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RB Leipzig
VS Scheduled Germany 26/27 Bundesliga · Matchday 27
Union Berlin

Head-to-head overview

14 meetings
RB LeipzigWins
6
Draws14.3% of meetings
2
Union BerlinWins
6
Goals per match
2.64
Over 2.5 goals
71.4%
Both teams scored
57.1%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-04-24 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 RB Leipzig3–1Union Berlin
2025-12-12 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Union Berlin3–1RB Leipzig
2025-02-01 Germany, Bundesliga 24/25 Union Berlin0–0RB Leipzig
2024-09-14 Germany, Bundesliga 24/25 RB Leipzig0–0Union Berlin
2024-02-04 Germany, Bundesliga 23/24 RB Leipzig2–0Union Berlin
2023-09-03 Germany, Bundesliga 23/24 Union Berlin0–3RB Leipzig
2023-02-11 Germany, Bundesliga 22/23 RB Leipzig1–2Union Berlin
2022-08-20 Germany, Bundesliga 22/23 Union Berlin2–1RB Leipzig
Recent matches

RB Leipzig

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Leverkusen2–0RB Leipzig
2026-09-14 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg
2026-09-13 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg
2026-09-05 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Werder Bremen3–1RB Leipzig
2026-08-29 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 RB Leipzig3–0M'gladbach
2026-05-16 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Freiburg4–1RB Leipzig
2026-05-09 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 RB Leipzig2–1St Pauli
2026-05-02 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Leverkusen4–1RB Leipzig

Union Berlin

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Bayern Munich7–0Union Berlin
2026-09-11 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Union Berlin1–3Schalke 04
2026-09-05 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Leverkusen4–0Union Berlin
2026-08-29 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Union Berlin3–3Ein Frankfurt
2026-05-16 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Union Berlin4–0Augsburg
2026-05-10 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Mainz1–3Union Berlin
2026-05-02 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Union Berlin2–2FC Koln
2026-04-24 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 RB Leipzig3–1Union Berlin
RB Leipzig Union Berlin

Wins

50%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
100%

Both teams scored

50%
62%

Clean sheets

38%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

RB Leipzig Home Union Berlin Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

RB Leipzig

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match3.000.001.80
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match4.330.502.80
Goals conceded / match0.002.501.00
Total goals / match4.333.003.80
Failed to score0.0%50.0%20.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%50.0%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15—0
16–30—0
31–45—0
46–60—0
61–75—0
76–90—0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Union Berlin

4 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway2 matchesOverall4 matches
Points / match0.500.000.25
Draws50.0%0.0%25.0%
Goals scored / match2.000.001.00
Goals conceded / match3.005.504.25
Total goals / match5.005.505.25
Failed to score0.0%100.0%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%0.0%0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3002
31–4502
46–6002
61–7503
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelRB LeipzigDraw Union BerlinHow it works
Strength (Elo) 62.4% 17.0% 20.6% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 66.5% 14.3% 11.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.93–1.12 Model expected goals
69.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
58.6% Both teams to score
2-1 Most likely score, at 8.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-18.4%
3-18.2%
2-07.4%
3-07.3%
4-16.0%
1-15.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureRB LeipzigUnion Berlin How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1582 1436 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -42 -15 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1506 1538 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 57.5% 46.0% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 61.1% 48.4% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 943 835 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 30.0% 29.9% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 64.3% 53.7% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
RB Leipzig 0.951.05 0.530.89
Union Berlin 0.350.85 1.201.20

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
RB Leipzig 2%10%15%22%50%
Union Berlin 5%15%12%18%50%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.36 RB Leipzig at home, 11 matches
0.60 Union Berlin away, 10 matches
181d Days of rest for RB Leipzig
183d Days of rest for Union Berlin
— Manager of RB Leipzig
— Manager of Union Berlin
0 Matches for RB Leipzig in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Union Berlin in the last 14 days
6 Points for RB Leipzig behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
14 Points for Union Berlin behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
24.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents RB Leipzig, the right bar represents Union Berlin.

On the ball

20 matches
16.18
shots
11.78
6.47
shots on target
4.28
40.0%
accuracy
36.3%
5.42
corners
4.4
8.95
fouls
10.7
1.63
yellow cards
2.05

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
RB Leipzig LWWLWLWLWW 1.80 2.40–1.60 1L
Union Berlin LLLDWWDLLL 0.80 1.60–2.80 3L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
RB Leipzig8 65 11
Union Berlin3 314 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

RB Leipzig

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Union Berlin

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams