Augsburg

Augsburg

VS Scheduled Saturday 19 Dec 202600:00

Germany 26/27 Bundesliga · Matchday 14

Paderborn

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

AugsburgWins: 1
Draws50.0% of meetings: 1
PaderbornWins: 0

Goals per match: 0.50
Over 2.5 goals: 0.0%
Both teams scored: 0.0%

Date	Season	Match
2020-05-27	19/20	Augsburg0–0Paderborn
2019-11-09	19/20	Paderborn0–1Augsburg

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Werder Bremen3–2Augsburg
2026-09-13	26/27	Augsburg2–2Leverkusen
2026-09-12	26/27	Augsburg2–2Leverkusen
2026-09-06	26/27	Ein Frankfurt1–4Augsburg
2026-08-30	26/27	Augsburg3–0Schalke 04
2026-05-16	25/26	Union Berlin4–0Augsburg
2026-05-09	25/26	Augsburg3–1M'gladbach
2026-05-02	25/26	Werder Bremen1–3Augsburg

Paderborn

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Paderborn3–1Hoffenheim
2026-09-13	26/27	Dortmund3–0Paderborn
2026-09-12	26/27	Dortmund3–0Paderborn
2026-09-05	26/27	Paderborn0–1Freiburg
2026-08-29	26/27	Mainz0–0Paderborn
2020-06-27	19/20	Ein Frankfurt3–2Paderborn
2020-06-20	19/20	Paderborn1–3M'gladbach
2020-06-16	19/20	Union Berlin1–0Paderborn

Augsburg Paderborn

Wins

50%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

100%

62%

Both teams scored

75%

38%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Augsburg

Home · Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Augsburg		Dortmund	1
5	Augsburg		Freiburg	2
5	Augsburg		Bayern Munich	3
5	Augsburg		RB Leipzig	4
5 · Augsburg
5	Augsburg	2–2	Leverkusen	6	18′ Away
5	Augsburg	2–2	Leverkusen	6	—
5	Augsburg		Ein Frankfurt	7
5	Augsburg		Werder Bremen	8
5	Augsburg		Mainz	9
5	Augsburg		Elversberg	10
5	Augsburg		Hoffenheim	11
5	Augsburg	3–0	Schalke 04	12	18′ Home
5	Augsburg		FC Koln	13
5	Augsburg		Paderborn	14
5	Augsburg		Stuttgart	15
5	Augsburg		Hamburg	16
5	Augsburg		Union Berlin	17
5	Augsburg		M'gladbach	18

Paderborn

Away · Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Dortmund	3–0	Paderborn	14	5′ Home
1	Dortmund	3–0	Paderborn	14	—
2	Freiburg		Paderborn	14
3	Bayern Munich		Paderborn	14
4	RB Leipzig		Paderborn	14
5	Augsburg		Paderborn	14
6	Leverkusen		Paderborn	14
7	Ein Frankfurt		Paderborn	14
8	Werder Bremen		Paderborn	14
9	Mainz	0–0	Paderborn	14	–
10	Elversberg		Paderborn	14
11	Hoffenheim		Paderborn	14
12	Schalke 04		Paderborn	14
13	FC Koln		Paderborn	14
14 · Paderborn
15	Stuttgart		Paderborn	14
16	Hamburg		Paderborn	14
17	Union Berlin		Paderborn	14
18	M'gladbach		Paderborn	14

Augsburg Home Paderborn Away

Wins

33%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

67%

Over 2.5

100%

67%

Over 3.5

67%

0%

Both teams scored

67%

0%

Clean sheets

33%

Scores first

N/A

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Augsburg

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.67	1.50	1.60
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	40.0%
Goals scored / match	2.33	3.00	2.60
Goals conceded / match	1.33	2.00	1.60
Total goals / match	3.67	5.00	4.20
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Paderborn

5 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away3 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.33	0.80
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.00	0.60
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.00	1.60
Total goals / match	2.50	2.00	2.20
Failed to score	50.0%	100.0%	80.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	33.3%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	—
16–30	0	—
31–45	0	—
46–60	0	—
61–75	0	—
76–90	0	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Augsburg	Draw	Paderborn	How it works
Strength (Elo)	48.0%	22.8%	29.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	62.0%	19.7%	16.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.15–0.97 Model expected goals

58.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

53.5% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 10.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-010.2%

2-19.9%

1-09.5%

1-19.2%

3-07.3%

3-17.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Augsburg	Paderborn	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1517	1476	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	53	85	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1516	1538	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	47.3%	47.0%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	50.5%	37.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1035	873	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	30.6%	24.6%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	72.9%	62.8%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Augsburg	0.68	1.11	0.74	0.89
Paderborn	0.26	0.63	1.00	1.05

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Augsburg	2%	10%	20%	22%	45%
Paderborn	8%	10%	23%	23%	36%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.90 Augsburg at home, 10 matches

0.45 Paderborn away, 11 matches

91d Days of rest for Augsburg

90d Days of rest for Paderborn

— Manager of Augsburg

— Manager of Paderborn

0 Matches for Augsburg in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Paderborn in the last 14 days

7 Points for Augsburg behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Paderborn behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

3.20 League goals per match

24.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Augsburg, the right bar represents Paderborn.

On the ball

20 matches

14.53

shots

12.82

5.76

shots on target

3.35

39.7%

accuracy

26.1%

4.84

corners

4.63

9.32

fouls

11.42

1.94

yellow cards

2.65

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Augsburg	LDDWWLWWDW	1.80	2.20–1.60	1L
Paderborn	WLLLDLLLLD	0.50	0.80–2.10	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Augsburg	7	5	7	2	4
Paderborn	1	7	11	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Augsburg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Paderborn

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

European football: Dortmund win again but Freiburg top after Gladbach rout The Guardian 09-12