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Union Berlin
VS Scheduled Germany 26/27 Bundesliga · Matchday 14
Hoffenheim

Head-to-head overview

14 meetings
Union BerlinWins
6
Draws14.3% of meetings
2
HoffenheimWins
6
Goals per match
3.50
Over 2.5 goals
71.4%
Both teams scored
64.3%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-01-31 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Hoffenheim3–1Union Berlin
2025-09-13 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Union Berlin2–4Hoffenheim
2025-02-08 Germany, Bundesliga 24/25 Hoffenheim0–4Union Berlin
2024-09-21 Germany, Bundesliga 24/25 Union Berlin2–1Hoffenheim
2024-02-17 Germany, Bundesliga 23/24 Hoffenheim0–1Union Berlin
2023-09-23 Germany, Bundesliga 23/24 Union Berlin0–2Hoffenheim
2023-05-20 Germany, Bundesliga 22/23 Hoffenheim4–2Union Berlin
2023-01-21 Germany, Bundesliga 22/23 Union Berlin3–1Hoffenheim
Recent matches

Union Berlin

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Bayern Munich7–0Union Berlin
2026-09-11 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Union Berlin1–3Schalke 04
2026-09-05 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Leverkusen4–0Union Berlin
2026-08-29 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Union Berlin3–3Ein Frankfurt
2026-05-16 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Union Berlin4–0Augsburg
2026-05-10 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Mainz1–3Union Berlin
2026-05-02 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Union Berlin2–2FC Koln
2026-04-24 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 RB Leipzig3–1Union Berlin

Hoffenheim

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Paderborn3–1Hoffenheim
2026-09-13 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hoffenheim2–1Stuttgart
2026-09-12 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hoffenheim2–1Stuttgart
2026-09-05 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hoffenheim2–3Dortmund
2026-08-29 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 FC Koln3–2Hoffenheim
2026-05-16 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 M'gladbach4–0Hoffenheim
2026-05-09 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Hoffenheim1–0Werder Bremen
2026-05-02 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Hoffenheim3–3Stuttgart
Union Berlin Hoffenheim

Wins

25%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

100%
88%

Both teams scored

62%
75%

Clean sheets

12%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Hoffenheim

Away · Bundesliga
Union Berlin Home Hoffenheim Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Union Berlin

4 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway2 matchesOverall4 matches
Points / match0.500.000.25
Draws50.0%0.0%25.0%
Goals scored / match2.000.001.00
Goals conceded / match3.005.504.25
Total goals / match5.005.505.25
Failed to score0.0%100.0%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%0.0%0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1512
16–3001
31–4500
46–6001
61–7501
76–9031

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Hoffenheim

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match2.000.001.20
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match2.001.501.80
Goals conceded / match1.673.002.20
Total goals / match3.674.504.00
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%0.0%0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3011
31–4501
46–6011
61–7512
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelUnion BerlinDraw HoffenheimHow it works
Strength (Elo) 32.6% 24.0% 43.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 16.3% 16.2% 60.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.40–2.83 Model expected goals
72.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals
65.5% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 8.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-28.2%
1-37.7%
0-25.8%
1-15.8%
2-25.7%
0-35.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureUnion BerlinHoffenheim How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1436 1532 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -15 -29 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1538 1521 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 46.0% 55.6% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 48.4% 52.6% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 835 881 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 29.9% 31.5% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 53.7% 56.6% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Union Berlin 0.350.85 1.201.20
Hoffenheim 0.950.74 0.951.16

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Union Berlin 5%15%12%18%50%
Hoffenheim 2%10%12%22%52%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Union Berlin at home, 10 matches
0.89 Hoffenheim away, 9 matches
92d Days of rest for Union Berlin
90d Days of rest for Hoffenheim
— Manager of Union Berlin
— Manager of Hoffenheim
0 Matches for Union Berlin in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Hoffenheim in the last 14 days
14 Points for Union Berlin behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
9 Points for Hoffenheim behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
24.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Union Berlin, the right bar represents Hoffenheim.

On the ball

20 matches
11.78
shots
15.53
4.28
shots on target
5.41
36.3%
accuracy
34.8%
4.4
corners
6.63
10.7
fouls
13.0
2.05
yellow cards
2.41

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Union Berlin LLLDWWDLLL 0.80 1.60–2.80 3L
Hoffenheim LWWLLLWDWW 1.60 1.70–2.00 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Union Berlin3 314 00
Hoffenheim9 55 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Union Berlin

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Hoffenheim

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.