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Bayern Munich
VS Scheduled Germany 26/27 Bundesliga · Matchday 30
Hoffenheim

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings
Bayern MunichWins
12
Draws11.1% of meetings
2
HoffenheimWins
4
Goals per match
4.17
Over 2.5 goals
77.8%
Both teams scored
61.1%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-02-08 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Bayern Munich5–1Hoffenheim
2025-09-20 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Hoffenheim1–4Bayern Munich
2025-05-17 Germany, Bundesliga 24/25 Hoffenheim0–4Bayern Munich
2025-01-15 Germany, Bundesliga 24/25 Bayern Munich5–0Hoffenheim
2024-05-18 Germany, Bundesliga 23/24 Hoffenheim4–2Bayern Munich
2024-01-12 Germany, Bundesliga 23/24 Bayern Munich3–0Hoffenheim
2023-04-15 Germany, Bundesliga 22/23 Bayern Munich1–1Hoffenheim
2022-10-22 Germany, Bundesliga 22/23 Hoffenheim0–2Bayern Munich
Recent matches

Bayern Munich

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Bayern Munich7–0Union Berlin
2026-09-14 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Elversberg1–2Bayern Munich
2026-09-13 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Elversberg1–2Bayern Munich
2026-09-05 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Schalke 040–0Bayern Munich
2026-08-28 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Bayern Munich5–1Stuttgart
2026-05-16 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Bayern Munich5–1FC Koln
2026-05-09 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Wolfsburg0–1Bayern Munich
2026-05-02 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Bayern Munich3–3Heidenheim

Hoffenheim

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Paderborn3–1Hoffenheim
2026-09-13 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hoffenheim2–1Stuttgart
2026-09-12 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hoffenheim2–1Stuttgart
2026-09-05 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hoffenheim2–3Dortmund
2026-08-29 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 FC Koln3–2Hoffenheim
2026-05-16 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 M'gladbach4–0Hoffenheim
2026-05-09 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Hoffenheim1–0Werder Bremen
2026-05-02 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Hoffenheim3–3Stuttgart
Bayern Munich Hoffenheim

Wins

75%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
88%

Both teams scored

62%
75%

Clean sheets

38%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Hoffenheim

Away · Bundesliga
Bayern Munich Home Hoffenheim Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Bayern Munich

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway3 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match3.002.332.60
Draws0.0%33.3%20.0%
Goals scored / match6.001.333.20
Goals conceded / match0.500.670.60
Total goals / match6.502.003.80
Failed to score0.0%33.3%20.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%33.3%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Hoffenheim

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match2.000.001.20
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match2.001.501.80
Goals conceded / match1.673.002.20
Total goals / match3.674.504.00
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%0.0%0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3011
31–4501
46–6011
61–7512
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelBayern MunichDraw HoffenheimHow it works
Strength (Elo) 73.3% 11.6% 15.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 62.1% 10.2% 8.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
3.85–1.36 Model expected goals
69.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
58.2% Both teams to score
3-1 Most likely score, at 7.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
3-17.1%
4-16.8%
2-15.5%
5-15.2%
3-05.2%
4-05.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureBayern MunichHoffenheim How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1760 1532 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -55 -29 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1508 1521 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 62.2% 55.6% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 67.0% 52.6% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1090 881 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 39.9% 31.5% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 69.1% 56.6% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Bayern Munich 1.322.05 0.580.58
Hoffenheim 0.950.74 0.951.16

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Bayern Munich 2%2%2%20%72%
Hoffenheim 2%10%12%22%52%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.78 Bayern Munich at home, 9 matches
0.89 Hoffenheim away, 9 matches
211d Days of rest for Bayern Munich
209d Days of rest for Hoffenheim
— Manager of Bayern Munich
— Manager of Hoffenheim
0 Matches for Bayern Munich in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Hoffenheim in the last 14 days
2 Points for Bayern Munich behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone
9 Points for Hoffenheim behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
24.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Bayern Munich, the right bar represents Hoffenheim.

On the ball

20 matches
19.0
shots
15.53
8.12
shots on target
5.41
42.7%
accuracy
34.8%
7.05
corners
6.63
8.95
fouls
13.0
1.5
yellow cards
2.41

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Bayern Munich WWWDWWWDWW 2.60 3.30–1.20 3W
Hoffenheim LWWLLLWDWW 1.60 1.70–2.00 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Bayern Munich11 44 20
Hoffenheim9 55 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Bayern Munich

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Hoffenheim

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams