Head-to-head overview
2 meetings- Bayern MunichWins
- 2
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- PaderbornWins
- 0
- Goals per match
- 5.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 100.0%
- Both teams scored
- 100.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-21 |
19/20
|
Bayern Munich3–2Paderborn |
| 2019-09-28 |
19/20
|
Paderborn2–3Bayern Munich |
Recent matches
Bayern Munich
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 |
26/27
|
Bayern Munich7–0Union Berlin |
| 2026-09-14 |
26/27
|
Elversberg1–2Bayern Munich |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Elversberg1–2Bayern Munich |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Schalke 040–0Bayern Munich |
| 2026-08-28 |
26/27
|
Bayern Munich5–1Stuttgart |
| 2026-05-16 |
25/26
|
Bayern Munich5–1FC Koln |
| 2026-05-09 |
25/26
|
Wolfsburg0–1Bayern Munich |
| 2026-05-02 |
25/26
|
Bayern Munich3–3Heidenheim |
Paderborn
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Paderborn3–1Hoffenheim |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Dortmund3–0Paderborn |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Dortmund3–0Paderborn |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Paderborn0–1Freiburg |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Mainz0–0Paderborn |
| 2020-06-27 |
19/20
|
Ein Frankfurt3–2Paderborn |
| 2020-06-20 |
19/20
|
Paderborn1–3M'gladbach |
| 2020-06-16 |
19/20
|
Union Berlin1–0Paderborn |
Bayern Munich
Paderborn
Wins
75%
12%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
62%
Both teams scored
62%
38%
Clean sheets
38%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Bayern Munich
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bayern Munich | Dortmund | 1 | ||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | Freiburg | 2 | ||
| 3 · Bayern Munich | |||||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | RB Leipzig | 4 | ||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | Augsburg | 5 | ||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | Leverkusen | 6 | ||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | Ein Frankfurt | 7 | ||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | Mainz | 9 | ||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | Elversberg | 10 | ||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | Hoffenheim | 11 | ||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | FC Koln | 13 | ||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | Paderborn | 14 | ||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 5–1 | Stuttgart | 15 | — |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | Hamburg | 16 | ||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 7–0 | Union Berlin | 17 | 18′ Home |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | M'gladbach | 18 | ||
Paderborn
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 3–0 | Paderborn | 14 | 5′ Home |
| 1 | Dortmund | 3–0 | Paderborn | 14 | — |
| 2 | Freiburg | Paderborn | 14 | ||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | Paderborn | 14 | ||
| 4 | RB Leipzig | Paderborn | 14 | ||
| 5 | Augsburg | Paderborn | 14 | ||
| 6 | Leverkusen | Paderborn | 14 | ||
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | Paderborn | 14 | ||
| 8 | Werder Bremen | Paderborn | 14 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | 0–0 | Paderborn | 14 | – |
| 10 | Elversberg | Paderborn | 14 | ||
| 11 | Hoffenheim | Paderborn | 14 | ||
| 12 | Schalke 04 | Paderborn | 14 | ||
| 13 | FC Koln | Paderborn | 14 | ||
| 14 · Paderborn | |||||
| 15 | Stuttgart | Paderborn | 14 | ||
| 16 | Hamburg | Paderborn | 14 | ||
| 17 | Union Berlin | Paderborn | 14 | ||
| 18 | M'gladbach | Paderborn | 14 | ||
Bayern Munich Home
Paderborn Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Bayern Munich
| Goals & results | Home2 matches | Away3 matches | Overall5 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 3.00 | 2.33 | 2.60 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 33.3% | 20.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 6.00 | 1.33 | 3.20 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| Total goals / match | 6.50 | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 33.3% | 20.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.0% | 33.3% | 20.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 0— | —— |
Scoring order known: 2/2 home.Scoring order known: 4/5 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Paderborn
| Goals & results | Home2 matches | Away3 matches | Overall5 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.50 | 0.33 | 0.80 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 33.3% | 20.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Total goals / match | 2.50 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Failed to score | 50.0% | 100.0% | 80.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50.0% | 33.3% | 40.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 01 of 1 | —100% |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 01 of 1 | —100% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 20 of 3 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 3/3 away.Scoring order known: 5/5 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | — |
| 16–30 | 0 | — |
| 31–45 | 0 | — |
| 46–60 | 0 | — |
| 61–75 | 0 | — |
| 76–90 | 0 | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Bayern Munich | Draw | Paderborn | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 79.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 70.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
3.94–0.68
Model expected goals
63.4%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
38.2%
Both teams to score
3-0
Most likely score, at 10.1%
Most likely scores
3-010.1%
4-09.9%
5-07.8%
2-07.7%
3-16.8%
4-16.7%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Bayern Munich | Paderborn | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1760 | 1476 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -55 | 85 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1508 | 1538 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 62.2% | 47.0% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 67.0% | 37.7% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 1090 | 873 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 39.9% | 24.6% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 69.1% | 62.8% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 1.32 | 2.05 | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Paderborn | 0.26 | 0.63 | 1.00 | 1.05 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 2% | 2% | 2% | 20% | 72% |
| Paderborn | 8% | 10% | 23% | 23% | 36% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
2.78
Bayern Munich at home, 9 matches
0.45
Paderborn away, 11 matches
78d
Days of rest for Bayern Munich
76d
Days of rest for Paderborn
—
Manager of Bayern Munich
—
Manager of Paderborn
0
Matches for Bayern Munich in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Paderborn in the last 14 days
2
Points for Bayern Munich behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone
11
Points for Paderborn behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
3.20
League goals per match
24.8%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Bayern Munich, the right bar represents Paderborn.
On the ball
19.0
12.82
shots
8.12
3.35
shots on target
42.7%
26.1%
accuracy
7.05
4.63
corners
8.95
11.42
fouls
1.5
2.65
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | WWWDWWWDWW | 2.60 | 3.30–1.20 | 3W |
| Paderborn | WLLLDLLLLD | 0.50 | 0.80–2.10 | 1W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 11 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Paderborn | 1 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Bayern Munich
No absences reported.
Paderborn
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
Bayern monitoring Wirtz - Monday's gossip
BBC Sport
09-13
European football: Dortmund win again but Freiburg top after Gladbach rout
The Guardian
09-12