Elversberg

Elversberg

VS Scheduled Saturday 13 Mar 202700:00

Germany 26/27 Bundesliga · Matchday 26

Dortmund

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Schalke 040–0Elversberg
2026-09-14	26/27	Elversberg1–2Bayern Munich
2026-09-13	26/27	Elversberg1–2Bayern Munich
2026-09-05	26/27	M'gladbach3–4Elversberg
2026-08-29	26/27	Elversberg3–2Leverkusen

Dortmund

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Stuttgart0–1Dortmund
2026-09-13	26/27	Dortmund3–0Paderborn
2026-09-12	26/27	Dortmund3–0Paderborn
2026-09-05	26/27	Hoffenheim2–3Dortmund
2026-08-29	26/27	Dortmund2–0Hamburg
2026-05-16	25/26	Werder Bremen0–2Dortmund
2026-05-08	25/26	Dortmund3–2Ein Frankfurt
2026-05-03	25/26	M'gladbach1–0Dortmund

Elversberg Dortmund

Wins

40%

88%

Over 2.5 goals

80%

50%

Both teams scored

80%

25%

Clean sheets

20%

62%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Elversberg

Home · Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Elversberg		Dortmund	1
10	Elversberg		Freiburg	2
10	Elversberg	1–2	Bayern Munich	3	26′ Away
10	Elversberg	1–2	Bayern Munich	3	—
10	Elversberg		RB Leipzig	4
10	Elversberg		Augsburg	5
10	Elversberg	3–2	Leverkusen	6	8′ Home
10	Elversberg		Ein Frankfurt	7
10	Elversberg		Werder Bremen	8
10	Elversberg		Mainz	9
10 · Elversberg
10	Elversberg		Hoffenheim	11
10	Elversberg		Schalke 04	12
10	Elversberg		FC Koln	13
10	Elversberg		Paderborn	14
10	Elversberg		Stuttgart	15
10	Elversberg		Hamburg	16
10	Elversberg		Union Berlin	17
10	Elversberg		M'gladbach	18

Dortmund

Away · Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Dortmund
2	Freiburg		Dortmund	1
3	Bayern Munich		Dortmund	1
4	RB Leipzig		Dortmund	1
5	Augsburg		Dortmund	1
6	Leverkusen		Dortmund	1
7	Ein Frankfurt		Dortmund	1
8	Werder Bremen		Dortmund	1
9	Mainz		Dortmund	1
10	Elversberg		Dortmund	1
11	Hoffenheim	2–3	Dortmund	1	—
12	Schalke 04		Dortmund	1
13	FC Koln		Dortmund	1
14	Paderborn		Dortmund	1
15	Stuttgart	0–1	Dortmund	1	70′ Away
16	Hamburg		Dortmund	1
17	Union Berlin		Dortmund	1
18	M'gladbach		Dortmund	1

Elversberg Home Dortmund Away

Wins

33%

100%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 2.5

100%

50%

Over 3.5

33%

50%

Both teams scored

100%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

50%

Scores first

N/A

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Elversberg

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.00	2.00	1.40
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	1.67	2.00	1.80
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.50	1.80
Total goals / match	3.67	3.50	3.60
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Dortmund

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	3.00	3.00	3.00
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.67	2.00	2.40
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.00	0.40
Total goals / match	2.67	3.00	2.80
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	50.0%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Elversberg	Draw	Dortmund	How it works
Strength (Elo)	25.9%	21.1%	53.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	10.7%	14.8%	68.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.97–2.75 Model expected goals

65.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

54.4% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 9.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-29.2%

1-28.9%

0-38.4%

1-38.1%

0-16.7%

1-16.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Elversberg	Dortmund	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1512	1682	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	0	-17	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1611	1522	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	35.2%	56.2%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	61.5%	55.8%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	938	1159	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	43.8%	45.1%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	50.0%	70.8%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Elversberg	0.75	1.25	0.75	1.00
Dortmund	0.84	1.32	0.47	0.53

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Elversberg	20%	0%	0%	40%	40%
Dortmund	0%	15%	28%	28%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Elversberg at home, 3 matches

2.11 Dortmund away, 9 matches

174d Days of rest for Elversberg

175d Days of rest for Dortmund

— Manager of Elversberg

— Manager of Dortmund

0 Matches for Elversberg in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Dortmund in the last 14 days

8 Points for Elversberg behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Dortmund behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone

3.20 League goals per match

24.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Elversberg, the right bar represents Dortmund.

On the ball

20 matches

12.5

shots

14.06

8.0

shots on target

4.82

64.0%

accuracy

34.3%

3.75

corners

5.42

11.5

fouls

11.53

2.0

yellow cards

2.11

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Elversberg	DLLWW	1.40	1.80–1.80	1D
Dortmund	WWWWWWWLWL	2.40	2.20–0.70	7W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Elversberg	1	1	2	1	0
Dortmund	9	5	5	2	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Elversberg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Dortmund

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Bayern monitoring Wirtz - Monday's gossip BBC Sport 09-13

European football: Lamine Yamal keeps Barcelona perfect, Leipzig rout Hamburg The Guardian 09-13

European football: Dortmund win again but Freiburg top after Gladbach rout The Guardian 09-12

Papers: Ex Man-Utd winger Sancho set for stunning Dortmund return Sky Sports 09-06

Elversberg and ‘miracle village’ prove that Bundesliga fairytales still exist | Andy Brassell The Guardian 08-31