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Freiburg
VS Scheduled Germany 26/27 Bundesliga · Matchday 16
Hamburg

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings
FreiburgWins
1
Draws25.0% of meetings
1
HamburgWins
2
Goals per match
2.25
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-05-10 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Hamburg3–2Freiburg
2026-01-10 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Freiburg2–1Hamburg
2018-04-21 Germany, Bundesliga 17/18 Hamburg1–0Freiburg
2017-12-01 Germany, Bundesliga 17/18 Freiburg0–0Hamburg
Recent matches

Freiburg

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Ein Frankfurt2–2Freiburg
2026-09-13 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Freiburg5–0M'gladbach
2026-09-12 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Freiburg5–0M'gladbach
2026-09-05 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Paderborn0–1Freiburg
2026-08-30 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Freiburg4–1Werder Bremen
2026-05-16 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Freiburg4–1RB Leipzig
2026-05-10 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Hamburg3–2Freiburg
2026-05-03 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Freiburg1–1Wolfsburg

Hamburg

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hamburg2–1FC Koln
2026-09-14 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg
2026-09-13 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg
2026-09-06 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hamburg0–5Mainz
2026-08-29 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Dortmund2–0Hamburg
2026-05-16 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Leverkusen1–1Hamburg
2026-05-10 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Hamburg3–2Freiburg
2026-05-02 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Ein Frankfurt1–2Hamburg
Freiburg Hamburg

Wins

62%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
75%

Both teams scored

62%
50%

Clean sheets

38%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Freiburg

Home · Bundesliga

Hamburg

Away · Bundesliga
HomeAway1st goal
1 Dortmund 2–0 Hamburg 16 9′ Home
2 Freiburg Hamburg 16
3 Bayern Munich Hamburg 16
4 RB Leipzig 5–0 Hamburg 16 17′ Home
4 RB Leipzig 5–0 Hamburg 16 —
5 Augsburg Hamburg 16
6 Leverkusen Hamburg 16
7 Ein Frankfurt Hamburg 16
8 Werder Bremen Hamburg 16
9 Mainz Hamburg 16
10 Elversberg Hamburg 16
11 Hoffenheim Hamburg 16
12 Schalke 04 Hamburg 16
13 FC Koln Hamburg 16
14 Paderborn Hamburg 16
15 Stuttgart Hamburg 16
16 · Hamburg
17 Union Berlin Hamburg 16
18 M'gladbach Hamburg 16
Freiburg Home Hamburg Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Freiburg

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match3.002.002.60
Draws0.0%50.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match4.671.503.40
Goals conceded / match0.331.000.60
Total goals / match5.002.504.00
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%50.0%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Hamburg

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway3 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match1.500.000.60
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.000.000.40
Goals conceded / match3.004.003.60
Total goals / match4.004.004.00
Failed to score50.0%100.0%80.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%33.3%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–150—
16–300—
31–450—
46–600—
61–750—
76–900—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelFreiburgDraw HamburgHow it works
Strength (Elo) 59.5% 18.3% 22.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 60.3% 19.3% 17.5% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.26–1.12 Model expected goals
62.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
58.3% Both teams to score
2-1 Most likely score, at 9.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-19.7%
2-08.7%
1-18.6%
1-07.7%
3-17.3%
3-06.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureFreiburgHamburg How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1567 1441 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 45 -25 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1524 1534 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 45.3% 40.3% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 46.8% 41.1% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1030 980 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 34.7% 31.3% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 68.3% 66.7% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Freiburg 0.740.95 0.530.95
Hamburg 0.630.58 0.951.05

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Freiburg 5%12%15%22%45%
Hamburg 10%8%22%25%35%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.09 Freiburg at home, 11 matches
1.00 Hamburg away, 11 matches
116d Days of rest for Freiburg
116d Days of rest for Hamburg
— Manager of Freiburg
— Manager of Hamburg
0 Matches for Freiburg in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Hamburg in the last 14 days
2 Points for Freiburg behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone
12 Points for Hamburg behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
24.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Freiburg, the right bar represents Hamburg.

On the ball

20 matches
12.18
shots
10.88
4.24
shots on target
3.94
34.8%
accuracy
36.2%
3.95
corners
3.74
9.16
fouls
11.37
1.37
yellow cards
1.95

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Freiburg DWWWWWLDLW 2.00 2.60–1.30 1D
Hamburg WLLLLDWWLL 1.00 1.00–2.70 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Freiburg7 93 10
Hamburg4 87 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Freiburg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Hamburg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams