Head-to-head overview
2 meetings- PaderbornWins
- 1
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- Werder BremenWins
- 1
- Goals per match
- 3.50
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50.0%
- Both teams scored
- 50.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-06-13 |
19/20
|
Paderborn1–5Werder Bremen |
| 2019-12-08 |
19/20
|
Werder Bremen0–1Paderborn |
Recent matches
Paderborn
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Paderborn3–1Hoffenheim |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Dortmund3–0Paderborn |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Dortmund3–0Paderborn |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Paderborn0–1Freiburg |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Mainz0–0Paderborn |
| 2020-06-27 |
19/20
|
Ein Frankfurt3–2Paderborn |
| 2020-06-20 |
19/20
|
Paderborn1–3M'gladbach |
| 2020-06-16 |
19/20
|
Union Berlin1–0Paderborn |
Werder Bremen
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Werder Bremen3–2Augsburg |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
FC Koln1–1Werder Bremen |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
FC Koln1–1Werder Bremen |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Werder Bremen3–1RB Leipzig |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Freiburg4–1Werder Bremen |
| 2026-05-16 |
25/26
|
Werder Bremen0–2Dortmund |
| 2026-05-09 |
25/26
|
Hoffenheim1–0Werder Bremen |
| 2026-05-02 |
25/26
|
Werder Bremen1–3Augsburg |
Paderborn
Werder Bremen
Wins
12%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
50%
Both teams scored
38%
75%
Clean sheets
12%
0%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Paderborn
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Paderborn | Dortmund | 1 | ||
| 14 | Paderborn | 0–1 | Freiburg | 2 | 26′ Away |
| 14 | Paderborn | Bayern Munich | 3 | ||
| 14 | Paderborn | RB Leipzig | 4 | ||
| 14 | Paderborn | Augsburg | 5 | ||
| 14 | Paderborn | Leverkusen | 6 | ||
| 14 | Paderborn | Ein Frankfurt | 7 | ||
| 14 | Paderborn | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 14 | Paderborn | Mainz | 9 | ||
| 14 | Paderborn | Elversberg | 10 | ||
| 14 | Paderborn | 3–1 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 29′ Home |
| 14 | Paderborn | Schalke 04 | 12 | ||
| 14 | Paderborn | FC Koln | 13 | ||
| 14 · Paderborn | |||||
| 14 | Paderborn | Stuttgart | 15 | ||
| 14 | Paderborn | Hamburg | 16 | ||
| 14 | Paderborn | Union Berlin | 17 | ||
| 14 | Paderborn | M'gladbach | 18 | ||
Werder Bremen
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 2 | Freiburg | 4–1 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 29′ Home |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 4 | RB Leipzig | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 5 | Augsburg | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 6 | Leverkusen | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 8 · Werder Bremen | |||||
| 9 | Mainz | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 10 | Elversberg | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 11 | Hoffenheim | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 12 | Schalke 04 | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 13 | FC Koln | 1–1 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 11′ Home |
| 13 | FC Koln | 1–1 | Werder Bremen | 8 | — |
| 14 | Paderborn | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 15 | Stuttgart | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 16 | Hamburg | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 17 | Union Berlin | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
| 18 | M'gladbach | Werder Bremen | 8 | ||
Paderborn Home
Werder Bremen Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Paderborn
| Goals & results | Home2 matches | Away3 matches | Overall5 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.50 | 0.33 | 0.80 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 33.3% | 20.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Total goals / match | 2.50 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Failed to score | 50.0% | 100.0% | 80.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50.0% | 33.3% | 40.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 11 of 1 | 100%100% |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 11 of 1 | 100%100% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 10 of 3 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 2/2 home.Scoring order known: 5/5 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 1 | 1 |
| 31–45 | 1 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 1 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Werder Bremen
| Goals & results | Home2 matches | Away3 matches | Overall5 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 3.00 | 0.67 | 1.60 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 66.7% | 40.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 3.00 | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Total goals / match | 4.50 | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.0% | 66.7% | 40.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 2/3 away.Scoring order known: 4/5 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Paderborn | Draw | Werder Bremen | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 43.6% | 24.0% | 32.4% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 15.4% | 22.3% | 61.2% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.77–1.82
Model expected goals
46.9%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
44.5%
Both teams to score
0-1
Most likely score, at 13.6%
Most likely scores
0-113.6%
0-212.4%
1-110.5%
1-29.6%
0-37.5%
0-07.5%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Paderborn | Werder Bremen | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1476 | 1471 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 85 | 26 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1538 | 1518 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 47.0% | 50.3% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 37.7% | 51.0% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 873 | 876 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 24.6% | 27.0% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 62.8% | 60.6% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn | 0.26 | 0.63 | 1.00 | 1.05 |
| Werder Bremen | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.79 | 0.84 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn | 8% | 10% | 23% | 23% | 36% |
| Werder Bremen | 2% | 15% | 28% | 15% | 40% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
0.44
Paderborn at home, 9 matches
0.90
Werder Bremen away, 10 matches
160d
Days of rest for Paderborn
161d
Days of rest for Werder Bremen
—
Manager of Paderborn
—
Manager of Werder Bremen
0
Matches for Paderborn in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Werder Bremen in the last 14 days
11
Points for Paderborn behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
7
Points for Werder Bremen behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
3.20
League goals per match
24.8%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Paderborn, the right bar represents Werder Bremen.
On the ball
12.82
12.94
shots
3.35
4.35
shots on target
26.1%
33.6%
accuracy
4.63
4.47
corners
11.42
10.47
fouls
2.65
1.74
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn | WLLLDLLLLD | 0.50 | 0.80–2.10 | 1W |
| Werder Bremen | WDDWLLLLDW | 1.20 | 1.40–1.70 | 1W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn | 1 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| Werder Bremen | 3 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Paderborn
No absences reported.
Werder Bremen
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
European football: Dortmund win again but Freiburg top after Gladbach rout
The Guardian
09-12