Head-to-head overview
3 meetings- RigaWins
- 3
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- Super NovaWins
- 0
- Goals per match
- 3.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66.7%
- Both teams scored
- 33.3%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 |
2026
|
Super Nova0–1Riga |
| 2026-05-24 |
2026
|
Riga3–0Super Nova |
| 2026-04-14 |
2026
|
Super Nova1–4Riga |
Recent matches
Riga
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
2026
|
FS Jelgava0–1Riga |
| 2026-09-15 |
2026
|
Super Nova0–1Riga |
| 2026-09-11 |
2026
|
Riga2–2Auda |
| 2026-09-07 |
2026
|
Riga1–1Daugavpils |
| 2026-08-31 |
2026
|
Liepāja3–2Riga |
| 2026-08-23 |
2026
|
Rīgas FS3–3Riga |
| 2026-08-09 |
2026
|
Riga4–1Ogre United |
| 2026-08-02 |
2026
|
Riga4–0Grobiņa |
Super Nova
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
2026
|
Ogre United1–0Super Nova |
| 2026-09-15 |
2026
|
Super Nova0–1Riga |
| 2026-09-10 |
2026
|
Super Nova1–0Tukums |
| 2026-09-05 |
2026
|
FS Jelgava0–1Super Nova |
| 2026-08-29 |
2026
|
Auda1–1Super Nova |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Super Nova0–0Daugavpils |
| 2026-08-09 |
2026
|
Super Nova1–2Liepāja |
| 2026-07-20 |
2026
|
Super Nova2–0Grobiņa |
Riga
Super Nova
Wins
50%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
12%
Both teams scored
62%
25%
Clean sheets
38%
50%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
Riga
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Riga | 2–1 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 17′ Home |
| 2 · Riga | |||||
| 2 | Riga | 4–1 | Auda | 3 | 20′ Home |
| 2 | Riga | 2–2 | Auda | 3 | 38′ Home |
| 2 | Riga | 1–0 | Liepāja | 4 | 65′ Home |
| 2 | Riga | 4–0 | Liepāja | 4 | 8′ Home |
| 2 | Riga | 4–2 | Daugavpils | 5 | 30′ Home |
| 2 | Riga | 1–1 | Daugavpils | 5 | 53′ Away |
| 2 | Riga | 3–0 | Super Nova | 6 | 29′ Home |
| 2 | Riga | 2–2 | FS Jelgava | 7 | 11′ Away |
| 2 | Riga | 3–0 | FS Jelgava | 7 | 11′ Home |
| 2 | Riga | 2–0 | Grobiņa | 8 | 45+2′ Home |
| 2 | Riga | 4–0 | Grobiņa | 8 | — |
| 2 | Riga | 3–3 | Tukums | 9 | 30′ Home |
| 2 | Riga | 3–1 | Tukums | 9 | 45+1′ Away |
| 2 | Riga | 4–0 | Ogre United | 10 | 16′ Home |
| 2 | Riga | 4–1 | Ogre United | 10 | 2′ Home |
Super Nova
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 2–0 | Super Nova | 6 | 48′ Home |
| 2 | Riga | 3–0 | Super Nova | 6 | 29′ Home |
| 3 | Auda | 2–1 | Super Nova | 6 | 45+5′ Home |
| 3 | Auda | 1–1 | Super Nova | 6 | 18′ Home |
| 4 | Liepāja | 2–1 | Super Nova | 6 | 28′ Away |
| 5 | Daugavpils | 0–1 | Super Nova | 6 | 89′ Away |
| 5 | Daugavpils | 0–0 | Super Nova | 6 | – |
| 6 · Super Nova | |||||
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 1–0 | Super Nova | 6 | 82′ Home |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 0–1 | Super Nova | 6 | 84′ Away |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 0–1 | Super Nova | 6 | 80′ Away |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 0–2 | Super Nova | 6 | 51′ Away |
| 9 | Tukums | 1–2 | Super Nova | 6 | 15′ Away |
| 9 | Tukums | 1–2 | Super Nova | 6 | 37′ Home |
| 10 | Ogre United | 1–2 | Super Nova | 6 | — |
| 10 | Ogre United | 1–0 | Super Nova | 6 | 45+1′ Home |
Riga Home
Super Nova Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Virsliga · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
Riga
| Goals & results | Home16 matches | Away15 matches | Overall31 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.50 | 2.20 | 2.35 |
| Draws | 25.0% | 20.0% | 22.6% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.88 | 2.67 | 2.77 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.88 | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| Total goals / match | 3.75 | 3.73 | 3.74 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 18.8% | 26.7% | 22.6% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 11 of 13— | 85%— |
| Scores first → wins | 11 of 13— | 85%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 3— | 33%— |
Scoring order known: 16/16 home.Scoring order known: 29/31 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Super Nova
| Goals & results | Home15 matches | Away15 matches | Overall30 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.80 | 1.53 | 1.17 |
| Draws | 20.0% | 13.3% | 16.7% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.00 | 0.93 | 0.97 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.67 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Total goals / match | 2.67 | 1.93 | 2.30 |
| Failed to score | 20.0% | 33.3% | 26.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46.7% | 60.0% | 53.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 7— | 29%— |
| Scores first → wins | 6 of 7— | 86%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 7— | 14%— |
Scoring order known: 15/15 away.Scoring order known: 27/30 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Riga | Draw | Super Nova | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 71.6% | 12.3% | 16.1% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 67.8% | 20.0% | 10.7% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.96–0.61
Model expected goals
45.9%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
38.7%
Both teams to score
1-0
Most likely score, at 15.0%
Most likely scores
1-015.0%
2-014.6%
3-09.6%
1-19.2%
2-19.0%
0-07.7%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Riga | Super Nova | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1682 | 1448 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 10 | 9 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1493 | 1486 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga | 1.30 | 1.20 | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| Super Nova | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.65 | 0.60 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga | 3% | 10% | 10% | 19% | 58% |
| Super Nova | 7% | 23% | 23% | 37% | 10% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
2.50
Riga at home, 12 matches
1.22
Super Nova away, 9 matches
29d
Days of rest for Riga
28d
Days of rest for Super Nova
—
Manager of Riga
—
Manager of Super Nova
0
Matches for Riga in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Super Nova in the last 14 days
1
Points for Riga behind the leaders, and 41 above the relegation zone
39
Points for Super Nova behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
2.84
League goals per match
24.0%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Riga, the right bar represents Super Nova.
On the ball
5.88
4.72
corners
13.6
12.55
fouls
2.92
2.27
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga | WWDDLDWWWW | 2.10 | 2.40–1.10 | 2W |
| Super Nova | LLWWDDLWLW | 1.40 | 0.90–0.80 | 2L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Super Nova | 3 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Riga
No absences reported.
Super Nova
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.