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Dungannon
VS Scheduled Northern Ireland 26/27 Premiership · Matchday 33
Larne
Recent matches

Dungannon

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Dungannon1–1Ballymena Utd
2026-09-15 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Crusaders3–0Dungannon
2026-09-12 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Dungannon0–1Linfield
2026-09-05 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Limavady Utd0–2Dungannon
2026-08-29 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Cliftonville0–2Dungannon
2026-08-22 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Dungannon2–0Bangor
2026-08-15 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Portadown0–1Dungannon
2026-08-08 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Dungannon1–3Coleraine

Larne

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Carrick2–5Larne
2026-09-15 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Larne2–0Cliftonville
2026-09-12 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Portadown0–2Larne
2026-09-08 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Larne1–0Bangor
2026-09-04 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Larne2–1Glentoran
2026-08-15 Northern Ireland, Premiership 26/27 Coleraine0–0Larne
Dungannon Larne

Wins

50%
83%

Over 2.5 goals

25%
33%

Both teams scored

25%
33%

Clean sheets

50%
67%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Dungannon

Home · Premiership
HomeAway1st goal
6 Dungannon 1–3 Coleraine 1 45+3′ Away
6 Dungannon 0–1 Linfield 2 82′ Away
6 Dungannon Larne 3
6 Dungannon Crusaders 4
6 Dungannon Glentoran 5
6 · Dungannon
6 Dungannon Cliftonville 7
6 Dungannon Carrick 8
6 Dungannon 1–1 Ballymena Utd 9 24′ Away
6 Dungannon Limavady Utd 10
6 Dungannon 2–0 Bangor 11 11′ Home
6 Dungannon Portadown 12

Larne

Away · Premiership
HomeAway1st goal
1 Coleraine 0–0 Larne 3 –
2 Linfield Larne 3
3 · Larne
4 Crusaders Larne 3
5 Glentoran Larne 3
6 Dungannon Larne 3
7 Cliftonville Larne 3
8 Carrick 2–5 Larne 3 15′ Away
9 Ballymena Utd Larne 3
10 Limavady Utd Larne 3
11 Bangor Larne 3
12 Portadown 0–2 Larne 3 7′ Away
Dungannon Home Larne Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premiership · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Dungannon

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.002.251.62
Draws25.0%0.0%12.5%
Goals scored / match1.001.251.12
Goals conceded / match1.250.751.00
Total goals / match2.252.002.12
Failed to score25.0%25.0%25.0%
Under 2.5 goals75.0%75.0%75.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3001
31–4511
46–6001
61–7510
76–9012

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Larne

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match3.002.332.67
Draws0.0%33.3%16.7%
Goals scored / match1.672.332.00
Goals conceded / match0.330.670.50
Total goals / match2.003.002.50
Failed to score0.0%33.3%16.7%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%66.7%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1520
16–3010
31–4512
46–6010
61–7510
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelDungannonDraw LarneHow it works
Strength (Elo) 44.9% 11.8% 43.3% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 12.9% 26.5% 60.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.51–1.46 Model expected goals
31.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
30.5% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 20.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-120.4%
0-214.9%
0-014.0%
1-110.4%
1-27.6%
0-37.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureDungannonLarne How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1508 1562 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 26 60 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1494 1491 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Dungannon 0.500.62 0.250.75
Larne 1.001.00 0.330.17

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Dungannon 0%25%50%12%12%
Larne 17%17%33%17%17%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Dungannon at home, 4 matches
2.33 Larne away, 3 matches
189d Days of rest for Dungannon
189d Days of rest for Larne
— Manager of Dungannon
— Manager of Larne
0 Matches for Dungannon in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Larne in the last 14 days
9 Points for Dungannon behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
6 Points for Larne behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
2.65 League goals per match
11.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Dungannon, the right bar represents Larne.

On the ball

20 matches
5.14
corners
4.6
9.67
fouls
9.0
2.5
yellow cards
1.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Dungannon DLLWWWWL 1.62 1.12–1.00 1D
Larne WWWWWD 2.67 2.00–0.50 5W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Dungannon3 41 00
Larne3 30 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Dungannon

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Larne

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.