Larne

Larne

VS Scheduled Friday 16 Oct 202619:45

Northern Ireland 26/27 Premiership · Matchday 12

Coleraine

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

LarneWins: 0
Draws100.0% of meetings: 1
ColeraineWins: 0

Goals per match: 0.00
Over 2.5 goals: 0.0%
Both teams scored: 0.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-15	26/27	Coleraine0–0Larne

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Carrick2–5Larne
2026-09-15	26/27	Larne2–0Cliftonville
2026-09-12	26/27	Portadown0–2Larne
2026-09-08	26/27	Larne1–0Bangor
2026-09-04	26/27	Larne2–1Glentoran
2026-08-15	26/27	Coleraine0–0Larne

Coleraine

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-25	26/27	Coleraine1–3Linfield
2026-09-19	26/27	Coleraine1–0Limavady Utd
2026-09-15	26/27	Glentoran1–2Coleraine
2026-09-11	26/27	Coleraine3–2Ballymena Utd
2026-09-05	26/27	Coleraine4–1Crusaders
2026-08-28	26/27	Portadown0–3Coleraine
2026-08-22	26/27	Carrick0–2Coleraine
2026-08-15	26/27	Coleraine0–0Larne

Larne Coleraine

Wins

83%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

62%

Both teams scored

33%

50%

Clean sheets

67%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Larne

Home · Premiership

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Larne		Coleraine	1
3	Larne		Linfield	2
3 · Larne
3	Larne		Crusaders	4
3	Larne	2–1	Glentoran	5	51′ Home
3	Larne		Dungannon	6
3	Larne	2–0	Cliftonville	7	13′ Home
3	Larne		Carrick	8
3	Larne		Ballymena Utd	9
3	Larne		Limavady Utd	10
3	Larne	1–0	Bangor	11	76′ Home
3	Larne		Portadown	12

Coleraine

Away · Premiership

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Coleraine
2	Linfield		Coleraine	1
3	Larne		Coleraine	1
4	Crusaders		Coleraine	1
5	Glentoran	1–2	Coleraine	1	71′ Away
6	Dungannon	1–3	Coleraine	1	45+3′ Away
7	Cliftonville		Coleraine	1
8	Carrick	0–2	Coleraine	1	56′ Away
9	Ballymena Utd		Coleraine	1
10	Limavady Utd		Coleraine	1
11	Bangor		Coleraine	1
12	Portadown	0–3	Coleraine	1	4′ Away

Larne Home Coleraine Away

Wins

100%

Over 1.5

67%

100%

Over 2.5

33%

75%

Over 3.5

0%

25%

Both teams scored

33%

50%

Clean sheets

67%

50%

Scores first

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premiership · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Larne

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.33	2.67
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	1.67	2.33	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.33	0.67	0.50
Total goals / match	2.00	3.00	2.50
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 3	33%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Coleraine

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.00	3.00	2.44
Draws	20.0%	0.0%	11.1%
Goals scored / match	1.80	2.50	2.11
Goals conceded / match	1.20	0.50	0.89
Total goals / match	3.00	3.00	3.00
Failed to score	20.0%	0.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 4	50%
Scores first → wins	4 of 4	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	2	1
76–90	3	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Larne	Draw	Coleraine	How it works
Strength (Elo)	51.4%	11.4%	37.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	49.6%	27.4%	22.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.40–0.84 Model expected goals

38.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

42.7% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 14.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-014.9%

1-112.5%

0-010.6%

2-010.4%

0-19.0%

2-18.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Larne	Coleraine	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1562	1566	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	60	48	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1491	1502	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Larne	1.00	1.00	0.33	0.17
Coleraine	1.00	1.11	0.22	0.67

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Larne	17%	17%	33%	17%	17%
Coleraine	11%	11%	11%	22%	44%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Larne at home, 3 matches

3.00 Coleraine away, 4 matches

27d Days of rest for Larne

21d Days of rest for Coleraine

— Manager of Larne

— Manager of Coleraine

0 Matches for Larne in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Coleraine in the last 14 days

6 Points for Larne behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Coleraine behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone

2.65 League goals per match

11.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Larne, the right bar represents Coleraine.

On the ball

20 matches

4.6

corners

5.88

9.0

fouls

13.0

1.0

yellow cards

1.33

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Larne	WWWWWD	2.67	2.00–0.50	5W
Coleraine	LWWWWWWDW	2.44	2.11–0.89	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Larne	3	3	0	0	0
Coleraine	5	3	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Larne

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Coleraine

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.