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Hoffenheim
VS Scheduled Germany 26/27 Bundesliga · Matchday 7
Leverkusen

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings
HoffenheimWins
6
Draws22.2% of meetings
4
LeverkusenWins
8
Goals per match
3.61
Over 2.5 goals
83.3%
Both teams scored
77.8%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-01-17 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Hoffenheim1–0Leverkusen
2025-08-23 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Leverkusen1–2Hoffenheim
2025-02-02 Germany, Bundesliga 24/25 Leverkusen3–1Hoffenheim
2024-09-14 Germany, Bundesliga 24/25 Hoffenheim1–4Leverkusen
2024-03-30 Germany, Bundesliga 23/24 Leverkusen2–1Hoffenheim
2023-11-04 Germany, Bundesliga 23/24 Hoffenheim2–3Leverkusen
2023-02-11 Germany, Bundesliga 22/23 Hoffenheim1–3Leverkusen
2022-08-20 Germany, Bundesliga 22/23 Leverkusen0–3Hoffenheim
Recent matches

Hoffenheim

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Paderborn3–1Hoffenheim
2026-09-13 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hoffenheim2–1Stuttgart
2026-09-12 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hoffenheim2–1Stuttgart
2026-09-05 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hoffenheim2–3Dortmund
2026-08-29 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 FC Koln3–2Hoffenheim
2026-05-16 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 M'gladbach4–0Hoffenheim
2026-05-09 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Hoffenheim1–0Werder Bremen
2026-05-02 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Hoffenheim3–3Stuttgart

Leverkusen

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Leverkusen2–0RB Leipzig
2026-09-13 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Augsburg2–2Leverkusen
2026-09-12 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Augsburg2–2Leverkusen
2026-09-05 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Leverkusen4–0Union Berlin
2026-08-29 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Elversberg3–2Leverkusen
2026-05-16 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Leverkusen1–1Hamburg
2026-05-09 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Stuttgart3–1Leverkusen
2026-05-02 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Leverkusen4–1RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim Leverkusen

Wins

38%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
75%

Both teams scored

75%
75%

Clean sheets

12%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Hoffenheim

Home · Bundesliga
Hoffenheim Home Leverkusen Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Hoffenheim

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match2.000.001.20
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match2.001.501.80
Goals conceded / match1.673.002.20
Total goals / match3.674.504.00
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%0.0%0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Leverkusen

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway3 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match3.000.671.60
Draws0.0%66.7%40.0%
Goals scored / match3.002.002.40
Goals conceded / match0.002.331.40
Total goals / match3.004.333.80
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%0.0%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelHoffenheimDraw LeverkusenHow it works
Strength (Elo) 34.2% 24.4% 41.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 14.2% 15.0% 62.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.35–2.99 Model expected goals
72.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
64.1% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 7.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-27.9%
1-37.8%
1-45.8%
0-25.8%
0-35.8%
2-25.3%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureHoffenheimLeverkusen How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1532 1612 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -29 -39 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1521 1518 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 55.6% 57.4% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 52.6% 54.3% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 881 1074 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 31.5% 36.0% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 56.6% 71.4% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Hoffenheim 0.950.74 0.951.16
Leverkusen 1.051.05 0.630.74

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Hoffenheim 2%10%12%22%52%
Leverkusen 0%12%25%15%48%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.82 Hoffenheim at home, 11 matches
1.27 Leverkusen away, 11 matches
35d Days of rest for Hoffenheim
35d Days of rest for Leverkusen
— Manager of Hoffenheim
— Manager of Leverkusen
0 Matches for Hoffenheim in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Leverkusen in the last 14 days
9 Points for Hoffenheim behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
7 Points for Leverkusen behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
24.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Hoffenheim, the right bar represents Leverkusen.

On the ball

20 matches
15.53
shots
17.18
5.41
shots on target
5.88
34.8%
accuracy
34.2%
6.63
corners
6.84
13.0
fouls
9.26
2.41
yellow cards
1.78

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Hoffenheim LWWLLLWDWW 1.60 1.70–2.00 1L
Leverkusen WDDWLDLWWL 1.50 2.10–1.50 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Hoffenheim9 55 03
Leverkusen9 64 13
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Hoffenheim

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Leverkusen

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.