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Larne
VS Scheduled Northern Ireland 26/27 Premiership · Matchday 3
Limavady Utd
Recent matches

Larne

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Carrick2–5Larne
2026-09-15 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Larne2–0Cliftonville
2026-09-12 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Portadown0–2Larne
2026-09-08 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Larne1–0Bangor
2026-09-04 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Larne2–1Glentoran
2026-08-15 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Coleraine0–0Larne

Limavady Utd

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Limavady Utd1–0Cliftonville
2026-09-19 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Coleraine1–0Limavady Utd
2026-09-15 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Limavady Utd3–1Bangor
2026-09-12 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Crusaders1–2Limavady Utd
2026-09-05 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Limavady Utd0–2Dungannon
2026-08-29 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Limavady Utd0–2Linfield
2026-08-15 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Limavady Utd1–2Carrick
2026-08-08 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Glentoran2–0Limavady Utd
Larne Limavady Utd

Wins

83%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

33%
38%

Both teams scored

33%
38%

Clean sheets

67%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Larne

Home · Premiership
HomeAway1st goal
3 Larne Coleraine 1
3 Larne Linfield 2
3 · Larne
3 Larne Crusaders 4
3 Larne 2–1 Glentoran 5 51′ Home
3 Larne Dungannon 6
3 Larne 2–0 Cliftonville 7 13′ Home
3 Larne Carrick 8
3 Larne Ballymena Utd 9
3 Larne Limavady Utd 10
3 Larne 1–0 Bangor 11 76′ Home
3 Larne Portadown 12

Limavady Utd

Away · Premiership
HomeAway1st goal
1 Coleraine 1–0 Limavady Utd 10 45′ Home
2 Linfield Limavady Utd 10
3 Larne Limavady Utd 10
4 Crusaders 1–2 Limavady Utd 10 29′ Away
5 Glentoran 2–0 Limavady Utd 10 60′ Home
6 Dungannon Limavady Utd 10
7 Cliftonville Limavady Utd 10
8 Carrick Limavady Utd 10
9 Ballymena Utd Limavady Utd 10
10 · Limavady Utd
11 Bangor Limavady Utd 10
12 Portadown Limavady Utd 10
Larne Home Limavady Utd Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premiership · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Larne

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match3.002.332.67
Draws0.0%33.3%16.7%
Goals scored / match1.672.332.00
Goals conceded / match0.330.670.50
Total goals / match2.003.002.50
Failed to score0.0%33.3%16.7%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%66.7%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 3 33%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3000
31–4510
46–6010
61–7510
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Limavady Utd

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway3 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.201.001.12
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.000.670.88
Goals conceded / match1.401.331.38
Total goals / match2.402.002.25
Failed to score40.0%66.7%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%66.7%62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3010
31–4501
46–6011
61–7502
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelLarneDraw Limavady UtdHow it works
Strength (Elo) 63.5% 9.4% 27.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 72.5% 17.2% 8.0% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.17–0.55 Model expected goals
48.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
36.4% Both teams to score
2-0 Most likely score, at 15.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-015.5%
1-014.3%
3-011.2%
2-18.5%
1-17.9%
0-06.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureLarneLimavady Utd How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1562 1474 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 60 -13 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1491 1508 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Larne 1.001.00 0.330.17
Limavady Utd 0.620.25 0.620.75

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Larne 17%17%33%17%17%
Limavady Utd 0%25%38%25%12%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Larne at home, 3 matches
1.00 Limavady Utd away, 3 matches
38d Days of rest for Larne
31d Days of rest for Limavady Utd
— Manager of Larne
— Manager of Limavady Utd
0 Matches for Larne in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Limavady Utd in the last 14 days
6 Points for Larne behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
13 Points for Limavady Utd behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.65 League goals per match
11.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Larne, the right bar represents Limavady Utd.

On the ball

20 matches
4.6
corners
3.0
9.0
fouls
9.0
1.0
yellow cards
1.8

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Larne WWWWWD 2.67 2.00–0.50 5W
Limavady Utd WLWWLLLL 1.12 0.88–1.38 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Larne3 30 00
Limavady Utd3 14 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Larne

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Limavady Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.