Head-to-head overview
10 meetings- MainzWins
- 1
- Draws30.0% of meetings
- 3
- Schalke 04Wins
- 6
- Goals per match
- 2.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40.0%
- Both teams scored
- 30.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-05 |
22/23
|
Mainz2–3Schalke 04 |
| 2022-11-09 |
22/23
|
Schalke 041–0Mainz |
| 2021-03-05 |
20/21
|
Schalke 040–0Mainz |
| 2020-11-07 |
20/21
|
Mainz2–2Schalke 04 |
| 2020-02-16 |
19/20
|
Mainz0–0Schalke 04 |
| 2019-09-20 |
19/20
|
Schalke 042–1Mainz |
| 2019-02-23 |
18/19
|
Mainz3–0Schalke 04 |
| 2018-09-29 |
18/19
|
Schalke 041–0Mainz |
| 2018-03-09 |
17/18
|
Mainz0–1Schalke 04 |
| 2017-10-20 |
17/18
|
Schalke 042–0Mainz |
Recent matches
Mainz
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
M'gladbach3–4Mainz |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Mainz1–3Ein Frankfurt |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Mainz1–3Ein Frankfurt |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Hamburg0–5Mainz |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Mainz0–0Paderborn |
| 2026-05-16 |
25/26
|
Heidenheim0–2Mainz |
| 2026-05-10 |
25/26
|
Mainz1–3Union Berlin |
| 2026-05-03 |
25/26
|
St Pauli1–2Mainz |
Schalke 04
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Schalke 040–0Elversberg |
| 2026-09-11 |
26/27
|
Union Berlin1–3Schalke 04 |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Schalke 040–0Bayern Munich |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Augsburg3–0Schalke 04 |
| 2023-05-27 |
22/23
|
RB Leipzig4–2Schalke 04 |
| 2023-05-20 |
22/23
|
Schalke 042–2Ein Frankfurt |
| 2023-05-13 |
22/23
|
Bayern Munich6–0Schalke 04 |
| 2023-05-05 |
22/23
|
Mainz2–3Schalke 04 |
Mainz
Schalke 04
Wins
50%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
75%
Both teams scored
62%
50%
Clean sheets
38%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Mainz
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mainz | Dortmund | 1 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Freiburg | 2 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Bayern Munich | 3 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | RB Leipzig | 4 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Augsburg | 5 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Leverkusen | 6 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | 1–3 | Ein Frankfurt | 7 | 9′ Away |
| 9 | Mainz | 1–3 | Ein Frankfurt | 7 | — |
| 9 | Mainz | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 9 · Mainz | |||||
| 9 | Mainz | Elversberg | 10 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Hoffenheim | 11 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | FC Koln | 13 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | 0–0 | Paderborn | 14 | – |
| 9 | Mainz | Stuttgart | 15 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Hamburg | 16 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | M'gladbach | 18 | ||
Schalke 04
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 2 | Freiburg | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 3 | Bayern Munich | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 4 | RB Leipzig | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 5 | Augsburg | 3–0 | Schalke 04 | 12 | 18′ Home |
| 6 | Leverkusen | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 8 | Werder Bremen | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 9 | Mainz | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 10 | Elversberg | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 11 | Hoffenheim | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 12 · Schalke 04 | |||||
| 13 | FC Koln | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 14 | Paderborn | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 15 | Stuttgart | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 16 | Hamburg | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 17 | Union Berlin | 1–3 | Schalke 04 | 12 | 25′ Away |
| 18 | M'gladbach | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
Mainz Home
Schalke 04 Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Mainz
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away2 matches | Overall5 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.33 | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Draws | 33.3% | 0.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.67 | 4.50 | 2.20 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.00 | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Total goals / match | 2.67 | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| Failed to score | 33.3% | 0.0% | 20.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 0.0% | 20.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 2/3 home.Scoring order known: 4/5 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Schalke 04
| Goals & results | Home2 matches | Away2 matches | Overall4 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Draws | 100.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Total goals / match | 0.00 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| Failed to score | 100.0% | 50.0% | 75.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 100.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 11 of 1 | 100%100% |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 11 of 1 | 100%100% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 10 of 1 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 2/2 away.Scoring order known: 4/4 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 1 | 1 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 1 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 1 | 3 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Mainz | Draw | Schalke 04 | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 46.9% | 23.2% | 29.9% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 45.9% | 24.3% | 28.9% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.64–1.25
Model expected goals
54.3%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
56.9%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 11.4%
Most likely scores
1-111.4%
2-19.4%
1-09.1%
2-07.5%
1-27.1%
0-16.9%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Mainz | Schalke 04 | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1509 | 1478 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -20 | 85 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1526 | 1539 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 52.6% | 45.2% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 54.0% | 42.6% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 1038 | 958 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 31.8% | 25.0% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 72.0% | 70.8% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz | 0.95 | 0.79 | 0.58 | 0.84 |
| Schalke 04 | 0.45 | 0.75 | 0.60 | 1.10 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz | 5% | 12% | 25% | 18% | 40% |
| Schalke 04 | 18% | 8% | 15% | 20% | 40% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
0.90
Mainz at home, 10 matches
1.09
Schalke 04 away, 11 matches
161d
Days of rest for Mainz
160d
Days of rest for Schalke 04
—
Manager of Mainz
—
Manager of Schalke 04
0
Matches for Mainz in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Schalke 04 in the last 14 days
8
Points for Mainz behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
10
Points for Schalke 04 behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
3.20
League goals per match
24.8%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Mainz, the right bar represents Schalke 04.
On the ball
13.76
12.0
shots
5.18
4.67
shots on target
37.6%
38.9%
accuracy
5.0
5.45
corners
10.79
11.7
fouls
1.89
1.8
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz | WLLWDWLWLD | 1.40 | 2.00–1.80 | 1W |
| Schalke 04 | DWDLLDLWWL | 1.20 | 1.20–2.30 | 1D |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz | 9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Schalke 04 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Mainz
No absences reported.
Schalke 04
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.