Head-to-head overview
1 meetings- CarrickWins
- 0
- Draws100.0% of meetings
- 1
- Ballymena UtdWins
- 0
- Goals per match
- 2.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 0.0%
- Both teams scored
- 100.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 |
26/27
|
Ballymena Utd1–1Carrick |
Recent matches
Carrick
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
26/27
|
Glentoran2–0Carrick |
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Carrick2–5Larne |
| 2026-09-15 |
26/27
|
Ballymena Utd1–1Carrick |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Carrick1–3Cliftonville |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Linfield1–0Carrick |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Bangor0–4Carrick |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Carrick0–2Coleraine |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Limavady Utd1–2Carrick |
Ballymena Utd
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
26/27
|
Ballymena Utd2–0Portadown |
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Dungannon1–1Ballymena Utd |
| 2026-09-15 |
26/27
|
Ballymena Utd1–1Carrick |
| 2026-09-11 |
26/27
|
Coleraine3–2Ballymena Utd |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Bangor2–2Ballymena Utd |
| 2026-08-21 |
26/27
|
Ballymena Utd0–2Glentoran |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Crusaders2–1Ballymena Utd |
| 2026-08-08 |
26/27
|
Linfield0–3Ballymena Utd |
Carrick
Ballymena Utd
Wins
25%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Both teams scored
50%
62%
Clean sheets
12%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Carrick
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Carrick | 0–2 | Coleraine | 1 | 56′ Away |
| 8 | Carrick | Linfield | 2 | ||
| 8 | Carrick | 2–5 | Larne | 3 | 15′ Away |
| 8 | Carrick | Crusaders | 4 | ||
| 8 | Carrick | Glentoran | 5 | ||
| 8 | Carrick | Dungannon | 6 | ||
| 8 | Carrick | 1–3 | Cliftonville | 7 | 10′ Home |
| 8 · Carrick | |||||
| 8 | Carrick | Ballymena Utd | 9 | ||
| 8 | Carrick | Limavady Utd | 10 | ||
| 8 | Carrick | Bangor | 11 | ||
| 8 | Carrick | 1–0 | Portadown | 12 | 62′ Home |
Ballymena Utd
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 3–2 | Ballymena Utd | 9 | 12′ Home |
| 2 | Linfield | 0–3 | Ballymena Utd | 9 | 10′ Away |
| 3 | Larne | Ballymena Utd | 9 | ||
| 4 | Crusaders | 2–1 | Ballymena Utd | 9 | — |
| 5 | Glentoran | Ballymena Utd | 9 | ||
| 6 | Dungannon | 1–1 | Ballymena Utd | 9 | 24′ Away |
| 7 | Cliftonville | Ballymena Utd | 9 | ||
| 8 | Carrick | Ballymena Utd | 9 | ||
| 9 · Ballymena Utd | |||||
| 10 | Limavady Utd | Ballymena Utd | 9 | ||
| 11 | Bangor | 2–2 | Ballymena Utd | 9 | 15′ Away |
| 12 | Portadown | Ballymena Utd | 9 | ||
Carrick Home
Ballymena Utd Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Premiership · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Carrick
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away5 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.75 | 1.40 | 1.11 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 20.0% | 11.1% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.22 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.50 | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Total goals / match | 3.50 | 2.40 | 2.89 |
| Failed to score | 25.0% | 40.0% | 33.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 22 of 4 | 0%50% |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 23 of 4 | 50%75% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 20 of 5 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 4/4 home.Scoring order known: 9/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 2 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 1 |
| 31–45 | 2 | 2 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 1 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 1 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 3 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Ballymena Utd
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away5 matches | Overall8 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.12 |
| Draws | 33.3% | 40.0% | 37.5% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.00 | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 1.60 | 1.38 |
| Total goals / match | 2.00 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Failed to score | 33.3% | 0.0% | 12.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 100.0% | 20.0% | 50.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 4/5 away.Scoring order known: 7/8 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Carrick | Draw | Ballymena Utd | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 47.9% | 11.7% | 40.4% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 27.6% | 22.9% | 48.2% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.32–1.83
Model expected goals
59.5%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
60.5%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 10.4%
Most likely scores
1-110.4%
1-29.5%
0-17.9%
0-27.2%
2-16.9%
2-26.3%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Carrick | Ballymena Utd | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1467 | 1498 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -41 | -22 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1503 | 1491 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrick | 0.67 | 0.56 | 0.78 | 0.89 |
| Ballymena Utd | 0.62 | 0.88 | 0.62 | 0.75 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrick | 0% | 22% | 33% | 11% | 33% |
| Ballymena Utd | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
0.75
Carrick at home, 4 matches
1.00
Ballymena Utd away, 5 matches
154d
Days of rest for Carrick
154d
Days of rest for Ballymena Utd
—
Manager of Carrick
—
Manager of Ballymena Utd
0
Matches for Carrick in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Ballymena Utd in the last 14 days
12
Points for Carrick behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
13
Points for Ballymena Utd behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.65
League goals per match
11.8%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Carrick, the right bar represents Ballymena Utd.
On the ball
5.75
4.25
corners
10.0
7.17
fouls
1.83
1.8
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrick | LLDLLWLWW | 1.11 | 1.22–1.67 | 2L |
| Ballymena Utd | WDDLDLLW | 1.12 | 1.50–1.38 | 1W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrick | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Ballymena Utd | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Carrick
No absences reported.
Ballymena Utd
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.