Nacional P.

Nacional P.

VS Scheduled Sunday 18 Oct 202620:00

Bolivia 2026 Primera División · Matchday 22

Bolívar

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

Nacional P.Wins: 0
Draws100.0% of meetings: 1
BolívarWins: 0

Goals per match: 2.00
Over 2.5 goals: 0.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-14	2026	Bolívar1–1Nacional P.

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	2026	Nacional P.0–4Always Ready
2026-09-12	2026	Gualberto Villarroel SJ0–3Nacional P.
2026-09-07	2026	Nacional P.2–1Blooming
2026-08-26	2026	Universitario de Vinto2–0Nacional P.
2026-08-23	2026	Nacional P.3–0Independiente
2026-08-16	2026	Nacional P.2–0ABB
2026-08-08	2026	San Antonio Bulo Bulo2–1Nacional P.
2026-08-05	2026	Nacional P.2–3The Strongest

Bolívar

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	Bolívar4–2Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2026-09-14	2026	Real Tomayapo1–2Bolívar
2026-09-06	2026	Independiente0–4Bolívar
2026-08-28	2026	Bolívar4–1ABB
2026-08-23	2026	Real Oruro2–4Bolívar
2026-08-15	2026	Bolívar4–1San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2026-08-09	2026	Club Aurora2–4Bolívar
2026-08-06	2026	Bolívar2–1O. Petrolero

Nacional P. Bolívar

Wins

50%

100%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

100%

Both teams scored

38%

88%

Clean sheets

38%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Nacional P.

Home · Primera División

Home			Away		1st goal
9	Nacional P.	0–4	Always Ready	1	45+2′ Away
9	Nacional P.		Bolívar	2
9	Nacional P.	2–3	The Strongest	3	18′ Home
9	Nacional P.		Real Potosí	4
9	Nacional P.		O. Petrolero	5
9	Nacional P.	2–0	Club Aurora	6	56′ Home
9	Nacional P.		Guabirá	7
9	Nacional P.	2–1	Blooming	8	34′ Home
9 · Nacional P.
9	Nacional P.	3–0	Independiente	10	15′ Home
9	Nacional P.	1–4	Real Oruro	11	—
9	Nacional P.	2–0	ABB	12	21′ Home
9	Nacional P.		San Antonio Bulo Bulo	13
9	Nacional P.	1–0	Universitario de Vinto	14	71′ Home
9	Nacional P.	4–1	Real Tomayapo	15	15′ Home
9	Nacional P.	1–1	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	16	62′ Away

Bolívar

Away · Primera División

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Always Ready	1–0	Bolívar	2	77′ Home
2 · Bolívar
3	The Strongest	1–1	Bolívar	2	23′ Away
4	Real Potosí		Bolívar	2
5	O. Petrolero		Bolívar	2
6	Club Aurora	2–4	Bolívar	2	—
7	Guabirá		Bolívar	2
8	Blooming	0–0	Bolívar	2	–
9	Nacional P.		Bolívar	2
10	Independiente	0–4	Bolívar	2	24′ Away
11	Real Oruro	2–4	Bolívar	2	17′ Away
12	ABB	0–2	Bolívar	2	3′ Away
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo		Bolívar	2
14	Universitario de Vinto	3–2	Bolívar	2	18′ Away
15	Real Tomayapo	1–2	Bolívar	2	30′ Away
16	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	1–2	Bolívar	2	45+5′ Home

Nacional P. Home Bolívar Away

Wins

60%

Over 1.5

90%

80%

Over 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

40%

Both teams scored

50%

60%

Clean sheets

40%

30%

Scores first

70%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Primera División · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Nacional P.

20 matches

Goals & results	Home10 matches	Away10 matches	Overall20 matches
Points / match	1.90	0.80	1.35
Draws	10.0%	20.0%	15.0%
Goals scored / match	1.80	1.20	1.50
Goals conceded / match	1.40	1.40	1.40
Total goals / match	3.20	2.60	2.90
Failed to score	10.0%	20.0%	15.0%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	40.0%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 7	57%
Scores first → wins	6 of 7	86%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 10/10 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Bolívar

20 matches

Goals & results	Home10 matches	Away10 matches	Overall20 matches
Points / match	2.50	2.00	2.25
Draws	10.0%	20.0%	15.0%
Goals scored / match	3.30	2.10	2.70
Goals conceded / match	1.10	1.10	1.10
Total goals / match	4.40	3.20	3.80
Failed to score	0.0%	20.0%	10.0%
Under 2.5 goals	10.0%	40.0%	25.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 9/10 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Nacional P.	Draw	Bolívar	How it works
Strength (Elo)	31.9%	23.6%	44.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	7.7%	12.2%	71.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.88–3.02 Model expected goals

66.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

50.7% Both teams to score

0-3 Most likely score, at 9.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-39.3%

0-29.2%

1-38.2%

1-28.1%

0-47.0%

1-46.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Nacional P.	Bolívar	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1498	1632	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	5	84	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1497	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Nacional P.	0.60	0.90	0.50	0.90
Bolívar	1.15	1.55	0.50	0.60

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Nacional P.	0%	10%	30%	35%	25%
Bolívar	5%	5%	15%	25%	50%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.90 Nacional P. at home, 10 matches

2.00 Bolívar away, 10 matches

32d Days of rest for Nacional P.

30d Days of rest for Bolívar

— Manager of Nacional P.

— Manager of Bolívar

0 Matches for Nacional P. in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Bolívar in the last 14 days

18 Points for Nacional P. behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Bolívar behind the leaders, and 25 above the relegation zone

3.12 League goals per match

24.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nacional P., the right bar represents Bolívar.

On the ball

20 matches

4.56

corners

5.88

10.15

fouls

10.0

2.54

yellow cards

2.4

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Nacional P.	LWWLWWLLLW	1.50	1.70–1.40	1L
Bolívar	WWWWWWWWLW	2.70	3.00–1.20	8W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Nacional P.	8	7	5	0	4
Bolívar	9	8	3	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Nacional P.

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Bolívar

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.