Head-to-head overview
2 meetings- Super NovaWins
- 0
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- Rīgas FSWins
- 2
- Goals per match
- 2.50
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50.0%
- Both teams scored
- 50.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 |
2026
|
Super Nova1–2Rīgas FS |
| 2026-04-18 |
2026
|
Rīgas FS2–0Super Nova |
Recent matches
Super Nova
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
2026
|
Ogre United1–0Super Nova |
| 2026-09-15 |
2026
|
Super Nova0–1Riga |
| 2026-09-10 |
2026
|
Super Nova1–0Tukums |
| 2026-09-05 |
2026
|
FS Jelgava0–1Super Nova |
| 2026-08-29 |
2026
|
Auda1–1Super Nova |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Super Nova0–0Daugavpils |
| 2026-08-09 |
2026
|
Super Nova1–2Liepāja |
| 2026-07-20 |
2026
|
Super Nova2–0Grobiņa |
Rīgas FS
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
2026
|
Auda1–1Rīgas FS |
| 2026-09-13 |
2026
|
Daugavpils1–2Rīgas FS |
| 2026-09-07 |
2026
|
Rīgas FS0–0Liepāja |
| 2026-08-30 |
2026
|
Ogre United0–3Rīgas FS |
| 2026-08-23 |
2026
|
Rīgas FS3–3Riga |
| 2026-08-10 |
2026
|
Rīgas FS6–1Grobiņa |
| 2026-07-27 |
2026
|
Tukums0–1Rīgas FS |
| 2026-07-20 |
2026
|
FS Jelgava0–1Rīgas FS |
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Wins
38%
62%
Over 2.5 goals
12%
50%
Both teams scored
25%
50%
Clean sheets
50%
50%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
Super Nova
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Super Nova | 1–2 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 14′ Home |
| 6 | Super Nova | 1–4 | Riga | 2 | — |
| 6 | Super Nova | 0–1 | Riga | 2 | 90+2′ Away |
| 6 | Super Nova | 1–2 | Auda | 3 | 34′ Home |
| 6 | Super Nova | 0–2 | Auda | 3 | 50′ Away |
| 6 | Super Nova | 1–2 | Liepāja | 4 | — |
| 6 | Super Nova | 1–2 | Liepāja | 4 | 45+2′ Home |
| 6 | Super Nova | 0–0 | Daugavpils | 5 | – |
| 6 · Super Nova | |||||
| 6 | Super Nova | 1–1 | FS Jelgava | 7 | 35′ Away |
| 6 | Super Nova | 1–5 | FS Jelgava | 7 | 21′ Away |
| 6 | Super Nova | 2–0 | Grobiņa | 8 | 59′ Home |
| 6 | Super Nova | 1–1 | Tukums | 9 | 18′ Home |
| 6 | Super Nova | 1–0 | Tukums | 9 | 77′ Home |
| 6 | Super Nova | 3–1 | Ogre United | 10 | — |
| 6 | Super Nova | 1–2 | Ogre United | 10 | — |
Rīgas FS
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Rīgas FS | |||||
| 2 | Riga | 2–1 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 17′ Home |
| 3 | Auda | 0–3 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 29′ Away |
| 3 | Auda | 1–1 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 21′ Home |
| 4 | Liepāja | 0–1 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 14′ Away |
| 4 | Liepāja | 0–2 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 80′ Away |
| 5 | Daugavpils | 0–1 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 34′ Away |
| 5 | Daugavpils | 1–2 | Rīgas FS | 1 | — |
| 6 | Super Nova | 1–2 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 14′ Home |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 0–1 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 28′ Away |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 0–1 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 39′ Away |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 0–1 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 60′ Away |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 1–3 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 22′ Away |
| 9 | Tukums | 1–2 | Rīgas FS | 1 | — |
| 9 | Tukums | 0–1 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 8′ Away |
| 10 | Ogre United | 3–4 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 15′ Home |
| 10 | Ogre United | 0–3 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 36′ Away |
Super Nova Home
Rīgas FS Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Virsliga · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
Super Nova
| Goals & results | Home15 matches | Away15 matches | Overall30 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.80 | 1.53 | 1.17 |
| Draws | 20.0% | 13.3% | 16.7% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.00 | 0.93 | 0.97 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.67 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Total goals / match | 2.67 | 1.93 | 2.30 |
| Failed to score | 20.0% | 33.3% | 26.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46.7% | 60.0% | 53.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 12/15 home.Scoring order known: 27/30 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Rīgas FS
| Goals & results | Home14 matches | Away16 matches | Overall30 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.21 | 2.69 | 2.47 |
| Draws | 28.6% | 6.2% | 16.7% |
| Goals scored / match | 3.00 | 1.81 | 2.37 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.86 | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| Total goals / match | 3.86 | 2.44 | 3.10 |
| Failed to score | 14.3% | 0.0% | 6.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35.7% | 50.0% | 43.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 9 of 11— | 82%— |
| Scores first → wins | 11 of 11— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 3 of 5— | 60%— |
Scoring order known: 16/16 away.Scoring order known: 29/30 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Super Nova | Draw | Rīgas FS | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 19.9% | 15.8% | 64.3% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 7.1% | 14.1% | 74.2% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.64–2.56
Model expected goals
57.3%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
41.4%
Both teams to score
0-2
Most likely score, at 13.4%
Most likely scores
0-213.4%
0-311.4%
0-110.5%
1-28.5%
0-47.3%
1-37.3%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Super Nova | Rīgas FS | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1448 | 1677 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 9 | 25 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1486 | 1494 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Nova | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| Rīgas FS | 1.20 | 1.35 | 0.30 | 0.35 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Nova | 7% | 23% | 23% | 37% | 10% |
| Rīgas FS | 3% | 23% | 17% | 20% | 37% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.00
Super Nova at home, 11 matches
2.55
Rīgas FS away, 11 matches
33d
Days of rest for Super Nova
33d
Days of rest for Rīgas FS
—
Manager of Super Nova
—
Manager of Rīgas FS
0
Matches for Super Nova in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Rīgas FS in the last 14 days
39
Points for Super Nova behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
0
Points for Rīgas FS behind the leaders, and 42 above the relegation zone
2.84
League goals per match
24.0%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Super Nova, the right bar represents Rīgas FS.
On the ball
4.72
6.53
corners
12.55
13.3
fouls
2.27
2.0
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Nova | LLWWDDLWLW | 1.40 | 0.90–0.80 | 2L |
| Rīgas FS | DWDWDWWWDW | 2.20 | 2.10–0.80 | 1D |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Nova | 3 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| Rīgas FS | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Super Nova
No absences reported.
Rīgas FS
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.