Head-to-head overview
14 meetings- MainzWins
- 1
- Draws35.7% of meetings
- 5
- Union BerlinWins
- 8
- Goals per match
- 3.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64.3%
- Both teams scored
- 78.6%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 |
25/26
|
Mainz1–3Union Berlin |
| 2026-01-10 |
25/26
|
Union Berlin2–2Mainz |
| 2025-01-19 |
24/25
|
Union Berlin2–1Mainz |
| 2024-08-24 |
24/25
|
Mainz1–1Union Berlin |
| 2024-02-07 |
23/24
|
Mainz1–1Union Berlin |
| 2023-08-20 |
23/24
|
Union Berlin4–1Mainz |
| 2023-02-04 |
22/23
|
Union Berlin2–1Mainz |
| 2022-08-14 |
22/23
|
Mainz0–0Union Berlin |
| 2022-02-26 |
21/22
|
Union Berlin3–1Mainz |
| 2021-10-03 |
21/22
|
Mainz1–2Union Berlin |
| 2021-02-06 |
20/21
|
Mainz1–0Union Berlin |
| 2020-10-02 |
20/21
|
Union Berlin4–0Mainz |
| 2020-05-27 |
19/20
|
Union Berlin1–1Mainz |
| 2019-11-09 |
19/20
|
Mainz2–3Union Berlin |
Recent matches
Mainz
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
M'gladbach3–4Mainz |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Mainz1–3Ein Frankfurt |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Mainz1–3Ein Frankfurt |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Hamburg0–5Mainz |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Mainz0–0Paderborn |
| 2026-05-16 |
25/26
|
Heidenheim0–2Mainz |
| 2026-05-10 |
25/26
|
Mainz1–3Union Berlin |
| 2026-05-03 |
25/26
|
St Pauli1–2Mainz |
Union Berlin
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 |
26/27
|
Bayern Munich7–0Union Berlin |
| 2026-09-11 |
26/27
|
Union Berlin1–3Schalke 04 |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Leverkusen4–0Union Berlin |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Union Berlin3–3Ein Frankfurt |
| 2026-05-16 |
25/26
|
Union Berlin4–0Augsburg |
| 2026-05-10 |
25/26
|
Mainz1–3Union Berlin |
| 2026-05-02 |
25/26
|
Union Berlin2–2FC Koln |
| 2026-04-24 |
25/26
|
RB Leipzig3–1Union Berlin |
Mainz
Union Berlin
Wins
50%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
100%
Both teams scored
62%
62%
Clean sheets
38%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Mainz
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mainz | Dortmund | 1 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Freiburg | 2 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Bayern Munich | 3 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | RB Leipzig | 4 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Augsburg | 5 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Leverkusen | 6 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | 1–3 | Ein Frankfurt | 7 | 9′ Away |
| 9 | Mainz | 1–3 | Ein Frankfurt | 7 | — |
| 9 | Mainz | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 9 · Mainz | |||||
| 9 | Mainz | Elversberg | 10 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Hoffenheim | 11 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | FC Koln | 13 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | 0–0 | Paderborn | 14 | – |
| 9 | Mainz | Stuttgart | 15 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Hamburg | 16 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | M'gladbach | 18 | ||
Union Berlin
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 2 | Freiburg | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 7–0 | Union Berlin | 17 | 18′ Home |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 5 | Augsburg | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 6 | Leverkusen | 4–0 | Union Berlin | 17 | 1′ Home |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 8 | Werder Bremen | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 10 | Elversberg | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 11 | Hoffenheim | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 12 | Schalke 04 | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 13 | FC Koln | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 14 | Paderborn | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 15 | Stuttgart | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 16 | Hamburg | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 17 · Union Berlin | |||||
| 18 | M'gladbach | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
Mainz Home
Union Berlin Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Mainz
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away2 matches | Overall5 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.33 | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Draws | 33.3% | 0.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.67 | 4.50 | 2.20 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.00 | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Total goals / match | 2.67 | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| Failed to score | 33.3% | 0.0% | 20.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 0.0% | 20.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 2/3 home.Scoring order known: 4/5 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Union Berlin
| Goals & results | Home2 matches | Away2 matches | Overall4 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| Draws | 50.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded / match | 3.00 | 5.50 | 4.25 |
| Total goals / match | 5.00 | 5.50 | 5.25 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 00 of 1 | —0% |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 00 of 1 | —0% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 20 of 3 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 2/2 away.Scoring order known: 4/4 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 2 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 2 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 2 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 3 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 1 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Mainz | Draw | Union Berlin | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 52.4% | 21.3% | 26.2% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 58.2% | 19.2% | 19.3% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
2.32–1.25
Model expected goals
65.9%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
61.9%
Both teams to score
2-1
Most likely score, at 9.5%
Most likely scores
2-19.5%
1-18.2%
2-07.6%
3-17.3%
1-06.5%
2-25.9%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Mainz | Union Berlin | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1509 | 1436 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -20 | -15 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1526 | 1538 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 52.6% | 46.0% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 54.0% | 48.4% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 1038 | 835 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 31.8% | 29.9% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 72.0% | 53.7% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz | 0.95 | 0.79 | 0.58 | 0.84 |
| Union Berlin | 0.35 | 0.85 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz | 5% | 12% | 25% | 18% | 40% |
| Union Berlin | 5% | 15% | 12% | 18% | 50% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
0.90
Mainz at home, 10 matches
0.60
Union Berlin away, 10 matches
70d
Days of rest for Mainz
71d
Days of rest for Union Berlin
—
Manager of Mainz
—
Manager of Union Berlin
0
Matches for Mainz in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Union Berlin in the last 14 days
8
Points for Mainz behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
14
Points for Union Berlin behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
3.20
League goals per match
24.8%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Mainz, the right bar represents Union Berlin.
On the ball
13.76
11.78
shots
5.18
4.28
shots on target
37.6%
36.3%
accuracy
5.0
4.4
corners
10.79
10.7
fouls
1.89
2.05
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz | WLLWDWLWLD | 1.40 | 2.00–1.80 | 1W |
| Union Berlin | LLLDWWDLLL | 0.80 | 1.60–2.80 | 3L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz | 9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Union Berlin | 3 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Mainz
No absences reported.
Union Berlin
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.