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Larne
VS Scheduled Northern Ireland 26/27 Premiership · Matchday 20
Crusaders
Recent matches

Larne

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Carrick2–5Larne
2026-09-15 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Larne2–0Cliftonville
2026-09-12 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Portadown0–2Larne
2026-09-08 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Larne1–0Bangor
2026-09-04 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Larne2–1Glentoran
2026-08-15 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Coleraine0–0Larne

Crusaders

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Crusaders2–1Bangor
2026-09-19 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Linfield1–0Crusaders
2026-09-15 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Crusaders3–0Dungannon
2026-09-12 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Crusaders1–2Limavady Utd
2026-09-05 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Coleraine4–1Crusaders
2026-08-29 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Glentoran1–2Crusaders
2026-08-22 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Crusaders3–2Portadown
2026-08-15 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Crusaders2–1Ballymena Utd
Larne Crusaders

Wins

83%
62%

Over 2.5 goals

33%
88%

Both teams scored

33%
75%

Clean sheets

67%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Larne

Home · Premiership
HomeAway1st goal
3 Larne Coleraine 1
3 Larne Linfield 2
3 · Larne
3 Larne Crusaders 4
3 Larne 2–1 Glentoran 5 51′ Home
3 Larne Dungannon 6
3 Larne 2–0 Cliftonville 7 13′ Home
3 Larne Carrick 8
3 Larne Ballymena Utd 9
3 Larne Limavady Utd 10
3 Larne 1–0 Bangor 11 76′ Home
3 Larne Portadown 12

Crusaders

Away · Premiership
HomeAway1st goal
1 Coleraine 4–1 Crusaders 4 1′ Home
2 Linfield 1–0 Crusaders 4 47′ Home
3 Larne Crusaders 4
4 · Crusaders
5 Glentoran 1–2 Crusaders 4 43′ Away
6 Dungannon Crusaders 4
7 Cliftonville 2–1 Crusaders 4 11′ Home
8 Carrick Crusaders 4
9 Ballymena Utd Crusaders 4
10 Limavady Utd Crusaders 4
11 Bangor Crusaders 4
12 Portadown Crusaders 4
Larne Home Crusaders Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premiership · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Larne

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match3.002.332.67
Draws0.0%33.3%16.7%
Goals scored / match1.672.332.00
Goals conceded / match0.330.670.50
Total goals / match2.003.002.50
Failed to score0.0%33.3%16.7%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%66.7%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 3 33%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3000
31–4510
46–6010
61–7510
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Crusaders

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.400.751.67
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match2.201.001.67
Goals conceded / match1.202.001.56
Total goals / match3.403.003.22
Failed to score0.0%25.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%25.0%11.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1504
16–3000
31–4510
46–6002
61–7502
76–9030

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelLarneDraw CrusadersHow it works
Strength (Elo) 58.9% 10.4% 30.8% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 72.7% 15.2% 8.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.45–0.67 Model expected goals
56.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
42.6% Both teams to score
2-0 Most likely score, at 13.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-013.3%
1-010.9%
3-010.8%
2-18.9%
1-17.2%
3-17.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureLarneCrusaders How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1562 1509 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 60 18 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1491 1503 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Larne 1.001.00 0.330.17
Crusaders 0.671.00 0.670.89

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Larne 17%17%33%17%17%
Crusaders 0%11%0%67%22%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Larne at home, 3 matches
0.75 Crusaders away, 4 matches
84d Days of rest for Larne
77d Days of rest for Crusaders
— Manager of Larne
— Manager of Crusaders
0 Matches for Larne in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Crusaders in the last 14 days
6 Points for Larne behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
7 Points for Crusaders behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
2.65 League goals per match
11.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Larne, the right bar represents Crusaders.

On the ball

20 matches
4.6
corners
3.33
9.0
fouls
8.57
1.0
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Larne WWWWWD 2.67 2.00–0.50 5W
Crusaders WLWLLWWWL 1.67 1.67–1.56 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Larne3 30 00
Crusaders4 23 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Larne

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Crusaders

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.