Augsburg

Augsburg

VS Scheduled Saturday 27 Feb 202700:00

Germany 26/27 Bundesliga · Matchday 23

Elversberg

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Werder Bremen3–2Augsburg
2026-09-13	26/27	Augsburg2–2Leverkusen
2026-09-12	26/27	Augsburg2–2Leverkusen
2026-09-06	26/27	Ein Frankfurt1–4Augsburg
2026-08-30	26/27	Augsburg3–0Schalke 04
2026-05-16	25/26	Union Berlin4–0Augsburg
2026-05-09	25/26	Augsburg3–1M'gladbach
2026-05-02	25/26	Werder Bremen1–3Augsburg

Elversberg

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Schalke 040–0Elversberg
2026-09-14	26/27	Elversberg1–2Bayern Munich
2026-09-13	26/27	Elversberg1–2Bayern Munich
2026-09-05	26/27	M'gladbach3–4Elversberg
2026-08-29	26/27	Elversberg3–2Leverkusen

Augsburg Elversberg

Wins

50%

40%

Over 2.5 goals

100%

80%

Both teams scored

75%

80%

Clean sheets

12%

20%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Augsburg

Home · Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Augsburg		Dortmund	1
5	Augsburg		Freiburg	2
5	Augsburg		Bayern Munich	3
5	Augsburg		RB Leipzig	4
5 · Augsburg
5	Augsburg	2–2	Leverkusen	6	18′ Away
5	Augsburg	2–2	Leverkusen	6	—
5	Augsburg		Ein Frankfurt	7
5	Augsburg		Werder Bremen	8
5	Augsburg		Mainz	9
5	Augsburg		Elversberg	10
5	Augsburg		Hoffenheim	11
5	Augsburg	3–0	Schalke 04	12	18′ Home
5	Augsburg		FC Koln	13
5	Augsburg		Paderborn	14
5	Augsburg		Stuttgart	15
5	Augsburg		Hamburg	16
5	Augsburg		Union Berlin	17
5	Augsburg		M'gladbach	18

Elversberg

Away · Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Dortmund		Elversberg	10
2	Freiburg		Elversberg	10
3	Bayern Munich		Elversberg	10
4	RB Leipzig		Elversberg	10
5	Augsburg		Elversberg	10
6	Leverkusen		Elversberg	10
7	Ein Frankfurt		Elversberg	10
8	Werder Bremen		Elversberg	10
9	Mainz		Elversberg	10
10 · Elversberg
11	Hoffenheim		Elversberg	10
12	Schalke 04	0–0	Elversberg	10	–
13	FC Koln		Elversberg	10
14	Paderborn		Elversberg	10
15	Stuttgart		Elversberg	10
16	Hamburg		Elversberg	10
17	Union Berlin		Elversberg	10
18	M'gladbach	3–4	Elversberg	10	11′ Home

Augsburg Home Elversberg Away

Wins

33%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 2.5

100%

50%

Over 3.5

67%

50%

Both teams scored

67%

50%

Clean sheets

33%

50%

Scores first

N/A

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Augsburg

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.67	1.50	1.60
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	40.0%
Goals scored / match	2.33	3.00	2.60
Goals conceded / match	1.33	2.00	1.60
Total goals / match	3.67	5.00	4.20
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Elversberg

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.00	2.00	1.40
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	1.67	2.00	1.80
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.50	1.80
Total goals / match	3.67	3.50	3.60
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	0
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Augsburg	Draw	Elversberg	How it works
Strength (Elo)	43.6%	24.0%	32.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	34.2%	20.9%	41.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.84–2.06 Model expected goals

71.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

70.9% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 7.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-27.9%

1-17.7%

2-27.3%

2-17.1%

1-35.4%

2-35.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Augsburg	Elversberg	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1517	1512	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	53	0	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1516	1611	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	47.3%	35.2%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	50.5%	61.5%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1035	938	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	30.6%	43.8%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	72.9%	50.0%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Augsburg	0.68	1.11	0.74	0.89
Elversberg	0.75	1.25	0.75	1.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Augsburg	2%	10%	20%	22%	45%
Elversberg	20%	0%	0%	40%	40%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.90 Augsburg at home, 10 matches

2.00 Elversberg away, 2 matches

161d Days of rest for Augsburg

160d Days of rest for Elversberg

— Manager of Augsburg

— Manager of Elversberg

0 Matches for Augsburg in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Elversberg in the last 14 days

7 Points for Augsburg behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

8 Points for Elversberg behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

3.20 League goals per match

24.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Augsburg, the right bar represents Elversberg.

On the ball

20 matches

14.53

shots

12.5

5.76

shots on target

8.0

39.7%

accuracy

64.0%

4.84

corners

3.75

9.32

fouls

11.5

1.94

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Augsburg	LDDWWLWWDW	1.80	2.20–1.60	1L
Elversberg	DLLWW	1.40	1.80–1.80	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Augsburg	7	5	7	2	4
Elversberg	1	1	2	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Augsburg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Elversberg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

European football: Lamine Yamal keeps Barcelona perfect, Leipzig rout Hamburg The Guardian 09-13

Elversberg and ‘miracle village’ prove that Bundesliga fairytales still exist | Andy Brassell The Guardian 08-31