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Leverkusen
VS Scheduled Germany 26/27 Bundesliga · Matchday 22
Mainz

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings
LeverkusenWins
12
Draws16.7% of meetings
3
MainzWins
3
Goals per match
3.00
Over 2.5 goals
55.6%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-02-28 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Leverkusen1–1Mainz
2025-10-18 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Mainz3–4Leverkusen
2025-05-17 Germany, Bundesliga 24/25 Mainz2–2Leverkusen
2025-01-14 Germany, Bundesliga 24/25 Leverkusen1–0Mainz
2024-02-23 Germany, Bundesliga 23/24 Leverkusen2–1Mainz
2023-09-30 Germany, Bundesliga 23/24 Mainz0–3Leverkusen
2023-02-19 Germany, Bundesliga 22/23 Leverkusen2–3Mainz
2022-08-27 Germany, Bundesliga 22/23 Mainz0–3Leverkusen
Recent matches

Leverkusen

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Leverkusen2–0RB Leipzig
2026-09-13 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Augsburg2–2Leverkusen
2026-09-12 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Augsburg2–2Leverkusen
2026-09-05 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Leverkusen4–0Union Berlin
2026-08-29 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Elversberg3–2Leverkusen
2026-05-16 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Leverkusen1–1Hamburg
2026-05-09 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Stuttgart3–1Leverkusen
2026-05-02 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Leverkusen4–1RB Leipzig

Mainz

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 M'gladbach3–4Mainz
2026-09-13 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Mainz1–3Ein Frankfurt
2026-09-12 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Mainz1–3Ein Frankfurt
2026-09-06 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hamburg0–5Mainz
2026-08-29 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Mainz0–0Paderborn
2026-05-16 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Heidenheim0–2Mainz
2026-05-10 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Mainz1–3Union Berlin
2026-05-03 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 St Pauli1–2Mainz
Leverkusen Mainz

Wins

38%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
75%

Both teams scored

75%
62%

Clean sheets

25%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Mainz

Away · Bundesliga
HomeAway1st goal
1 Dortmund Mainz 9
2 Freiburg Mainz 9
3 Bayern Munich Mainz 9
4 RB Leipzig Mainz 9
5 Augsburg Mainz 9
6 Leverkusen Mainz 9
7 Ein Frankfurt Mainz 9
8 Werder Bremen Mainz 9
9 · Mainz
10 Elversberg Mainz 9
11 Hoffenheim Mainz 9
12 Schalke 04 Mainz 9
13 FC Koln Mainz 9
14 Paderborn Mainz 9
15 Stuttgart Mainz 9
16 Hamburg 0–5 Mainz 9 19′ Away
17 Union Berlin Mainz 9
18 M'gladbach 3–4 Mainz 9 11′ Home
Leverkusen Home Mainz Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Leverkusen

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway3 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match3.000.671.60
Draws0.0%66.7%40.0%
Goals scored / match3.002.002.40
Goals conceded / match0.002.331.40
Total goals / match3.004.333.80
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%0.0%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3010
31–4510
46–6020
61–7510
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Mainz

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match0.333.001.40
Draws33.3%0.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match0.674.502.20
Goals conceded / match2.001.501.80
Total goals / match2.676.004.00
Failed to score33.3%0.0%20.0%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%0.0%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 1 100%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3020
31–4520
46–6011
61–7500
76–9041

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelLeverkusenDraw MainzHow it works
Strength (Elo) 56.3% 19.7% 23.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 40.7% 22.4% 35.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.79–1.65 Model expected goals
65.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals
65.9% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 9.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-19.5%
2-18.5%
1-27.8%
2-27.0%
1-05.7%
0-15.3%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureLeverkusenMainz How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1612 1509 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -39 -20 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1518 1526 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 57.4% 52.6% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 54.3% 54.0% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1074 1038 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 36.0% 31.8% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 71.4% 72.0% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Leverkusen 1.051.05 0.630.74
Mainz 0.950.79 0.580.84

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Leverkusen 0%12%25%15%48%
Mainz 5%12%25%18%40%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Leverkusen at home, 9 matches
2.30 Mainz away, 10 matches
153d Days of rest for Leverkusen
154d Days of rest for Mainz
— Manager of Leverkusen
— Manager of Mainz
0 Matches for Leverkusen in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Mainz in the last 14 days
7 Points for Leverkusen behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
8 Points for Mainz behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
24.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Leverkusen, the right bar represents Mainz.

On the ball

20 matches
17.18
shots
13.76
5.88
shots on target
5.18
34.2%
accuracy
37.6%
6.84
corners
5.0
9.26
fouls
10.79
1.78
yellow cards
1.89

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Leverkusen WDDWLDLWWL 1.50 2.10–1.50 1W
Mainz WLLWDWLWLD 1.40 2.00–1.80 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Leverkusen9 64 13
Mainz9 64 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Leverkusen

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Mainz

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.