Kaspiy

Kaspiy

VS Scheduled Saturday 31 Oct 202610:00

Kazakhstan 2026 Premier League · Matchday 30

Kyzyl-Zhar

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

KaspiyWins: 0
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
Kyzyl-ZharWins: 1

Goals per match: 3.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-03-08	2026	Kyzyl-Zhar2–1Kaspiy

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	Zhetysu0–1Kaspiy
2026-09-12	2026	Kaspiy1–2Aktobe
2026-09-05	2026	Kaspiy0–3Kairat
2026-08-30	2026	Kaspiy1–0Tobol
2026-08-16	2026	Kaspiy2–2Yelimay Semey
2026-08-08	2026	Kaspiy1–1Ulytau
2026-08-01	2026	Irtysh3–2Kaspiy
2026-07-26	2026	Kaspiy3–2Zhenys

Kyzyl-Zhar

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	Kyzyl-Zhar1–1Kaisar
2026-09-12	2026	Zhenys3–1Kyzyl-Zhar
2026-09-05	2026	Kyzyl-Zhar0–1Atyrau
2026-08-29	2026	Ordabasy3–0Kyzyl-Zhar
2026-08-16	2026	Kyzyl-Zhar1–1Astana
2026-08-08	2026	Altay2–2Kyzyl-Zhar
2026-08-01	2026	Kyzyl-Zhar3–1Aktobe
2026-07-25	2026	Zhetysu1–2Kyzyl-Zhar

Kaspiy Kyzyl-Zhar

Wins

38%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

62%

75%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Kaspiy

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Kaspiy	3–2	Ordabasy	1	16′ Home
10	Kaspiy	0–3	Kairat	2	4′ Away
10	Kaspiy	1–0	Astana	3	—
10	Kaspiy	1–3	Okzhetpes	4	24′ Away
10	Kaspiy	1–2	Aktobe	5	39′ Away
10	Kaspiy	2–2	Yelimay Semey	6	11′ Home
10	Kaspiy	1–0	Tobol	7	70′ Home
10	Kaspiy	3–2	Zhenys	8	9′ Home
10	Kaspiy	1–1	Ulytau	9	45′ Home
10 · Kaspiy
10	Kaspiy	2–2	Irtysh	11	27′ Home
10	Kaspiy		Kyzyl-Zhar	12
10	Kaspiy	1–2	Kaisar	13	6′ Away
10	Kaspiy	2–0	Atyrau	14	8′ Home
10	Kaspiy		Altay	15
10	Kaspiy	0–1	Zhetysu	16	—

Kyzyl-Zhar

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Ordabasy	3–0	Kyzyl-Zhar	12	9′ Home
2	Kairat	3–0	Kyzyl-Zhar	12	57′ Home
3	Astana	2–1	Kyzyl-Zhar	12	47′ Away
4	Okzhetpes		Kyzyl-Zhar	12
5	Aktobe	0–0	Kyzyl-Zhar	12	–
6	Yelimay Semey	2–0	Kyzyl-Zhar	12	61′ Home
7	Tobol	2–0	Kyzyl-Zhar	12	54′ Home
8	Zhenys	3–1	Kyzyl-Zhar	12	31′ Home
9	Ulytau	1–0	Kyzyl-Zhar	12	12′ Home
10	Kaspiy		Kyzyl-Zhar	12
11	Irtysh		Kyzyl-Zhar	12
12 · Kyzyl-Zhar
13	Kaisar	0–0	Kyzyl-Zhar	12	–
14	Atyrau	0–1	Kyzyl-Zhar	12	90+3′ Away
15	Altay	2–2	Kyzyl-Zhar	12	45′ Away
16	Zhetysu	1–2	Kyzyl-Zhar	12	56′ Away

Kaspiy Home Kyzyl-Zhar Away

Wins

38%

17%

Over 1.5

77%

67%

Over 2.5

62%

50%

Over 3.5

38%

17%

Both teams scored

62%

33%

Clean sheets

23%

25%

Scores first

62%

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Kaspiy

26 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away13 matches	Overall26 matches
Points / match	1.38	0.85	1.12
Draws	23.1%	15.4%	19.2%
Goals scored / match	1.38	0.69	1.04
Goals conceded / match	1.54	1.23	1.38
Total goals / match	2.92	1.92	2.42
Failed to score	15.4%	46.2%	30.8%
Under 2.5 goals	38.5%	69.2%	53.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	5 of 8	62%
Scores first → wins	5 of 8	62%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 5	0%

Scoring order known: 13/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Kyzyl-Zhar

26 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away12 matches	Overall26 matches
Points / match	1.14	0.75	0.96
Draws	28.6%	25.0%	26.9%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.58	1.08
Goals conceded / match	1.43	1.58	1.50
Total goals / match	2.93	2.17	2.58
Failed to score	21.4%	58.3%	38.5%
Under 2.5 goals	42.9%	50.0%	46.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 4	25%
Scores first → wins	2 of 4	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 6	0%

Scoring order known: 12/12 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	0	0
31–45	2	1
46–60	2	5
61–75	0	5
76–90	3	6

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Kaspiy	Draw	Kyzyl-Zhar	How it works
Strength (Elo)	49.8%	24.3%	25.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	43.8%	25.3%	30.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.52–1.22 Model expected goals

51.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

54.6% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.0%

1-09.8%

2-19.1%

0-17.9%

2-07.5%

1-27.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Kaspiy	Kyzyl-Zhar	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1468	1432	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	7	-13	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1508	1503	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Kaspiy	0.60	0.65	0.70	0.65
Kyzyl-Zhar	0.40	0.55	0.35	1.40

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Kaspiy	4%	31%	19%	23%	23%
Kyzyl-Zhar	8%	19%	19%	27%	27%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.64 Kaspiy at home, 11 matches

0.56 Kyzyl-Zhar away, 9 matches

43d Days of rest for Kaspiy

43d Days of rest for Kyzyl-Zhar

— Manager of Kaspiy

— Manager of Kyzyl-Zhar

0 Matches for Kaspiy in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Kyzyl-Zhar in the last 14 days

32 Points for Kaspiy behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

36 Points for Kyzyl-Zhar behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

2.49 League goals per match

27.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Kaspiy, the right bar represents Kyzyl-Zhar.

On the ball

20 matches

4.05

corners

3.7

11.44

fouls

13.65

3.2

yellow cards

3.27

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Kaspiy	WLLWDDLWDW	1.50	1.50–1.60	1W
Kyzyl-Zhar	DLLLDDWWDL	1.00	1.10–1.50	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Kaspiy	6	7	7	0	4
Kyzyl-Zhar	3	15	2	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Kaspiy

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Kyzyl-Zhar

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.