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Hamburg
VS Scheduled Germany 26/27 Bundesliga · Matchday 31
Elversberg
Recent matches

Hamburg

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hamburg2–1FC Koln
2026-09-14 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg
2026-09-13 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg
2026-09-06 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hamburg0–5Mainz
2026-08-29 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Dortmund2–0Hamburg
2026-05-16 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Leverkusen1–1Hamburg
2026-05-10 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Hamburg3–2Freiburg
2026-05-02 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Ein Frankfurt1–2Hamburg

Elversberg

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Schalke 040–0Elversberg
2026-09-14 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Elversberg1–2Bayern Munich
2026-09-13 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Elversberg1–2Bayern Munich
2026-09-05 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 M'gladbach3–4Elversberg
2026-08-29 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Elversberg3–2Leverkusen
Hamburg Elversberg

Wins

38%
40%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
80%

Both teams scored

50%
80%

Clean sheets

0%
20%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Hamburg

Home · Bundesliga
HomeAway1st goal
16 Hamburg Dortmund 1
16 Hamburg Freiburg 2
16 Hamburg Bayern Munich 3
16 Hamburg RB Leipzig 4
16 Hamburg Augsburg 5
16 Hamburg Leverkusen 6
16 Hamburg Ein Frankfurt 7
16 Hamburg Werder Bremen 8
16 Hamburg 0–5 Mainz 9 19′ Away
16 Hamburg Elversberg 10
16 Hamburg Hoffenheim 11
16 Hamburg Schalke 04 12
16 Hamburg 2–1 FC Koln 13 44′ Home
16 Hamburg Paderborn 14
16 Hamburg Stuttgart 15
16 · Hamburg
16 Hamburg Union Berlin 17
16 Hamburg M'gladbach 18
Hamburg Home Elversberg Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Hamburg

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway3 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match1.500.000.60
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.000.000.40
Goals conceded / match3.004.003.60
Total goals / match4.004.004.00
Failed to score50.0%100.0%80.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%33.3%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3001
31–4511
46–6011
61–7500
76–9003

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Elversberg

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match1.002.001.40
Draws0.0%50.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match1.672.001.80
Goals conceded / match2.001.501.80
Total goals / match3.673.503.60
Failed to score0.0%50.0%20.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%50.0%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 1 of 1 100%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3010
31–4501
46–6001
61–7510
76–9020

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelHamburgDraw ElversbergHow it works
Strength (Elo) 35.1% 24.5% 40.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 14.3% 16.3% 63.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.18–2.68 Model expected goals
68.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
60.5% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 8.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-28.9%
1-38.0%
0-27.6%
0-36.8%
1-16.6%
0-15.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureHamburgElversberg How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1441 1512 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -25 0 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1534 1611 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 40.3% 35.2% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 41.1% 61.5% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 980 938 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 31.3% 43.8% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 66.7% 50.0% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Hamburg 0.630.58 0.951.05
Elversberg 0.751.25 0.751.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Hamburg 10%8%22%25%35%
Elversberg 20%0%0%40%40%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.22 Hamburg at home, 9 matches
2.00 Elversberg away, 2 matches
217d Days of rest for Hamburg
216d Days of rest for Elversberg
— Manager of Hamburg
— Manager of Elversberg
0 Matches for Hamburg in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Elversberg in the last 14 days
12 Points for Hamburg behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
8 Points for Elversberg behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
24.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Hamburg, the right bar represents Elversberg.

On the ball

20 matches
10.88
shots
12.5
3.94
shots on target
8.0
36.2%
accuracy
64.0%
3.74
corners
3.75
11.37
fouls
11.5
1.95
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Hamburg WLLLLDWWLL 1.00 1.00–2.70 1W
Elversberg DLLWW 1.40 1.80–1.80 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Hamburg4 87 01
Elversberg1 12 10
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Hamburg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Elversberg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams