Head-to-head overview
3 meetings- FS JelgavaWins
- 2
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- Ogre UnitedWins
- 1
- Goals per match
- 2.67
- Over 2.5 goals
- 33.3%
- Both teams scored
- 33.3%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Ogre United2–3FS Jelgava |
| 2026-06-17 |
2026
|
FS Jelgava0–2Ogre United |
| 2026-04-27 |
2026
|
Ogre United0–1FS Jelgava |
Recent matches
FS Jelgava
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
2026
|
FS Jelgava0–1Riga |
| 2026-09-12 |
2026
|
Grobiņa0–0FS Jelgava |
| 2026-09-05 |
2026
|
FS Jelgava0–1Super Nova |
| 2026-08-29 |
2026
|
Tukums1–4FS Jelgava |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Ogre United2–3FS Jelgava |
| 2026-08-09 |
2026
|
FS Jelgava0–1Auda |
| 2026-08-01 |
2026
|
Daugavpils2–1FS Jelgava |
| 2026-07-26 |
2026
|
FS Jelgava0–2Liepāja |
Ogre United
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
2026
|
Ogre United1–0Super Nova |
| 2026-09-16 |
2026
|
Auda1–0Ogre United |
| 2026-09-11 |
2026
|
Ogre United2–2Liepāja |
| 2026-09-05 |
2026
|
Tukums2–1Ogre United |
| 2026-08-30 |
2026
|
Ogre United0–3Rīgas FS |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Ogre United2–3FS Jelgava |
| 2026-08-09 |
2026
|
Riga4–1Ogre United |
| 2026-07-27 |
2026
|
Grobiņa2–2Ogre United |
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Wins
25%
12%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
75%
Both teams scored
38%
62%
Clean sheets
12%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
FS Jelgava
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 0–1 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 28′ Away |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 0–1 | Rīgas FS | 1 | 39′ Away |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 0–8 | Riga | 2 | — |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 0–1 | Riga | 2 | 29′ Away |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 2–3 | Auda | 3 | 15′ Home |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 0–1 | Auda | 3 | 45′ Away |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 1–1 | Liepāja | 4 | 26′ Home |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 0–2 | Liepāja | 4 | 1′ Away |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 1–1 | Daugavpils | 5 | 63′ Home |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 1–0 | Super Nova | 6 | 82′ Home |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 0–1 | Super Nova | 6 | 84′ Away |
| 7 · FS Jelgava | |||||
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 0–1 | Grobiņa | 8 | 14′ Away |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 2–0 | Grobiņa | 8 | 45′ Home |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 2–1 | Tukums | 9 | 19′ Home |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 4–1 | Tukums | 9 | 34′ Home |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 0–2 | Ogre United | 10 | — |
Ogre United
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 2–0 | Ogre United | 10 | 63′ Home |
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 6–0 | Ogre United | 10 | 9′ Home |
| 2 | Riga | 4–0 | Ogre United | 10 | 16′ Home |
| 2 | Riga | 4–1 | Ogre United | 10 | 2′ Home |
| 3 | Auda | 2–0 | Ogre United | 10 | 11′ Home |
| 3 | Auda | 1–0 | Ogre United | 10 | 12′ Home |
| 4 | Liepāja | 4–1 | Ogre United | 10 | 5′ Home |
| 4 | Liepāja | 4–0 | Ogre United | 10 | 8′ Home |
| 5 | Daugavpils | 2–1 | Ogre United | 10 | 23′ Home |
| 5 | Daugavpils | 3–1 | Ogre United | 10 | 41′ Home |
| 6 | Super Nova | 3–1 | Ogre United | 10 | — |
| 6 | Super Nova | 1–2 | Ogre United | 10 | — |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 0–2 | Ogre United | 10 | — |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 2–2 | Ogre United | 10 | 13′ Away |
| 9 | Tukums | 6–1 | Ogre United | 10 | 35′ Home |
| 9 | Tukums | 2–1 | Ogre United | 10 | 34′ Away |
| 10 · Ogre United | |||||
FS Jelgava Home
Ogre United Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Virsliga · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
FS Jelgava
| Goals & results | Home16 matches | Away15 matches | Overall31 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.88 | 1.20 | 1.03 |
| Draws | 12.5% | 40.0% | 25.8% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.81 | 1.27 | 1.03 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.58 |
| Total goals / match | 2.38 | 2.87 | 2.61 |
| Failed to score | 56.2% | 40.0% | 48.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 75.0% | 46.7% | 61.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 4 of 79 of 15 | 57%60% |
| Scores first → wins | 4 of 78 of 15 | 57%53% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 90 of 14 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 16/16 home.Scoring order known: 31/31 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Ogre United
| Goals & results | Home15 matches | Away16 matches | Overall31 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.73 | 0.44 | 0.58 |
| Draws | 33.3% | 6.2% | 19.4% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.13 | 0.81 | 0.97 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.00 | 2.88 | 2.45 |
| Total goals / match | 3.13 | 3.69 | 3.42 |
| Failed to score | 26.7% | 37.5% | 32.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46.7% | 25.0% | 35.5% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 14/16 away.Scoring order known: 28/31 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | FS Jelgava | Draw | Ogre United | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 51.4% | 21.3% | 27.3% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 54.1% | 22.2% | 22.2% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.92–1.14
Model expected goals
57.4%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
56.9%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 10.3%
Most likely scores
1-110.3%
2-19.9%
1-09.0%
2-08.7%
3-16.3%
1-25.8%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | FS Jelgava | Ogre United | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1447 | 1361 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -37 | -15 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1504 | 1508 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FS Jelgava | 0.55 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.70 |
| Ogre United | 0.60 | 0.45 | 1.25 | 1.30 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FS Jelgava | 6% | 29% | 26% | 10% | 29% |
| Ogre United | 0% | 13% | 23% | 16% | 48% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
0.80
FS Jelgava at home, 10 matches
0.58
Ogre United away, 12 matches
50d
Days of rest for FS Jelgava
49d
Days of rest for Ogre United
—
Manager of FS Jelgava
—
Manager of Ogre United
0
Matches for FS Jelgava in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Ogre United in the last 14 days
42
Points for FS Jelgava behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
56
Points for Ogre United behind the leaders, and -14 above the relegation zone
2.84
League goals per match
24.0%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents FS Jelgava, the right bar represents Ogre United.
On the ball
4.47
4.1
corners
12.25
12.75
fouls
2.07
2.5
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FS Jelgava | LDLWWLLLLL | 0.70 | 0.80–1.40 | 1L |
| Ogre United | WLDLLLLDLW | 0.80 | 1.10–2.20 | 1W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FS Jelgava | 6 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 3 |
| Ogre United | 6 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 4 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
FS Jelgava
No absences reported.
Ogre United
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.