

17%

0%

Scores first

N/A

23%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Yelimay Semey

25 matches

Goals & results	Home12 matches	Away13 matches	Overall25 matches
Points / match	1.50	1.54	1.52
Draws	25.0%	38.5%	32.0%
Goals scored / match	1.33	1.46	1.40
Goals conceded / match	1.25	1.38	1.32
Total goals / match	2.58	2.85	2.72
Failed to score	16.7%	23.1%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	46.2%	48.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 11/12 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Aktobe

26 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away13 matches	Overall26 matches
Points / match	2.31	0.92	1.62
Draws	23.1%	23.1%	23.1%
Goals scored / match	1.69	1.23	1.46
Goals conceded / match	0.77	1.62	1.19
Total goals / match	2.46	2.85	2.65
Failed to score	7.7%	30.8%	19.2%
Under 2.5 goals	53.8%	46.2%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 3	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 10	10%

Scoring order known: 13/13 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	5
16–30	2	0
31–45	5	3
46–60	2	3
61–75	3	2
76–90	4	8

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Yelimay Semey	Draw	Aktobe	How it works
Strength (Elo)	44.1%	26.4%	29.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	17.4%	19.6%	60.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.08–2.21 Model expected goals

61.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

57.0% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.8%

0-29.1%

1-18.9%

0-18.2%

1-37.2%

0-36.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Yelimay Semey	Aktobe	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1525	1533	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	10	15	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1503	1487	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Yelimay Semey	0.60	0.75	0.80	0.70
Aktobe	0.60	0.95	0.50	0.65

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Yelimay Semey	4%	20%	24%	12%	40%
Aktobe	4%	23%	23%	23%	27%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Yelimay Semey at home, 10 matches

1.10 Aktobe away, 10 matches

23d Days of rest for Yelimay Semey

22d Days of rest for Aktobe

— Manager of Yelimay Semey

— Manager of Aktobe

0 Matches for Yelimay Semey in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Aktobe in the last 14 days

23 Points for Yelimay Semey behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

19 Points for Aktobe behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone

2.49 League goals per match

27.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Yelimay Semey, the right bar represents Aktobe.

On the ball

20 matches

6.11

corners

5.35

13.94

fouls

11.82

3.29

yellow cards

2.76

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Yelimay Semey	WWLLDWDDLW	1.50	1.20–1.40	2W
Aktobe	DWWLWDLWWL	1.70	1.80–1.60	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Yelimay Semey	6	6	8	0	3
Aktobe	6	9	5	1	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Yelimay Semey

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Aktobe

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.